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Armenian currency set to consolidate, bank expert says

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  • Armenian currency set to consolidate, bank expert says

    ArmenPress
    July 22 2004

    ARMENIAN CURRENCY SET TO CONSOLIDATE, BANK EXPERT SAYS

    YEREVAN, JULY 22, ARMENPRESS: Asked to explain what are the
    reasons behind an unprecedented slump of US Dollar against the
    Armenian dram, Vladimir Badalian, the chairman of the Union of
    Armenian Banks, argued it was part of radical changes awaiting the
    national currency, an indication that the dram is consolidating its
    value against hard currencies. He then added that the dollar will
    tend to lose against the dram. One of the arguments, he cited in
    favor of that theory, were the developments in international currency
    markets with euro consolidating against dollar. He said that process
    could not failed to have its impact on Armenian market.
    He then predicted that in the near future euro will grab a bigger
    place in Armenia's market forcing Dollar to yield its positions,
    which he said is normal given Armenia's drive towards close
    integration with Europe, especially that 40 percent of its foreign
    trade falls on EU countries.
    Badalian said also that the consolidation of dram will prompt
    participants of the domestic market to keep their deposits in drams.
    Unlike some years ago now many depositors choose to keep their
    accounts in drams. He admitted that a weaker dollar is sustaining
    some damages to exporting companies, but added that it should not
    have any effect on export volumes, as their structure is such that
    allows the companies to maneuver.
    He attributed high domestic prices, though the dollar has
    seriously slumped against Armenian Dram, to the absence of criteria
    typical of free trade.
    Earlier this week a Central Bank official cited two arguments to
    explain the decline of exchange rate of US dollar. The head of the
    Financial Markets department of Armenia's Central Bank, Gayane
    Matevosyan, said one reason was the increased private inflows of cash
    from abroad., which she said have increased by 46 percent if compared
    to the same period last year and a second reason was an increase in
    exports, which she said if compared to the first half of last year,
    have risen by 40 percent.
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