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ANKARA: Russia's time in the Caucasus is up...

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  • ANKARA: Russia's time in the Caucasus is up...

    Kavkaz Center, Turkey
    Aug 6 2004

    "Russia's time in the Caucasus is up..."

    Interview with Nodar Natadze, Ph.D., Chairman of People's Front of
    Georgia.

    The South Ossetian roundabout has started going around an endless
    circle, and many in Georgia are worrying about what is going on and
    who is trying to achieve what. These are the questions that Kavkaz
    Center reporter asked the Leader of People's Front of Georgia Nodar
    Natadze.

    KC: Mr. Natadze, please tell us what is really going on? Who is
    trying to achieve what? On the one hand, they are saying that the war
    would have been a big mistake, but on the other hand, the way to
    dismember Georgia through the so-called 'federalization' seems to be
    just as dangerous. So, where is the way out, and why the Georgian
    central government, the official Tbilisi went for the aggravation,
    while anticipating today's outcome?

    N.Natadze: Before I answer your questions, this is what I would like
    to mention: I am very concerned and tragically shocked by the fact
    that the Georgian leadership allowed a joint patrol of
    Georgian-Chechen border. If it's just tactics and a short-term
    action, it's all right. But if it is strategy, then it is tragedy.
    For me it is one of the most tragic among the most recent phenomena.

    Russian border guards have nothing to do in jointly patrolling the
    Georgian-Chechen border. Too bad that they are stationed on the
    Chechen side. But why would they need to be on this side as well? It
    is fundamentally unacceptable.

    There can be no Georgian-Russian joint war on terror, because those
    who are called terrorists in Russia are not terrorists here.

    And now let me answer your questions. There is no Ossetia south of
    the Caucasus Mountain Range in existence, and there can never be any.
    Russian invaders were the ones who came up with the Ossetian word to
    call sections of that territory in the 19th century. And the word was
    an adjective and not a noun.

    It was called Ossetian District. This is what they were calling the
    territories in the upper reaches of the Aragvi River and a little
    area southwest of it. And another Ossetian District was the territory
    north of the Caucasus Mountain Range, which used to belong to Georgia
    during Georgian kings. It is the Ardon vicinity, etc.

    Mainly, the Ossetians started settling on Georgian territories since
    1864, when serfdom was abolished in Georgia. Georgian nobles and
    princes lost their serfs but the lands remained theirs. In order to
    till these lands when serf labor was no longer available, they
    started inviting Ossetians from the northern slopes of the Caucasus
    Mountains.

    KC: But still, maybe it was a political issue instead of an agrarian
    one? Let's just recall how during the same period of time in
    Javakhetia [Southern Georgia] 40 thousand families of Georgian
    Muslims were expelled to Turkey and Armenians were moved to these
    lands later. Then some Georgian lands were inhabited by Germans,
    Greeks, etc.

    N.Natadze: Ossetians came to Georgia as agricultural workers. As the
    ones who were given shelter. Thus, the Russian census conducted in
    the end of the 19th century lists 15 thousand Ossetian families in
    Eastern Georgia. All of them were doing agricultural work, but none
    of them owned any pieces of land. This is how a critical agrarian
    conflict was created. There was agricultural population, who had no
    property or land of their own.

    By using these purely agrarian tensions, the Bolsheviks organized an
    armed Ossetian uprising in the northern part of central Georgia back
    in 1918. It was a rebellion against Georgia, which back then was
    independent. Under the guise of a national movement. But really it
    was an agrarian movement of agricultural workers. It was taking
    pretty brutal forms.

    Georgian side took police measures against the armed uprising. But
    these measures were brought to naught. After Russia invaded Georgia
    in 1921, the Caucasus Bureau of the Bolsheviks decided to complete
    the job and set up the South Ossetian Autonomous Region.

    Even for one hour Ossetian territorial autonomy on the Georgian soil
    has never existed and will never exist without the presence of
    Russian regular forces. Two Soviet regiments were stationed there
    back during the Soviet times. A helicopter regiment and an
    engineering regiment. They were the ones who maintained control of
    the situation. Right now, as a result of traitorous signature of
    Shevardnadze [former Georgian president], who was nothing but a
    usurper at that time - under the guise of being a chairman of an
    illegal State Council (no one else had elected him), these Russian
    troops are still stationed there. Then the document was signed: the
    agreement on inviting the so-called 'peacekeepers' to the Tskhinvali
    area in order to keep the sides separated. And these days these armed
    forces are using the traitorous signature of Shevardnadze as the
    pretext. They have no other grounds.

    Russia has always been promoting Ossetinization of those territories.
    When that administrative region was being created, Ossetians had
    always been a minority. Most of the Georgian population had to leave
    their lands and now they are in the position of refugees. Russia was
    pursuing the same policies in Javakhetia, with the only difference
    that it was being done bloodlessly. 30 thousand Armenian families
    were moved to that area to replace ousted Georgian Muslims. During
    the war of 1928-1929 Georgian Muslims left that seat of war. And once
    the peace agreement was signed, they were not allowed to return
    there.

    It's been a while since Moscow has been persistently pursuing the
    policies of 'Georgia without Georgians'. This line was even adopted
    in the midst of the so-called Russian intellectuals, let alone
    representatives of the authorities.

    There was a time when even Academician Sakharov (supposedly a
    democrat and a human rights activist) even admitted it. When he was
    young he used to visit one of the mountaineer camps in the North
    Caucasus every summer. Famous Georgian mountaineer Sandro Gvelia was
    the leader of that camp. They had wonderful friendly relationship.
    And all of a sudden Sandro asked Sakharov: «Why you don't like
    Georgia?» And he answered: «Why, why... We do like Georgia, we just
    don't like Georgians». This is the essence of the Russian policies.

    As far as the present-day situation goes, it is now developing under
    the pressure of objective processes. Regardless of what we do, Russia
    is now vacating the South Caucasus. The West has a vital interest in
    having a free access to Central Asia, which is not controlled by
    Russia. If the West makes it on time, it would be good. If it
    doesn't, then the World War III will certainly take place. And the
    frontlines of this war will be at the Caspian Sea.

    If the West manages to gain a firm foothold in the South Caucasus,
    then the war will either not happen due to the absence of the
    adversary, or its frontlines will be located between Central Asia and
    China.

    It is of vital interest to the West. Not imperial or economic
    interest, but vital interest. Russia has no such interests in the
    Caucasus. It only has its imperial interest. So, the interests of the
    West are greater than Russia's interests are.

    But Russia wants to retain some even tiny piece of territory for the
    future, -- by actively using many of its agents in Georgia. Just in
    case. For instance, it wants to set up the status of the Tskhinvali
    [capital of South Ossetia] and Abkhaz zones in a way that these
    territories could be virtually independent from Georgia and so that
    Russia could be the guarantor of that status. Russia wants these time
    bombs on the body of Georgia.

    And now Georgia's problem is to make Russia leave without leaving
    these bombs. This is what we are interested in. The West doesn't
    really care about it.

    KC: And how would it be possible?

    N.Natadze: It depends on how loyal the Georgian government is to the
    people. War or negotiations based on force is actually all the same.
    There will be no result without superiority in forces.

    What is our superiority in forces guaranteed by? First of all, by
    proper political steps. The government of Georgia must make a clear
    statement that this is not a Georgian-Ossetian war, but a
    Russian-Georgian war, and that the Tskhinvali zone is now occupied by
    the Russian troops. Georgian government must abolish the status of
    Russians as being 'peacekeepers'. These steps will either prevent
    military intervention from the North or make it least likely.

    Georgia has to be so strong, so that it could make a military
    intervention least likely. Georgia will not be able to defeat Russia
    if Russia starts attacking Georgia's positions when using Ossetian
    banners. Maybe we are weaker, but we have to overpower this form of
    intervention.

    KC: Is it already the issue of a new war, or is it the continuation
    of the war of 1992-1993?

    N.Natadze: Russian-Georgian war has not stopped ever since. The enemy
    took our territories and is now occupying these lands after being
    assisted by Shevardnadze, who committed high treason. Right now our
    mission is to stop this invasion.

    KC: President of Georgia Mikhail Saakashvili probably has started
    looking at Russia more soberly. He is very close to such
    formulations. The first time he started calling things by their
    proper names was when he said the word aggression, etc. But so far
    there is no clear and comprehensive definition of the essence of
    confrontation, and nor there is a clear definition of who the enemy
    of Georgia is. Nor it is clear how far the promises of the
    authorities to change the mandate of 'peacekeepers' will go.

    Many are also concerned about the relations between the US and Russia
    on the Georgian issue. Do you think some deals may be taking place
    behind Georgia's back?

    N.Natadze: The decision has already been made that Russians will not
    be present in the Caucasus. Russia's time in the Caucasus is up.
    There is nothing that can stop this process. Concerning the US help
    to Georgia. First, it is the Western factor that keeps Russia from
    conducting a direct strike against Georgia.

    On the second day American unofficial diplomatic elite and diplomatic
    community gathered when Mr. Saakashvili made his famous statement.
    They were professional diplomats. There are very influential people
    among them. They had a long and productive discussion on this subject
    and all of them were unanimous that it must be recorded that Russia
    and Georgia are the ones fighting the war in the Tskhinvali zone and
    in Abkhazia. And not Ossetians or Abkhazians with Georgians.

    This approach has already been recorded in the minds of the society.
    In the West public opinion is only a step away from the official
    opinion. So the decision has virtually been made.

    I'd like to add something else. In 93 after my strong speeches during
    the negotiations on the framework agreement, I had a meeting with the
    new staff of Defense and Security Committee of the Russian State Duma
    [parliament]. And one of the members said, it was in May 1993, this
    is what he said: «We will lose the North Caucasus, but we will have a
    war with them».

    I started laughing and I said, «We've been living together for three
    thousand years, but we never had a war with them. So why would a war
    start today?»

    All of it shows that Russian political elite knows full well that it
    is going to lose the North Caucasus. They know it is inevitable. They
    want to stretch out this process somehow, and get something in
    exchange for their surrender by the time that day comes. They
    perfectly know that the war for retaining the North Caucasus under
    their control has no future. And the South Caucasus for them has no
    future even hundreds of times more. Politicians know about it, only
    an average Johnny doesn't.

    KC: In the war with Georgia Russia has been actively using the factor
    of temporarily lost territories, but Georgia has a political
    nightstick, which is just as strong. I mean Chechnya. Why is the
    official Georgia quiet about it? Georgia is afraid to talk about
    Chechnya even when it is being choked and all kinds of vile methods
    are used?

    N.Natadze: Your question is the central question to characterize the
    situation. My answer will be very sad. The whole problem is in
    Georgian government's loyalty to their state and their people. There
    is nothing else I can say.

    Only through its one representative in the UN Georgia can start a
    storm of pressure on the Russian policies in Chechnya without
    violating the legal norms even for a milligram. But that seat is not
    occupied by our man.

    KC: What do you think about the all-Caucasus ideas?

    N.Natadze: Union of the Caucasus countries and nations is surely a
    great idea. It has very promising future. Power-wise. But this power
    has its limits. This is why the work in this direction must fit into
    the global context, whether we want it or not.

    KC: Your optimism and your faith in the help from the West are very
    strong, and unfortunately, yours truly has great doubts about it.

    N.Natadze: It's not my faith, this is what I know.

    KC: Anyway, we are always interested to listen to you, and we have
    great respect for your opinion. Thank you.

    Conversation was conducted by Data Tutashkhia, Tbilisi, Georgia.

    For Kavkaz-Center
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