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  • Armenian lobbyists are facing a lost cause

    Ha'aretz, Israel
    Aug 12 2004

    Armenian lobbyists are facing a lost cause

    By Nathan Guttman

    Activists again failed to obtain U.S. congressional recognition of
    the Armenian genocide. The obstacles they face include America's ties
    with Turkey and the Jewish lobby.

    WASHINGTON - For a moment it seemed to Armenian activists in the U.S.
    that they had made progress toward obtaining U.S. congressional
    recognition of the massacre perpetrated by the Turks against the
    Armenian people 98 years ago. U.S. Congressman Adam Schiff, a
    California Democrat, succeeded on July 15 in getting approval from
    the House of Representatives for an amendment to the Foreign
    Operations Appropriations bill, which would bar Turkey from using the
    annual American aid it receives to hire political lobbyists in
    Washington to lobby against the decision recognizing the Armenian
    genocide. Ostensibly, a marginal amendment and not terribly
    important, but in the eyes of supporters of the Armenian cause in the
    U.S., even approval of a minor amendment is considered an
    achievement.

    The battle to gain recognition of the Armenian genocide by the U.S.
    Congress is transformed annually into a fight between the small group
    of Armenian supporters in Congress and the rest of the world - the
    Turkish representatives and the lobbyists working on their behalf,
    the administration, the supports of the administration in Congress,
    and also several of the large Jewish organizations. When the U.S.
    tries to maintain good relations with Turkey, the price is paid by
    those who want to see the American Congress include the Armenian
    genocide in the decision denouncing such actions, Resolution 193,
    which also recognizes the Armenian genocide as such, approval of
    which has been delayed.

    The minor achievement in Congress, which is now referred to as the
    Schiff Amendment, did not last long. Republican leaders in the House
    of Representatives - Speaker J. Dennis Hastert, House Majority Leader
    Tom DeLay and House Majority Whip Roy Blunt - issued an especially
    sharply worded statement the day after the amendment was approved, in
    which they made it clear that the amendment was unacceptable to them
    and that they would seek to annul it when the Foreign Operations
    Appropriations bill came before the conference committee that
    attempts to bridge the gap between the Senate and House of
    Representatives positions, before a bill is sent to the president for
    his signature. When the House leadership mobilizes to kill a bill,
    chances are the effort will be successful and therefore it seems that
    despite the Schiff Amendment, no one will deduct from U.S. aid to
    Turkey the sums it uses to finance activities against the resolution
    recognizing the Armenian genocide.

    `The resolution is dead'

    Even the chances of House Resolution 193 now seem slimmer than ever,
    given that at the conclusion of their statement, the House majority
    leaders declared that "Furthermore, we have no intention of
    scheduling H.Res. 193, as reported out of the Judiciary Committee in
    April, during the remainder of this Congress." The practical
    significance of that is the resolution is a lost cause. Elizabeth
    Chouldjian, of the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA),
    believes there is a still a chance for getting the amendment passed.
    The organization is currently urging its supporters to call and write
    to the House of Representatives in order to overturn the decision of
    the House leadership and nevertheless schedule a vote on the
    resolution. "We're getting good response in the House of
    Representatives and have 40 co-sponsors on a similar resolution in
    the Senate," she said, but history teaches that even interest groups
    that are stronger than the Armenian lobby have no chance when the
    administration and the Congressional leadership are working against
    them. Another Armenian activist openly admitted that "the resolution
    is dead" and this year again there is no chance of passing the
    resolution that recognizes the Armenian genocide.

    Don't upset Turkey

    The main obstacle facing supporters of the Armenian cause in the U.S.
    and their attempts to gain recognition for the Armenian genocide is
    the administration's basic position and that of many others, whereby
    friendship with Turkey is more important than anything else. The
    Turkish government, via its diplomatic representatives and lobbyists,
    has made it very clear to the Americans that any recognition of the
    Armenian genocide will be perceived in Ankara as a slap in the face
    and will adversely affect ties between the two countries.

    So, for example, when France was considering a similar law, the Turks
    threatened a series of sanctions and in the end recalled their
    ambassador from Paris for six months. In the U.S., the situation is
    much more sensitive - the Americans need Turkey as a crucial ally in
    its region, as a base for U.S. forces and primarily, to maintain
    relative quiet in northern Iraq. "Our relationship with Turkey is too
    important to us to allow it to be in any way damaged by a poorly
    crafted and ultimately meaningless amendment," said senior House
    leaders in their reaction to the Schiff Amendment. The administration
    maintains a similar position. The debate does not revolve around the
    question of whether there was an Armenian genocide or its scope, but
    around contemporary politics and Turkey's possible reaction if
    someone upsets them with regard to this issue.

    The Jewish community in the U.S. and the Israel issue are also
    entwined in the pressure campaign preventing approval of the
    resolution. "The community is certainly a player on this issue," said
    a key Jewish activist in Washington, who like many others involved in
    the issue, asked to remain off the record. Representatives of Jewish
    organizations reported "a sense of discomfort," as one described it,
    when coming to explain their position on the Armenian resolution; on
    one hand, the Jews as a community are sensitive to the tragedy
    experienced by the Armenian people, but on the other hand, there are
    Israel-Turkey relations to consider. "We have always had a level of
    uncertainty regarding the balance that should be kept between the
    moral factors and the strategic interests," one Jewish organization
    official cautiously explained.

    Last year, Jewish organizations, primarily the American Jewish
    Committee (AJC), have been more active in thwarting the resolution
    acknowledging the Armenian genocide. This year the politicians
    managed of their own accord and the resolution will be postponed even
    without the involvement of Jewish organizations. But a central
    activists in a Jewish organization involved in this matter clarified
    that if necessary, he would not hesitate to again exert pressure to
    ensure the resolution is not passed and the Turks remain satisfied.
    The same activist said he had received numerous requests in the past
    to work against the Armenian cause in Congress. "The State Department
    asked us, other people in the administration did, even the Turkish
    Jewish community asked us to act on this issue," he said. The
    prevailing opinion among the large Jewish organizations is that
    "Turkey's relations with the United States and Israel are too
    important for us to deal with this subject," according to one
    community activist who was involved in blocking Resolution 193 last
    year. The more expansive explanation, offered in meetings and
    discussions, is that "the Armenian genocide is a matter for
    historians, not for legislators."

    Even though ties between Israel and Turkey are the determining factor
    in decision-making in the Jewish community, there is also some weight
    to the matter of definition. The American term proposed in the
    resolution refers to "genocide" of the Armenians, while the Nazis'
    acts against the Jews during World War II are defined as "Holocaust."
    The distinction does indeed exist, but according to many Jewish
    activists, there are some who feel discomfort over the mention of the
    Armenian genocide alongside the Jewish Holocaust, for fear of
    cheapening the concept of a holocaust.

    The Jewish community's involvement in the issue of the Armenian
    genocide is affected by the status of Israel-Turkey relations. One
    senior organizational official related that during the honeymoon
    years of Turkish-Israeli ties, the Jewish organizations were more
    enthusiastic about openly helping Turkey thwart previous
    Armenian-related resolutions in Congress. Now, he adds, since ties
    have cooled off somewhat, many Jewish activists are trying to lower
    their profile in this matter. The organized Jewish community in the
    U.S. has close ties with the Turkish government and one of Turkish
    Prime Minister Racep Tayep Erdogan's senior advisers even promised
    recently at a Washington meeting with a Jewish audience that
    Erdogan's criticism of Israel was misunderstood and that Turkey will
    do everything to restore ties to the way they were.

    Armenians for Kerry

    The insistence of the administration and Congressional Republicans to
    bar the resolution on Armenian genocide does not make President
    George Bush very popular among Armenians on the eve of elections. One
    of the large Armenian organizations in the U.S. has already publicly
    endorsed Kerry and the Democrats have two groups of Armenians for
    Kerry working for them. So far, no Armenian group has voiced support
    for Bush. But the Armenian community's electoral power is not
    significant. There an currently an estimate 1-1.5 million Americans
    of Armenian descent, but most are second, third or fourth-generation
    immigrants and therefore, not all of them vote based on the
    candidates' views on faraway Armenia. "There are those who base their
    decision on the Armenian issue, those who vote only based on their
    political views and those who vote based on different reasons
    altogether," explained Ross Vartian, the executive director of the
    Armenian Assembly of America.

    However, the Armenian community has also kept track of President
    Bush's record. He promised in his 2000 election campaign to recognize
    the Armenian genocide and after his election worked to thwart such
    resolutions; he allocated a smaller amount of foreign aid to Armenia
    than he had recommended to Congress and favored issues relating to
    Azerbaijan over Armenian ones; and the Armenians in the U.S. were
    insulted when Bush's administration announced that Armenians residing
    in the U.S. would be required to register at the offices of the
    Immigration and Naturalization Service, as foreigners from Arab and
    Muslim countries were required to do after September 11. Following
    pressure from the community, the decision was retracted after 48
    hours.

    Next year, the world will mark the 90th anniversary of the Armenian
    genocide. Activists in the U.S. hope the international pressure and
    perhaps also the results of the U.S. election will enable them to
    obtain approval of the resolution recognizing the Armenian genocide
    in the next session of Congress. Past experience shows that the
    chances of that happening are slim.
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