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ANKARA: Hopefully In October

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  • ANKARA: Hopefully In October

    Turkish Press
    Dec 10 2004

    Hopefully In October
    BYEGM: 12/10/2004
    BY DERYA SAZAK

    MILLIYET- In Turkey, the word `ohala' means `hopefully.' European
    Parliament President Josep Borrel said recently in Brussels, `Turkey
    wants to become part of Europe, but it should see the difficulties.
    We will accept starting EU membership talks with Turkey. Our
    watchword to our Turkish friends concerning membership is ohala.' The
    EP will convene on Dec. 14 in Strasbourg, just three days before the
    Dec. 17 EU summit, to approve a decision to start membership talks
    with Turkey. The importance of this decision in terms of the leaders'
    summit is symbolic, that is, it's not binding. However, a majority of
    votes favoring Turkey might sway European public opinion. Prime
    Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared Turkey's red lines, and this
    might influence the Netherlands' work reviewing the draft statement
    for the summit. However, the latest draft didn't dispel suspicions
    about a date for talks and membership. Paragraphs left blank will be
    filled by the leaders during next Friday's EU summit. If the
    screening process begins next April, it's expected that an
    intergovernmental conference meeting will be held in October.
    Borrell's `hopefully' is based on this. However, if there's
    disagreement among the leaders concerning the nature of Turkey's
    membership or a date for talks, the problem will likely be left to
    the European Commission.

    Ankara wouldn't want EU leaders to push the buck to the commission.
    This is a worst-case scenario, and Erdogan would freeze the EU
    process, as then Prime Minister Mesut Yilmaz did during the 1997 EU
    summit in Luxembourg. Even if there are certain technical problems in
    Brussels, such a conclusion is the least likely scenario. Diplomatic
    bargaining will continue until the night of Dec. 17. Obviously
    everything won't end with the beginning of our talks. In Brussels we
    might face shocks: demands to de facto recognize the `Cyprus
    Republic,' to find a democratic solution to the Kurdish issue, and to
    improve relations with Armenia. Everybody in the EP is saying
    different things. Before the vote on Dec. 14, the submission of more
    than 500 motions shows this, no?
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