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  • Turkey's future

    Scripps Howard News Service
    December 29, 2004, Wednesday 12:24 PM Eastern Time

    Turkey's future

    SOURCE: The Providence Journal


    The European Union crossed a threshold recently that, just a few
    years back, would have seemed unimaginable. The members decided that
    negotiations could begin on the admission of Turkey to their union.

    This is good news for Turkey, which has sought E.U. membership since
    1987. But of course, admission is not a matter of mailing an
    application to Brussels and awaiting the verdict. Although Turkey has
    made substantial progress in the past years toward bringing its
    system of governance into alignment with Europe's, it has a long way
    to go.

    The Turkish democracy remains strongly influenced by the military,
    and the country's economy is still some distance from basic
    free-market principles.

    Turkey's treatment of minorities remains unsatisfactory, its
    human-rights record is decidedly mixed, and freedoms of religion and
    speech are far from the standards in Europe. Not least, Turkey
    continues to deny the history of the Armenian genocide, and the
    Turkish army occupies a third of the territory of a member of the
    European Union - Cyprus - while refusing to recognize the Cypriot
    government. All of these facts are incompatible with E.U. membership.

    Talks are expected to last some dozen years, and in that time Turkey
    may well transform itself to satisfy the European Union. If so, this
    will mark a new day for Turks, and greatly benefit two immediate
    neighbors, Armenia and Greece, which suffer from longtime Turkish
    hostility and (in Armenia's case) a devastating economic blockade.
    The Turkish government has a sincere desire to move the country
    Westward, and the process of E.U. accession should yield innumerable
    benefits.

    Two questions, however, shadow the process: While the Turkish
    government strongly favors E.U. membership, it is not clear that
    Turkish citizens do.

    The second question is more complex. Turkey sits astride the border
    of Europe and Asia, and is a longtime member of NATO, yet whether the
    homeland of the onetime Ottoman Empire is "European" is debatable.
    Turkey is a very big, poor and overwhelmingly Muslim country: Can it
    be integrated into a European economic, political and cultural system
    that is now very different from its own? Moreover, Turkey would be
    the largest member of the E.U., which is already strained by several
    comparatively non-affluent members.

    None of these obstacles is insuperable, and while many Europeans have
    reservations about Turkey, many others think that Turkish E.U.
    membership makes sense. The next years will be a testing time: for
    Turkey, for Europe, and for the meaning and future of European
    identity and unity.
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