Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Iran-Azerbaijan relations: on better footing post Khatami Baku Visit

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Iran-Azerbaijan relations: on better footing post Khatami Baku Visit

    Eurasianet Organization
    Aug 10 2004

    IRAN-AZERBAIJAN RELATIONS: ON A BETTER FOOTING AFTER KHATAMI'S BAKU
    VISIT
    Shahin Abbasov: 8/10/04

    A recent visit by Iranian President Mohammad Khatami to Azerbaijan
    seems to have put bilateral relations on a better footing. However,
    the Iranian leader's trip did not succeed in resolving the
    fundamental issue separating the two nations: the territorial
    division of the Caspian Sea.

    Khatami held talks in Baku with his Azerbaijani counterpart, Ilham
    Aliyev, and other top officials during his August 5-7 visit. It was
    the Iranian chief executive's first trip to neighboring Azerbaijan
    since his election in 1997 - evidence of the chill that has marked
    bilateral ties since the break-up of the Soviet Union in 1991.
    Besides the Caspian question, the issue of ethnic Azeris in Iran has
    been a significant source of tension. Geopolitics has also come into
    play: Azerbaijan has been wary about Iran's strong economic and
    political ties with Armenia, while Tehran has been suspicious of
    Baku's close relationship with the United States.

    Upon his arrival in Baku, Khatami spoke of "great opportunities and
    tremendous potential for the development of bilateral relations."
    Aliyev expressed similar sentiments, and accepted an invitation to
    make a state visit to Iran at a time to be determined. The most
    significant development to arise from Khatami's visit was an Iranian
    commitment to allow Azerbaijan to open consular offices in Tabriz, a
    hub for ethnic Azeris living in northern Iran.

    There are an estimated 30-35 million Azeris in Iran, most of them in
    northern areas of the country. The pending opening of an Azerbaijani
    consulate in Tabriz has generated hope in Baku that the Iranian
    government is adopting a more tolerant stance towards ethnic Azeris
    in Iran.

    In addition, Khatami reiterated Iran's commitment to Azerbaijan's
    territorial integrity, effectively signaling that Tehran supported
    Baku's negotiating position in the stalled Nagorno-Karabakh peace
    talks. [For additional information see the Eurasia Insight archive].
    In a follow-up development, Iran's Export Development Bank extended a
    $75 million loan to improve the power grid in the Azerbaijani exclave
    of Nakhichevan, which straddles the Iranian frontier, the Bilik
    Dunyasi news agency reported.

    Azerbaijan, in turn, has expressed support for Iran's participation
    in a transit system connecting Europe and Asia, known as TRACECA.
    Baku additionally endorsed the creation of a tripartite railway and
    road network, involving Azerbaijan, Iran and Russia. Such projects
    could potentially be of enormous economic benefit for Iran by opening
    new export routes.

    As widely anticipated, Khatami's visit was unable to produce a
    breakthrough on the Caspian Sea question. Iran and Azerbaijan have
    long been unable to agree on a formula to divide the sea. The
    bickering at some points has even threatened to turn violent. [For
    background see the Eurasia Insight archive]. The lack of a deal has
    hampered the development of the region's ample natural resources.
    [For background see the Eurasia Insight archive].

    During his Baku visit, Khatami tried to stir hope that a near-term
    breakthrough was possible. Yet no participants in the stalemated
    Caspian Sea talks have given any indication of making a significant
    concession. Iran believes the five Caspian littoral states should
    receive equal 20 percent shares of the sea. Azerbaijan, along with
    Kazakhstan and Russia, favor a formula that would leave Iran with
    roughly a 13 percent share. Turkmenistan's stance in the process has
    proven hard to pin down.

    Despite the lack of progress on the Caspian issue, state-controlled
    media in Azerbaijan generally trumpeted Khatami's visit as a success.
    "There is great potential to develop Azerbaijani-Iranian relations in
    all fields," said a headline in the August 7 edition of the official
    Khalq Gazeti.

    Some observers say that bolstering bilateral ties marks a pragmatic
    step for both sides. Azerbaijan of late has expressed frustration
    with Western institutions, in particular the OSCE Minsk Group, over
    the lack of progress on a Karabakh settlement. [For background see
    the Eurasia Insight archive]. Closer Azerbaijani-Iranian ties, or at
    least the appearance of such, could be a way to get Minsk Group
    members, especially the United States, to push harder for a Karabakh
    settlement, some Azerbaijani officials believe. The Bush
    administration has been keen to promote Iran's diplomatic isolation.
    [For background see the Eurasia Insight archive]. "Rapprochement with
    Iran would allow Azerbaijan to create great potential for political
    maneuvering vis a vis the West," said a commentary published by the
    Zaman newspaper.

    Other Azerbaijani experts, meanwhile, feel that Iran desperately
    needs friendlier relations with Baku. "Khatami realizes very well
    that from a geopolitical point of view, Iran is currently in a
    situation with no prospects," said a commentary published by the
    Zerkalo daily. [See related story] "Iran is sliding into a dangerous
    area of geopolitical isolation."


    Editor's Note: Shahin Abbasov is a freelance contributor to
    EurasiaNet. He also serves as the deputy editor-in-chief of the Echo
    newspaper in Baku.
Working...
X