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  • Solving the Kashmir dispute

    OP-ED: Solving the Kashmir dispute —Ishtiaq Ahmed

    Daily Times, Pakistan
    June 20 2004

    Controversial collective rights such as the so-called right of
    self-determination should not be invoked to destabilise them. It is
    not an ordinary principle of international law and was meant to apply
    primarily to colonial empires

    The contemporary international system is constituted by sovereign
    states whose territorial claims are clearly defined, demarcated and
    agreed upon in the form of international boundaries. However,
    exceptions to the rule exist and the ensuing territorial ambiguity
    can result in two or more states laying mutually exclusive claims to
    the same territory.

    The post-Second World War colonial withdrawals from Asia and Africa
    and the collapse of the multinational Soviet and Yugoslavian
    political systems have been typical occasions for such disputes to
    emerge because the transfer of power, sharing of common resources and
    the allocation of territories rarely correspond to the expectations
    and ambitions of the contending political entities. The Kashmir
    dispute, the Israel-Palestine imbroglio, Cyprus, East Timor, West
    Sahara, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Kosovo and Armenia-Azerbaijan are some
    cases in point, though each case has its own peculiarities and
    dimensions.

    Disputes over territories are exacerbated if the contending parties
    do not trust each other. In such cases even the prospect of
    significant economic ties and interests and help from regional and
    international actors cannot resolutely compel them to negotiate a
    peaceful and fair solution. This also applies to the India-Pakistan
    impasse on Kashmir.

    Apart from the legal fictions maintained by both sides, the problems
    of identity and self-image complicate matters. India wants to hold on
    to Kashmir as an essential feature of its secular-composite national
    identity while Pakistan considers its Muslim identity incomplete as
    long as Kashmir has not joined it.

    Observers have put across several reasonable solutions. But unless
    India and Pakistan abandon the combative nationalist mindset no
    progress on the issue is likely. War is not an alternative. Three
    full-scale and one confined war have been tried in 56 years but to no
    avail. Neither side can win a war even when it has the advantage of
    surprise. Both are likely to inflict irreparable damage on each
    other. Consequently no zero-sum approach or ‘winner takes all’
    solution is going to succeed.

    The UN resolutions calling for a plebiscite have failed to work.
    Since they are under Ch VI of the Charter, they require the
    contending parties to agree to UN mediation. India has ruled out any
    such possibility.

    The third option of an independent Kashmir has no serious takers
    among the Indian and Pakistani establishments. One can also wonder if
    indeed the overall security concerns of India and Pakistan will
    lessen if a weak state emerges in this volatile region bordering
    Afghanistan, Iran and central Asia. Indeed, such a state could well
    increase the sense of insecurity and set in motion another round of
    confrontational politics between the two states. An independent state
    will also be opposed tooth and nail by the Hindus and Buddhists on
    the Indian side.

    Similarly, the idea that Kashmir should be partitioned along
    religious lines is a non-starter. The Muslims of Jammu and the Shia
    minority of Ladakh would have their own reasons for opposing it. The
    former would be left behind in India and become an even smaller
    minority. They would thus be precariously placed and would very
    likely face the anger of militant Hindus who would hold them
    responsible for India losing much of its Kashmir to Pakistan.

    Such a situation is already faced by Indian Muslims who stayed behind
    in India after Partition. The Shias only have to look at the way
    their sect is being targeted by terrorists in Pakistan. Neither the
    Pakistani fundamentalists nor the Kashmiri militants present a
    tolerant and peaceful image of Islam. It is futile to believe that
    the spread of a terrorist political culture in the garb of freedom
    struggle will impress the world or deter the Indian state.

    There is also the proposal that the Kashmir Valley should be made
    independent. The tiny but very vocal Kashmiri pandits who have been
    driven away by the militants and now live in camps in Jammu and Delhi
    would oppose any such idea. Also, India will never agree to grant
    self-determination on the basis of religious differences.

    Under the circumstances, the only workable solution is to convert the
    Line of Control into a soft border with India and Pakistan retaining
    sovereignty on their respective sides. The idea of a soft border
    should be understood as a series of measures aiming to provide
    substantial autonomy to the various sub-regions on both sides. Such
    an approach would require both states to withdraw or at least
    drastically reduce the number of troops stationed on both sides of
    the Line of Control. Kashmiris on both sides should be permitted to
    move freely across the border though without the automatic right to
    settle on the other side.

    But solving the Kashmir dispute is impossible without India and
    Pakistan agreeing to a comprehensive peace and cooperation agreement.
    The Kashmir issue is not the cause but a symptom of a deeper mistrust
    between India and Pakistan. The two sides have to appreciate the fact
    that they are two sovereign states and that is a settled fact of
    history.

    Under the circumstances, controversial collective rights such as the
    so-called right of self-determination should not be invoked to
    destabilise them. It is not an ordinary principle of international
    law and was meant to apply primarily to colonial empires.

    One may rhetorically argue that India is an imperialist Hindu state
    or Pakistan heads a worldwide Islamic expansionist movement. But the
    fact remains that the United States and other Western states remain
    the real determiners of international economic and political
    policies.

    Therefore instead of wasting time on mutual recrimination and hostile
    propaganda India and Pakistan should close ranks and along with the
    other players in South Asia try to develop robust economic and social
    ties. That is the only way this region can justly claim respect and
    admiration from the rest of the world.

    To recap the main arguments, the Kashmir dispute is a social
    construction deriving from conflicting nationalist ambitions and
    ideologies; it can be solved if we transcend the conflicting
    nationalist agendas; both states need to confer maximum autonomy on
    their Kashmiri citizens, including their right to interact with one
    another legally and freely.

    It is most important that extremists and militants are weeded out
    from the whole of South Asia and especially from Kashmir. Similarly
    India should withdraw its security forces and allow democracy to take
    its own course as stipulated within Article 307 of the Indian
    constitution.

    The author is an associate professor of Political Science at
    Stockholm University. He is the author of two books. His email
    address is [email protected]
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