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  • Rumours exaggerated

    Azat Artsakh, Republic of Nagorno Karabakh (NKR)
    April 8 2004

    RUMOURS EXAGGERATED

    The messages of the recent days remind those made before a war.
    Threats and answers are made once from the Armenian party, and once
    from the Azerbaijani. In Karabakh, however, there is no sign of war.
    People think if there is, in fact, such threat why nobody reacts to
    it. It means the tensions are provoked deliberately hoping that
    something will explode somewhere. In this case for whom are these
    tensions favourable? On March 29 negotiations were to take place
    between the Armenian and Azerbaijani foreign ministers in Prague with
    the participation of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmen. The
    negotiations were cancelled because the Azerbaijani party refused to
    take part in them. The Armenian newspaper `Haykakan Zhamanakâ'
    writes that Baku generally refuses to negotiate with
    Armenia. According to the newspaper, the maintenance of the deadlock
    situation in the negotiation process is, as usual, favourable for
    Russia. In his interview to the newspaper `Azg' NKR minister of
    foreign affairs Ashot Ghulian said, `The very first months of office
    of Ilham Aliev showed that the prospect of the process of negotiations
    is blurred. Perhaps for them the Karabakh problem has stopped being a
    priority, and only vague militarist expressions are made, such as
    starting negotiations from the beginning, complaining of the
    activities of the international organizations and in particular the
    Minsk Group,' emphasized A. Ghulian. Although, maybe, the talks in
    Prague failed because Ilham Aliev was going to relieve minister of
    foreign affairs Vilayat Guliev from his post. The corresponding
    decision was signed on April 2, 2004 and Elmar Maherram Oghli
    Mamediarov was appointed minister of foreign affairs of Azerbaijan. It
    is obvious that the process of negotiations is rolling
    backward. Apparently this was the reason for active militarist
    propaganda. Moreover, now in Baku, on the one hand, they say that
    Azerbaijan cannot get reconciled with the loss of the territories, and
    on the other hand, the resumption of the military actions is
    favourable for the government of Armenia which prefers this to a civil
    war. `As long as the Azerbaijani territories are occupied, the war
    with Armenia may start at any moment,' told the Azerbaijani minister
    of home affairs Safar Abiev to the Azerbaijani agency `Trend'. `You
    know what the situation in Armenia is, as long as the Armenian armed
    forces are in our territory, the danger of resumption of war exists,'
    stressed S. Abiev. Member of parliament of the Azerbaijani Mili Mejlis
    Anar Mamedkhanov announced that the parliaments of Armenia and the
    Republic of Nagorni Karabakh are going to legalize the occupation of
    the Azerbaijani territories within one or two months. And the
    Baku-based newspaper `Zerkalo' foresees that in the upcoming days
    additional points may be introduced in the military doctrine of
    Armenia concerning the security of Nagorni Karabakh. `According to one
    of the points of the doctrine, in case of military threat or
    announcement of martial law the armed forces deployed in Nagorni
    Karabakh pass under the military commandment of Armenia.' Russia is
    also worried by the danger of resumption of the military actions in
    the conflict area of Karabakh. The Russian news agency `Regnum'
    headlined the materials concerning Nagorni Karabakh last week `Will
    the USA manage to prevent war in Karabakh?'. As to the USA, it will do
    anything for the settlement of the Karabakh conflict. This statement
    was made by the deputy secretary state of the US Richard
    Armitage. According to the newspaper `Turkish Daily News', Armitage
    cited the example of the recent events in Kosovo, adding at the same
    time that such collisions are possible in Nagorni Karabakh too, writes
    the newspaper `Azg' and mentions that in the recent months the
    skirmishes at the border between the Armenian and Azerbaijani forces
    have become frequent. The head of the director of plan and defence of
    the US European command, major general Jeffrey Kohler announced that
    the appeals of Washington for peaceful settlement refer to both
    Azerbaijan and Armenia. According to him, before the years 2001-2002
    the US government imposed sanctions against the Armenian and
    Azerbaijani parties, which may be imposed again in case of new
    confrontations at the border. At the same time he announced that the
    USA does not intend deploying new military installations in
    Azerbaijan. The opening of the Armenia-Turkey border also has a
    special role in the relationships of Armenia with Azerbaijan. This
    topic was touched upon the during the meeting of Richard Armitage with
    Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliev; the latter was against, as,
    according to him, opening the border with Turkey will render the
    conflict impossible to settle, because Azerbaijan will lose an
    important lever for putting pressure in Armenia. In his turn foreign
    minister of Armenia Vardan Oskanian appealed to the government of
    Ankara to make corresponding conclusions from Aliev's statements who
    considers Turkey as a lever in its hand against Armenia. On April 6 a
    group of journalists representing the leading mass media of Azerbaijan
    moves to the Armenian-Turkish border for the action `Turks Supporting
    Turks'. The main slogan of the action is `No to Opening Border with
    Armenia'. The action will start in the towns Igdir and Kars in the
    northeast of Turkey and will end in Ankara. The participants of the
    action will address a message to the government of the brotherly
    country appealing to oppose the tension on the part of a number of
    countries in this matter. The Azerbaijani journalists and the local
    inhabitants will create a symbolic wall between the territories of
    Armenia and Turkey. What is this if not a provocation of
    tensionsâ'

    NAIRA HAYRUMIAN
    From: Baghdasarian
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