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  • NATO comes to the CIS

    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    July 2, 2004, Friday

    NATO COMES TO THE CIS

    SOURCE: Novye Izvestia, July 1, 2004, p. 4

    by Oleg Kasimov

    Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's speech at the NATO summit in Istanbul
    left no doubts concerning the future of the Russian contingents in
    Georgia and the Trans-Dniester region. Moscow does not intend to comply
    in the near future with demands from Washington and the West for Russia
    to withdraw its troops.

    In fact, Washington must have been prepared for this turn of events.
    Hence the decision to "activate" military maneuvers around Russia,
    without waiting for the pullout. And the United States is not going to
    put all its eggs in one basket. On the one hand, busy negotiations are
    under way with Moldova and Ukraine in order to speed up their progress
    towards NATO membership. From this point of view, observers comment on
    Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld's visit to Chisinau on the eve of the
    NATO summit. On the other hand, NATO intends to greatly expand and
    intensify its military contacts with countries of the Caucasus and
    Central Asia. So it is hardly surprising that the summit declaration
    lists these regions as strategically vital for NATO.

    Turkey will be placed in charge of this particular mission - in
    accordance with what official Washington decided. In fact, Ankara has
    already agreed to play by the rules the United States proposes.
    Washington will lobby in favor of Turkey being allowed to join the
    European Union; and in return, Ankara will play the role of a battering
    ram in breaching the defense perimeter Russia established in the
    Caucasus and Central Asia. It may lead to a deterioration of
    Russian-Turkish relations, but this is the price Ankara agreed to pay
    for America's support.

    For the first time in a decade, official Ankara proclaimed its
    intention to become much more active as a mediator in the
    Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict. Turkey's interest in the matter ebbed in
    the wake of the Bishkek accord which Armenia and Azerbaijan signed in
    May 1994. Foreign ministers of Turkey, Armenia, and Azerbaijan met
    within the framework of the Istanbul summit. Following the talks, a
    representative of Ankara announced his country's plans with regard to
    the settlement of the drawn-out Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict. Armenia
    hopes that its dialogue with Ankara will result in establishing
    diplomatic relations with Turkey and opening the Armenian-Turkish
    border. Azerbaijan sees Turkey's activization as an indication of the
    Caucasus being gradually drawn into NATO's orbit.
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