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Much Ado About Nothing?

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  • Much Ado About Nothing?

    NT Highlights #13 (515)
    5 April, 2004

    Much Ado About Nothing?
    By Haroutiun Khachatrian

    Outsiders visiting Armenia on these days may be surprised to learn from mass
    media, (including the state-owned ones) that there is a political tension in
    this country.
    There are almost no real signs to prove this.

    In fact, I believe the people saying that there is little basis for
    extensive shock and shaking in Armenia are right.

    The opposition has declared a single goal: to force Robert Kocharian to
    resign, as the results of his re-elections last year were falsified. Event
    if one agrees with this allegation, it still remains to see what are the
    resources the opposition plans to use to force Kocharian to leave the
    President's office? Its leaders mention one single resource: the people will
    organize, in reply to the appeals of these leaders, mass actions of protest
    and civil disobedience.

    Will they? I doubt deeply. These same opposition leaders failed to persuade
    the population to participate in such actions a year ago, immediately after
    the presidential elections, when emotions were much higher than now. The
    simple fact that Geghamian and Demirchain act jointly now (they failed to
    coordinate their actions last year) is evidently insufficient to spark a
    large-scale "people movement"now. Despite the high level of negative
    emotions towards the authorities and Kocharian personally.

    Those seeing parallels between today's Armenia and Georgia of the last
    November miss an important factor: both the life standards and the
    capacities of the state machinery in Armenia are much higher than in the
    neighboring country. Hence, the basis for a type of "rose revolution" here
    is very small if any.

    For this reason, the nervous reaction of authorities to the threats of the
    opposition leaders look often exaggerated, to put it mildly. The ridiculous
    actions of egg-throwing or organizing faked funeral ceremonies to prevent
    the actions of oppositions are followed by criminal cases which cannot be
    explained by common reason. The same is true for the anti-opposition
    campaign in state-run media. I may be wrong, but it seems that this reaction
    roots in peculiarities of the character of Robert Kocharian, who takes every
    criticism as a personal insult. Anyway, these actions may bring the
    situation to even higher degree of tension (and cause more damage) than it
    could be in case if the authorities had a more sober stance.

    ---
    http://www.nt.am

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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