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  • Dual-purpose visit

    Agency WPS
    What the Papers Say. Part B (Russia)
    December 6, 2004, Monday

    DUAL-PURPOSE VISIT

    SOURCE: Kommersant, December 6, 2004, p. 9

    by Boris Volkhonskii

    President Putin tried to end his official visit to India (the third
    in the past four years) in a major key. In New Delhi on Saturday, he
    denied media reports that Russia allegedly supports India's aim to
    join the UN Security Council but opposes granting veto power to
    India. President Putin noted that the veto power should either be
    extended to all members of the UN Security Council, or invalidated
    for all members. Putin said that the latter would decrease the UN's
    influence.

    After that, Putin visited India's "Silicon Valley" - the city of
    Bangalore. This is the center of India's advanced technologies. When
    in Bangalore, Putin proposed to covert part of India's debt into
    joint ventures.

    Putin did not forget that military technology cooperation is the main
    aspect of cooperation between Russia and India. He observed flights
    of planes and helicopters built by Hindustan Aeronautics and examined
    the Sukhoi fighter assembled by the Indian enterprise under license
    from Russia.

    Russia and India reached an agreement to conduct a joint exercise for
    their paratrooper units in 2005. Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov said
    that the Indian Airborne Troops are equipped with Russian weapons and
    military hardware.

    President Putin arrived in Ankara after his visit to India. Relations
    with Turkey are not as optimistic as cooperation with India. Before
    the Russian leaders visited Turkey 32 years ago.

    In the meantime, the current state of bilateral relations between
    Moscow and Ankara reached the level when a political visit by the
    Russian leader became very topical. It should be noted that trade
    turnover between Russia and Turkey reached $4.6 billion in the first
    half of 2004. It is intended that economic cooperation with Ankara
    will amount to $10 billion at the end of the year (to compare: trade
    turnover with India, other than military technology cooperation,
    reached only $1.7 billion in 2003).

    At the same time, the state of political relations leaves much to be
    desired. Mutual reproached for supporting the separatist movements
    aggravate relations between Moscow and Ankara. Some economic issues
    have political aspects. First and foremost, this concerns energy and
    energy resources. Moscow does not hide its negative attitude to the
    plan to build pipelines from the Caspian region to Turkish ports
    bypassing Russian territory.

    Moscow and Ankara often dispute over tanker routes in the straits
    between the Black Sea and Mediterranean Sea.

    These problems shed light on the goals of Putin's visit. He intends
    to sign the declaration on friendship and partnership in Ankara. In
    addition, the Russian leader will sign a range of intergovernmental
    documents and agreements. The anti-terrorist effort will become a
    very important aspect of negotiations. Russia deleted the term
    "international terrorism" and references to Chechnya from the text of
    the joint declaration. However, it's obvious that the Chechen issue
    will be raised during negotiations. However, it's hardly likely that
    the parties will approve juridical documents: Turkey has grievances
    against Russia regarding the presence of Kurdish separatists on
    Russian territory.

    In addition, Russia insists on the necessity of improving the
    performance of the intergovernmental commission for cooperation in
    the military technology sector. In particular, Russia will try to
    convince Turkey to take Russian military hardware as repayment of its
    debt ($350 million). Moscow also seeks to use the potential of the
    Blackseafor group and create a counterweight to NATO in the Black Sea
    on its basis.

    The situation in the Trans-Caucasus region will also be raised. In
    particular, President Putin will try to convince his Turkish
    counterparts to give up plans to isolate Armenia by building the
    Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi railroad bypassing Armenia.

    The problems which Putin is trying to address in New Delhi and Ankara
    have a very important aspect. This is an attempt to give an
    "asymmetric response" to the hegemony of the US. Putin's statements
    in New Delhi concerned "dictatorship in international affairs" and
    "attempts to restructure the God-given diversity of modern
    civilization along the army barracks principles of a unipolar world."

    In addition, Putin announced the need for activating trilateral
    cooperation between Russia, India and China. The Asian Age newspaper
    states that a trilateral Russian-Indian-Chinese summit will be held
    next year.

    Attempts to build a certain center of forces in South-East Asia are
    not new. At the same time, it's a new phenomenon for Russia to
    consider Turkey, which is a member nation of NATO, as an ally in the
    new geopolitical layout. Russia has weighty reasons to do this. The
    point is that Turkey is at a historical crossroads due to external
    and internal factors. The issue of negotiations regarding Turkey's
    intention to join the EU has not been settled yet. In addition,
    anti-American attidutes have become stronger in Turkey. All this
    gives Russia a unique chance to play on this field.

    In this regard, the visit to New Delhi and Ankara could become a
    successful finale to 2004. At any rate, two joint declarations might
    succeed in drowning out the echo of real foreign policy failures:
    Ukraine, Abkhazia, the European Union and the CIS.

    Translated by Alexander Dubovoi
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