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  • Will USA Re-Introduce Draft?

    Will USA Re-Introduce Draft?
    By Sasha Uzunov

    Reality Macedonia, Macedonia
    Dec 22 2004

    In recent weeks we have heard of the growing number of United States
    military personnel deserting or threatening to sue their government
    unless it stops extending their tours of duty in Iraq. It seems the
    US military is having problems with manpower. Could it be possible
    the Bush Administration will re-introduce the draft, conscription?

    Scott Taylor, Canada's foremost war correspondent and ex-Canadian
    soldier, believes so.

    "The invasion has left American soldiers and generals overworked and
    at risk in the midst of an enraged Iraqi population, and citizens at
    home all but certain to face a draft after the November presidential
    election to shore up a mission they were told would be over in six
    months," he said.

    Mr Taylor has been to Iraq over twenty times and in September of this
    year was taken hostage and tortured by Iraqi militants for five days,
    before being released.

    The Iraq war was supposed to be short, sharp and sweet. US Defence
    Secretary Donald Rumsfeld was telling the world of his "shock and awe"
    strategy by using a small and mobile force to knock over the Saddam
    regime. But it has been nearly two years since the US ousted the
    Iraqi dictator and is still battling to mop up the insurgency. In fact
    Washington has realised that it needs more men to secure the "peace."

    The US Armed Forces are a volunteer professional force bolstered by
    National Guard or reservists on full time service. President Nixon
    abolished the draft at the tail end of the Vietnam War (1962-72),
    a divisive conflict in American society.

    Pundits have been quick to draw parallels between the quagmire of
    Vietnam, which dragged on for a decade, and Iraq. But Iraq is more
    like a disintegrating Yugoslavia of the early 1990s.

    In Vietnam, 60,000 Americans lost their lives. That means 6,000
    were being killed a year. So far in 18 months, US deaths in Iraq are
    over 1200.

    But will the Bush Administration have the political will to
    re-introduce the draft? And will mainstream America accept such a
    decision? Will the youth of that country comply with the call up? Is
    it fair for politicians such as President George Bush and his cabinet
    members, many who did not fight in Vietnam, to be sending others to
    war? Ironically, the only warrior is outgoing US Secretary of State,
    General Colin Powell, who served in Vietnam and was opposed to the
    Iraqi adventure. Conversely, is it fair for only a small section of
    society, the professional armed forces and reservists, to be carrying
    the burden for the rest of society?

    If the draft is introduced, will Australia follow? Militarily and
    politically conscription is not needed by Australia at the moment.
    Our commitment in Iraq is miniscule. It is highly improbable that
    the Howard Coalition government would re-introduce National Service.
    Conscription as an issue is too politically divisive.

    How long is America prepared to stay in Iraq? History, and Vietnam in
    particular, demonstrates that the US military has trouble fighting a
    counter-insurgency or anti-guerrilla war. Can the US secure victory?
    And what kind of victory will it be?

    Iraq reminds me of the former Yugoslavia and the Soviet Union, both
    communist federations consisting of various competing ethnic groups.
    Both of these nations lasted about 70 years before fragmenting
    violently into a multitude of new nation states in the early 1990s.

    Iraq is a hodge-podge consisting of an ethnic Arab majority, many
    of whom are Shiite or Sunni Muslim. A very small number are Arab
    Christians. Add to this mixture, millions of Sunni Muslim Kurds and
    Turkmans in the north of the country. Kurds are non-Arabs, whilst the
    Turkmans are closely related to the Turks. Not forgetting the Assyrian
    Christians, who were the original inhabitants of Iraq before being
    swamped by an Islamic Arab invasion in 637 AD, more than 1300 years
    ago. There are also tiny numbers of ethnic Christian Armenians, and
    two little known sects, the Sabia, who worship water, and the Yazidi,
    mistakenly referred to as "devil worshipers."

    Iraq has Yugoslavia written all over it. Can such a country survive
    intact? Can the west, in particular the United States-lead coalition
    of the willing, hold it all together? Would it be better to partition
    Iraq as a long-term solution?

    So many question. Only time will tell. As the old Chinese curse goes:
    "may you live in interesting times!"

    Sasha Uzunov is a freelance journalist who has covered the Balkans
    region and is an ex-Australian soldier who served in East Timor.

    http://www.realitymacedonia.org.mk/web/news_page.asp?nid=4018

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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