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  • Georgian pipelines for sale?

    Messenger.com.ge, Georgia
    Aug 27 2004

    Georgian pipelines for sale?
    By Messenger staff

    Georgia has a very sophisticated network of natural gas pipelines.
    The first natural gas pipeline started functioning in Georgia during
    Soviet times on December 25, 1959. The first influx of natural gas
    came from Azerbaijan. Later this pipeline was extended to the north
    towards Russia. Then this pipeline was joined to the Iranian gas
    being pumped through Azerbaijan into the north.

    Later another pipeline was added for the purpose of pumping Russian
    natural gas through Georgia into Armenia. Fortunately today the
    country still has this complicated network and has the capacity to
    pump natural gas in many different directions, sometimes consuming
    the gas itself or for serving as a transit unit.

    In couple of years it is planned that, after Tbilisi-Baku-Ceyhan is
    ready, the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum natural gas pipeline will be finished
    as well.

    Up until now, the main supplier of natural gas to Georgia has been
    Russia. It provides all of the gas used, 10 percent of which Georgia
    earns from the pipeline leading to Armenia and Georgia receives this
    during transit.

    Recently, during his Iranian visit, President Saakashvili raised the
    issue of providing Georgia with Iranian gas as an alternative to
    Russia. As soon as the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum, also known as the Shah
    Deniz pipeline, starts, Georgia will have a concrete alternative
    supply from Russia and therefore, it can always look for better
    prices and a reliable partnership.

    With the country entirely dependent on Russia, Georgia experiences
    discomfort as Russian politicians threaten to cut off the gas supply
    and thus weaken Georgia. Even in the recent past they did so, always
    excusing their behaviour, hypocritically, as a problem of gas
    shortage with various technical explanations. Georgia must also deal
    with its significant debts to Russia and lacks an alternative
    supplier with to improve its negotiating position.

    Complicating the situation, in one of his interviews with the
    newspaper Akhali Versia the Minister of Economy Kakha Bendukidze
    responded to the question of whether the main natural gas pipeline
    should be sold or not and said: "Give me a good buyer who will give
    me a good price and I am going to sell it."

    Experts think, however, that at the moment the natural gas pipeline
    in the condition that it is in now will need several hundred million
    USD for its rehabilitation and few investors will be attracted to buy
    this network.

    However one possible investment might appear from Russia because it
    needs the connection with their Armenian ally as well as Iran. And of
    course, as current practice shows, if Russia becomes the owner of
    these pipelines, it could exercise its complete influence much
    stronger than now and in particular in situations of crisis for
    Georgia.

    Therefore, the opinion of the Georgian political and economic
    analysts is that selling the main natural gas pipelines to investors
    and in particular to Russians will be dangerous from the prospect of
    Georgia's energy security and furthermore to Georgia's state
    security.
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