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  • Agency sees rapprochement between Armenia, NATO

    Agency sees rapprochement between Armenia, NATO

    Mediamax news agency, Yerevan
    5 Apr 04

    Armenia might one day bid for NATO membership, Armenian news agency
    Mediamax has reported. The alliance's presence in the Caucasus is only
    a matter of time, and Armenia does not want to be sidelined, the
    agency said. But Yerevan cannot ignore Russia's interests in the
    region, like did Georgia, thus spoiling relations with Moscow. On the
    other hand, Russia does not have a clear-cut position on NATO
    expansion, which gives Armenia an opportunity to get closer to NATO
    "without much noise", the agency said. The following is an excerpt
    from the report in English by Mediamax headlined "Armenia sent NATO a
    message" and subheaded "Armenia ready for the alliance's 'arrival' in
    the South Caucasus"; subheadings inserted editorially:

    Last week, seven new members joined NATO, and the Armenian parliament
    ratified the multilateral PfP Status of Forces Agreement (PfP
    SOFA). This coincidence can be considered as symbolic, especially if
    we take into account that both Yerevan and Brussels approach the
    ratification of the agreement as something more than a simple
    formality.

    At first sight, there is nothing special in the ratification of the
    PfP SOFA by the Armenian parliament. Armenia's neighbours in the South
    Caucasus joined this agreement several years ago - Georgia in 1995
    (ratified in 1997) and Azerbaijan in 1998 (ratified in 2000).

    However, if we take into consideration the specific character of
    Armenia-NATO relations, there will be no doubt that making the
    decision to join the PfP SOFA, Yerevan decided to send a definite
    message to NATO, which can be interpreted as follows - Armenia is not
    categorical any more about prospects of beginning a new stage in
    relations with NATO as published , the result of which might one day
    become a claim to join the alliance.

    Summing up the results of 2003, Armenian Foreign Minister Vardan
    Oskanyan said in early January that "Armenia's political dialogue with
    NATO and our participation in the Partnership for Peace programme are
    gradually acquiring a more purposeful and coordinated character". But
    in our opinion, Oskanyan's most important statement was this one:
    "Building armed forces compatible with the allies, Armenia will
    contribute to the peacekeeping operations carried out by NATO." The
    representative of the Yerevan government for the first time stated
    that Armenia would build armed forces compatible with NATO, and this
    statement cannot be considered as accidental.

    There is another nuance too: having ratified the agreement, Yerevan
    deprived of a powerful trump card its neighbours, and Azerbaijan in
    the first place, who had been trying to convince the alliance that
    Armenia was not capable of pursuing an independent foreign policy and
    acted "looking back" at Russia.

    Another symbolic coincidence is that at the time when the Armenian
    parliament ratified the PfP SOFA, the Russian State Duma adopted a
    statement "In connection with NATO expansion", which said that "NATO's
    military doctrine continues to take on an offensive character".

    Passage omitted: quote from Russian parliamentary newspaper

    NATO values relations with Armenia

    NATO's reaction to the ratification of the agreement was also
    noteworthy. Ariane Quentier, press officer at the NATO Press and
    Media Service, said in a telephone interview with Mediamax that "we
    welcome every step aimed at developing relations with Armenia and view
    the ratification of the PfP SOFA in this context".

    Moreover, Ariane Quentier expressed satisfaction with the fact that
    "the tragic Budapest incident" did not affect Armenia's readiness to
    develop relations with the alliance.

    On 19 February, 26-year-old Lt Gurgen Margaryan of the Armed Forces of
    the Republic of Armenia, who was attending the NATO Partnership for
    Peace Programme's English language training course in Budapest, was
    brutally murdered while he was asleep. He was axed by an Azerbaijani
    military officer attending the same course.

    Passage omitted: reaction by the NATO secretary-general

    The fact that the alliance representative herself mentioned the
    Budapest incident speaks for itself. It testifies to the fact that
    NATO values its relations with Armenia and that the alliance did not
    want the Budapest incident to retard the intensive pace of
    cooperation.

    We must not overlook the fact that the demarche of Azerbaijan which
    did not allow Armenian officers to Baku to take part in the planning
    conference of the Cooperative Best Effort 2004 military exercises came
    as an unpleasant surprise to NATO. The statement made in Yerevan last
    week by Director of Plans and Policy, Headquarters US European
    Command, Maj-Gen Jeffrey B. Kohler was more than unambiguous.

    "The US government made it clear to Azerbaijan that we fully support
    the participation of Armenian servicemen in the Cooperative Best
    Effort 2004 exercises. When NATO is the organizer of exercises within
    the PfP framework, they must be open to all the partners," Jeffrey
    Kohler said.

    Most likely, a sober calculation is behind Armenia's new policy with
    regard to the alliance - the statements made recently by US and NATO
    representatives testify to the fact that the alliance's firm presence
    in the Caucasus is just a matter of time, and Armenia does not want to
    be sidelined.

    Passage omitted: quotes from statements of different officials at
    different times; quote from Armenian president's statement two years
    ago

    Armenia - "bridge" between Russia and NATO

    The main factor affecting the pace and character of Armenia's
    integration into NATO has been the position of the Russian leadership,
    which Yerevan cannot and does not want to ignore. The main reason for
    the aggravation of Georgian-Russian relations in the last years was
    not "Moscow's imperial ambitions" but the policy of the Georgian
    leadership that demonstratively ignored Russia's interests in the
    Caucasus. It is obvious that Armenia will never follow this path.

    On the other hand, if we trace the statements by Russian leaders on
    prospects of relations with NATO made after Russian President Vladimir
    Putin came to power in 2000, it becomes obvious that the Russian
    leadership does not have a clear-cut position on this issue. It could
    seem that this makes the situation more complicated for Armenia. On
    the other hand, this gives Armenia an opportunity to think over real
    steps to get closer to NATO and the alliance's standards without much
    noise and public statements. These efforts will not be in vain in any
    case.

    Armenia, as well as Russia and NATO, understand that if it was not for
    close Armenian-Russian military and political relations, which have
    been and continue to be an objective necessity for Yerevan, Armenia
    would have become the first country in the South Caucasus to declare
    its desire to become a full member of the alliance. Moreover, there is
    every reason to assume that the alliance, in turn, would have given
    Armenia "the go-ahead" much earlier than to Georgia and Azerbaijan
    because of a number of reasons.

    However, this must not be spoken about with regret. The modern world
    is changing rapidly and there can arise a situation when Armenia's
    role as a "bridge" between Russia and NATO in the Caucasus will be
    extremely important to both Moscow and Brussels.
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