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Tbilisi: A bear in bear's clothing

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  • Tbilisi: A bear in bear's clothing

    Messenger.com.ge, Georgia
    Aug 26 2004

    A bear in bear's clothing

    On Tuesday Georgian mass-media and the political establishment
    shuttered to see amateur video footage showing a huge concentration
    of Russian armed-forces, including soldiers, tanks, armed vehicles,
    helicopters, and artillery allegedly in North Ossetian territory
    immediately bordering the Roki Tunnel into South Ossetia - the only
    artery in the separatist region connecting Georgia to Russia.

    The chair of the Defense Committee of the Georgian Parliament Givi
    Targamadze stated that from now on Georgia must be prepared to defend
    itself from Russian intervention being planned by 'Russian
    imperialists.' Speaker of Parliament Nino Burjanadze openly asked the
    Russian administration to explain the appearance of Russian military
    forces so close to the Georgian border without any obvious reason.

    The Russian newspaper Kommersant confirmed a large military presence
    in Sernovodsk (North Ossetia) where a training of Russia's 57th army
    is underway. According to the paper, it involves more than 2,000
    personnel and more than 100 units of tanks and armored vehicles.

    At the same time there are preparations underway for another training
    with more than 5,000 reservists are expected. Elsewhere in Armenia
    Russian and Armenian forces are planning a joint training, that
    includes fighter and bomber aircraft and in the Abkhazian conflict
    zone Russian peacekeepers are also conducting trainings.

    It is important to note, especially after the mysterious crashes of
    two Russian passenger jets late Tuesday, that Russia nervously is
    watching events before and after the August 29 elections scheduled
    for Chechnya. With such a jittery stance, Russia is more likely to
    react with unbridled brute force than with a thought-out plan if it
    encounters disturbances anywhere in the Caucasus.

    Several Georgian politicians mentioned that although full-scale war
    most probably has been avoided in the Tskhinvali region, the
    prospects of Russian intervention are still very serious. They add
    this could be done if not directly through implementing Russian
    regular troops, then otherwise by sending military forces into the
    region under a guise.

    In his statement late on Tuesday, President Saakashvili highlighted
    that the direct confrontation has been avoided in the region and
    although Georgia should be very cautious towards the developments
    with Russia, there should be no possible way for the further
    escalation of the confrontation and in particular there should be no
    comparison with the events ongoing in Chechnya.

    Saakashvili mentioned that Georgia respects the territorial integrity
    of Russia and it is not part of Georgia's intentions to think of a
    confrontation with Russia. However, Russia should itself realize and
    respect the territorial integrity of Georgia and prove this in deed.

    Saakashvili also stressed upon the fact that he is in permanent
    contact with President Putin of Russia but it was likely that
    President Putin sometimes does not control the entire situation in
    his country.

    President Saakashvili's next decision to attend the government
    session which had been moved to Adjara gave confidence to the
    Georgian population that things are not that dramatic. However,
    Georgian law-enforcement is on alert in particular around the
    conflict zone.

    All Georgian leaders and political figures and political analysts are
    unanimous that only through the internalization of the peacekeeping
    process in the region could Georgia avoid future complications in the
    conflict zone. Therefore Georgia tries to attract as much attention
    from international organizations such as the European Union, the
    Council of Europe, OSCE and friendly countries including neighboring
    Turkey and of course the United States.

    Several times Saakashvili mentioned a deeper and full-scale
    involvement of the OSCE in monitoring the conflict zone and even
    conducting a peacekeeping mission. The headlines of Georgian
    newspapers on Wednesday clearly stated that the conflict has not been
    resolved yet and the current situation is very far from a peaceful
    settlement.

    Unlike twelve years ago, it is difficult to turn a blind eye to
    events in Georgia, particularly interference by political groups and
    officials based in Russia. The Rose Revolution made it impossible for
    countries to turn the other way as they did in the early 1990's and
    throughout the crisis in Chechnya. Moreover, with numerous
    achievements under its belt, the young Georgian government has earned
    the backing of supporters in Europe and beyond.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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