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FM Addresses Academics, Experts, Diplomats at London's Chatham House

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  • FM Addresses Academics, Experts, Diplomats at London's Chatham House

    PRESS RELEASE
    Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Armenia
    Contact: Information Desk
    Tel: (374-1) 52-35-31
    Email: [email protected]
    Web: http://www.ArmeniaForeignMinistry.am


    Statement by
    Vartan Oskanian

    Minister of Foreign Affairs
    of the Republic of Armenia

    at Chatham House, London
    April 16, 2004


    Thank you for the opportunity to speak with you here today. I look forward
    to what is always an interesting dialog.

    In preparing my thoughts for this evening, I looked over my talk here at
    Chatham House in 1999. I suppose I knew, but those notes, black on white,
    drove home the point that the world is a different place today. It is not
    only international geopolitical relations and calculations which have
    changed, but so has Armenia and our region.

    Someone has said, "Show me a country's location on a map and I'll describe
    to you their foreign policy." Armenia is in the middle of the Caucasus,
    which itself is at the center of three continents, and just north of the
    Middle East. You can probably guess that our capacity to contribute to
    regional stability depends very much on our success in managing our
    relations with disparate and seemingly incompatible actors. Philip Marsden,
    the perceptive British author of one of the most engaging books on Armenia
    and Armenians, titles it the Crossing Place. No matter what type east-west,
    north-south, trade, exchange and migration one talks about, for 3000 years,
    Armenia has been at the intersection of millennial traffic.

    It is therefore natural that the foreign policy choice, and sometimes
    burden, of this young Republic is to pursue a policy of multidirectional
    complementarity,

    It is no secret, that given our geopolitical situation, the conflicts or
    hostilities we face and the limited resources we command, our room to
    maneuver is rather small.

    It is important therefore for Armenia that our actions, intents and
    relations are understood correctly and in their context.

    Today, our future depends on how well we handle each of the following four
    challenges:
    Security, Development, European integration and Nagorno Karabakh.

    Let me start with security. Given our history and the current realities in
    the region, security is a number one priority for Armenia. Armenians are
    extremely security conscious, that is why we have entered into layers of
    security guarantees compatible with our policy of complementarity. Those
    layers are comprised of our bilateral security arrangements with Russia, our
    membership in the Collective Security Agreement, our extensive engagement in
    disarmament treaties, most particularly the CFE which provides balance and
    transparency in our region, our extensive relations with NATO, and finally
    other bilateral arrangements, such as with Greece, and most recently with
    the US.

    First, Russia, with whom the scope and range of our connectedness is
    extensive -- economically, militarily, politically, and not unlike our
    relations with the US and the EU, influenced more and more by the presence
    there of a very large and increasingly more active Armenian Diaspora.
    Armenia does have a military pact with Russia. There are Russian military
    bases in Armenia. All of this leads to a myth about the degree of Armenia's
    dependence on the Russian Federation. There exist differing assumptions
    about Armenia's absolute margin of maneuver and, more significantly, our
    relative margin of flexibility in defining and pursuing our interests, more
    particularly with other countries.

    Actually, the truth lies elsewhere. The larger, more crucial and
    geostrategically more contingent relationship between the US and Russia, and
    the EU and Russia, is what will shape the role, significance and performance
    of Armenia in that triangle. And that is no myth.

    Before the war on terrorism, America itself was reticent to engage Armenia
    in military matters, given its desire not to offend or irritate regional
    proxies, friends or rivals. Today, we have entered into substantive military
    cooperation with the US.

    Further, while neither invited nor self-invited to be a candidate for NATO
    membership, Armenia, through PfP, is active and interested in the process.
    We have just begun our accession process to IPAP. In this and other
    instances, we have never been offered more than we have been willing or able
    to accept. We are therefore somewhat realistically concerned that if
    Armenia's and our neighbors' engagement with NATO proceeds unevenly, there
    is the danger of new dividing lines being created in the Caucasus, and
    that's not helpful for anyone's security interests.

    Turkey, too, has a role to play in Armenia's security. Not as a partner,
    unfortunately, but as a neighbor whose words, actions, relations ­ or
    absence of relations ­ creates the environment in which security concerns
    must be addressed. Turkey missed the historic opportunity a dozen years ago,
    to use the event of Armenia's independence to begin a new era of relations.
    Turkey is a major regional player with the potential of significantly
    impacting the regional environment. Its continuing insistence on
    preconditions to normal relations creates a breach in confidence. The
    absence of normal relations creates a fear of unexpected actions and
    complicates an already tense security environment.

    Fortunately, Iran, our southern neighbor has been much more even-handed and
    farsighted in its relations with Armenia. By experience and necessity, our
    engagement with Iran is not and cannot be superficial and on-and-off again.
    What we have is the cooperation of two neighbors, each resisting different
    forms of isolation and marginalization.

    Our second challenge is sustainable and rapid development. In the dozen
    short years since independence, we have secured Armenia's borders in an
    inherently unstable region, we have defended our people by creating a strong
    army, we have begun to build state structures where none existed, we have
    stopped the economic collapse and begun the climb toward prosperity, we have
    resolved the energy crisis and converted energy into a commodity, and in
    these last three years have sustained double digit economic growth.

    Clearly, more crucial challenges are waiting for us still. This growth,
    which admittedly began from a very low point of departure, will be difficult
    to maintain. We must continue to create rewarding jobs, elevate people's
    standard of living and eradicate poverty and indignity, we must fight and
    win the war against nepotism and corruption, we must dispel the shadow
    economy, we must protect the socially vulnerable, advocate for the rights of
    women and children, allow entrepreneurs to dream and create, bolster the
    vital mission of educators and shape a society where people believe in their
    abilities to live up to their dreams.

    We must also fashion a government of believers and believers in government.
    We often say that the steps we've taken toward democratic processes and
    democratic institutions have been the easy steps. Now, we need to do the
    hard work that results in the absorption and realization of these values in
    personal and public life. The recent demonstrations in Yerevan, by an
    opposition determined to come to power at all cost, even as they've publicly
    said by force, demonstrates that we have a ways to go. For Armenia or for
    any country in transition, what is needed is not just a government willing
    to set the rules and play by them, but also a constructive opposition that
    is willing to do the same, without brazenly, aggressively abusing the new
    opportunities that a democratic system offers. Only this will provide the
    kind of stability that is as important to empower a citizenry, as it is for
    a businessman to take risks.

    Taken together, all of these efforts ­ economic and political ­ will in turn
    create the kind of confidence necessary for direct foreign investments to
    increase and exports to find markets. It is the combination of these two
    pillars around which our economic growth will be sustained. Towards this
    end, we envision the creation of a Caucasus free trade zone, as Presidents
    Kocharian and Saakashvili have advocated. The BSEC and CIS can provide
    serious opportunities for unhindered economic cooperation among member
    states if political obstacles do not interfere. For such an enterprise to
    succeed, for foreign investors to engage in Caucasus projects, we need open
    communication lines. The closed border with Turkey has resulted in a gap in
    operating rail links from Turkey thru Armenia to Georgia. Within the TRACECA
    route, this constitutes the only missing link from Europe to Asia.
    Doubtless, re-commissioning this existing line is of value to those beyond
    our immediate region as well, thanks to waves of regionalization and
    globalization. Thus what is good for Armenia's development is also good for
    our neighbors near and far.

    >From a common security policy to a free trade area, all are achievable and
    workable. Civil society, interstate cooperation, human rights reforms,
    legislative compatibility, economic cooperation ­ these are the agenda items
    that will drive the development of our region. In the Caucasus, where we
    live with unresolved conflicts, a signal that the Caucasus belongs in
    Europe, will influence and determine how conflicts are resolved. This is our
    third challenge: Euro integration. This would not be a simple affirmation of
    cultural and religious affinities. This would be the framework within which
    we would view our futures, our borders, our neighbors. The Caucasus in
    Europe means a Caucasus where all neighbors quit trying to settle scores,
    where borders are no longer viewed as barriers. The countries of Europe and
    the European structures talk to the Caucasus, visit us, consider our
    problems and progress, our needs and accomplishments, all together, in one
    breath. This means that in time, we too, will see our future together.
    We appreciated the request by the Council of Ministers of the European Union
    to the European Commission to make recommendations about the Caucasus
    inclusion into the EU Wider Europe initiative during the Irish Presidency.
    We hope for and expect such a positive recommendation.

    But let me make a clear distinction, so we do not have any false illusions.
    The European Union offers us the prospect, not the promise. This is clearly
    understood by Armenia, and I have no doubt that it is understood by our
    neighbors. It is we in the Caucasus who will turn that prospect into a
    promise.

    Europe's standards force us to reexamine our own conduct and behavior. We
    are working to build functional, responsive, responsible societies in this
    neighborhood not through an imposition of force, but because we want to be a
    part of a greater Europe. Europe's experiences in regional cooperation,
    regional conflicts, regional compromises, influenced by the successes of the
    last 50 years can provide examples and guidance.

    The prospect of EU membership has already had positive effects for our
    neighbor Turkey, which is being forced to revisit its relations with at
    least one of its neighbors. In light of possible Turkish membership in the
    EU, the normalization of Turkey's relations with Armenia, should also be
    both condition and consequence. After all, this will be Europe's eastern
    border, and the prospect that it might be a closed border sounds improbable
    given Europe's standards and ideals.

    As you can see, Turkey is a factor in all the major challenges facing
    Armenia today. Whether we consider security interests, development
    directions, or European integration, the role that Turkey plays in the
    region is of consequence.

    Armenia repeats at every possible opportunity that we are prepared to
    continue dialogue, to work, without preconditions, for diplomatic relations,
    for open formal sovereign communications, without which regional imbalances,
    instability and even hostilities cannot be righted, mitigated, or anchored
    in reciprocal understanding. The simple fact is that neither our past nor
    our geography is going to change.

    To ignore this truth means that ­ perhaps ­ we do not want them to go away.
    If we do, then their legacy must be transcended together. We are not the
    only neighbors in the world who have had, and who continue to have, a
    troubled relationship. We know that evil ghosts on the Franco-German border
    were exorcised. We know that ours can be as well.

    I believe that Turkey's current government is also interested in working
    towards normalizing relations. But I also know that Turkey has fallen
    hostage to Azeri pressure. Azerbaijan's new President Aliyev recently
    acknowledged, publicly, that closed borders between Turkey and Armenia is a
    huge bargaining chip in Azerbaijan's hand, and the opening of the border
    will impact negatively on the Nagorno Karabakh peace process. He's wrong on
    both counts.

    Open borders are in the interests of everyone else, as well, but it would
    not be unfair to say that Turkey's role in Iraq, with Israel, with NATO and
    EU defense policy, not to say anything of the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline, are all
    too critical to risk jeopardizing by pushing a positive Turkish-Armenian
    agenda in the face of Turkish resistance.

    We believe that the facts show that the utility of sealed borders has
    diminished. On the contrary, their continued existence tends to lessen
    Turkey's credibility as a positive, active, regional player.

    This bring us to our fourth challenge: finding a lasting, peaceful
    resolution to the Nagorno Karabagh conflict.

    I've just returned from a meeting in Prague with the new Azerbaijani Foreign
    Minister, called by the Minsk Group co-chairs. I must admit that there are
    many uncertainties today in the negotiation process and I think that
    wittingly or unwittingly, rather than focusing on finding answers to the
    causes of this conflict, Azerbaijan is focusing on the consequences, and
    looking for ways of unraveling them.

    If the stages of this conflict are viewed one frame at a time, and the
    analysis is based on a single frame ­ the way the conflict appears today ­
    then we will have a distorted view and will apply inaccurate labels and
    propose inappropriate solutions. It is 2004 and the current phase of this
    century-old conflict, which resurfaced in 1988, has not yet ended. It has
    gone through a period of peaceful demonstrations by Armenians, followed by
    pogroms in Sumgait and Baku, sanctioned by the Azerbaijani authorities. This
    armed response was followed by a full military escalation, then a ceasefire,
    then many stages of negotiations, and that brings us to today.
    The refugee issue is consequence of the military conflict, and affects us
    all. One million refugees Azerbaijan says. That's true. But more than
    one-third of those refugees are Armenians. There were 400,000 Armenians
    living in Azerbaijan before this conflict began. If Armenia, with far less
    resources than Azerbaijan, has found ways to settle those refugees into some
    semblance of normal life, rather than keep them in tents and barracks as a
    showcase to the world, that does not mean that they do not exist. There are
    refugees from both sides just as there is suffering on both sides. Both
    sides have certain rights that need to be addressed.

    Second, it is simplistic to assume that Armenians will relinquish control
    over territories under their control as some sort of confidence building
    mechanism. Whose confidence are we building? Certainly not the confidence
    of the population of Nagorno Karabakh which fought for its basic civil and
    human rights, but will be left with no prospect of a long-term status and
    security to ensure that it will not have to fight again. The conflict is not
    over, and we've never claimed anything beyond what we think we deserve --
    that the international community look at this from the point of view of the
    rights of the people who live on those territories. We are both victims. We
    have to work towards a solution which allows us both to become victors.

    This year, on the 10th anniversary of this, the only self-imposed and
    self-maintained cease-fire in the world, what we want for Armenia, for
    Nagorno Karabagh and for our neighborhood are visionary, creative, tolerant
    responses based on good will. The formula we seek for our conflict and for
    our region is one that assumes that tomorrow we will live next door to a
    neighbor and not an enemy. Our dream is to create a country that will live
    in peace within itself and with its neighbors, a country that will provide
    security and comfort to those who wish to return. We dream that there will
    be no dead-end roads leading out of Armenia, that they will all be avenues
    of opportunity linking neighbor to neighbor, country to country,
    civilization to civilization.

    Our borders defining our territories will identify our cultures and
    identities, not serve as obstacles to free exchange and cooperation. In
    other words, putting this conflict within the context of European
    integration, finding solutions that are appropriate to the new geopolitical
    context is what will move all of the Caucasus to a new level of peace and
    prosperity.

    Thank you.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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