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  • Negotiated Price

    Agency WPS
    What the Papers Say. Part B (Russia)
    June 28, 2004, Monday

    NEGOTIATED PRICE

    SOURCE: Vremya Novostei, June 28, 2004, p. 2

    by Nikolai Poroskov

    The Duma has voted to ratify the adapted Conventional Forces in
    Europe (CFE) Treaty by 355 votes in favor, 28 against, and two
    abstentions. The CFE treaty is called the "cornerstone of European
    security." At present, this is the only legally functioning mechanism
    of interstate arms control. The treaty was signed as far back as
    November 1990 by NATO member states and Warsaw Pact states, aiming to
    improve the security balance in Europe by means of reducing five
    kinds of armaments: battle tanks, armored combat vehicles, artillery,
    combat aircraft and attack helicopters. The Agreement on Adaptation
    of the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe was drawn up in
    Istanbul in November 2003. Russia insisted then that the Baltic
    states and Slovenia must sign the treaty before they join NATO. NATO
    ignored Russia's position at the time, although new NATO Secretary
    General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer promised that the Baltic states would
    certainly join the treaty.

    At the moment, some 30 European states and the US and Canada have
    signed the treaty. However, Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan have been
    the only nations to ratify it so far. NATO member states say they are
    prepared to ratify the adapted CFE treaty after Russia, but only
    after Russian bases are withdrawn from Georgia and the Trans-Dniester
    region. Russia sees no legal link here, and regards withdrawal of its
    bases to be a subject for bilateral interstate talks. In the opinion
    of Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov, Russia has already fulfilled the
    demand on flank restrictions by removing two of four bases from
    Georgia.

    The main distinction of the adapted CFE treaty is that the levels of
    arms permitted are determined individually for each state, rather
    than according to a state's affiliation with a military-political
    bloc. This considerably reduces the ability of NATO member states to
    deploy troops in other countries. Ratification of the CFE treaty will
    yield many advantages to Russia. Firstly, according to Sergei Ivanov,
    the treaty contributes to strengthening Russia by no-military methods
    and is in line with our national interests. Secondly, the Russian
    military will have to receive information about the location of NATO
    aircraft across the entire treaty area. Besides, the Alliance will
    have to inform Russia whenever over 18 aircraft are brought into the
    application areas, and submit quarterly figures about the strength of
    aviation in the area of NATO member states. Overall, the 19 "old"
    NATO members will discard around 4,800 battle tanks, 4,000 armored
    vehicles, and almost as many artillery systems. This is equivalent to
    10 full NATO divisions. Russia won't have to make any cuts, since we
    are already within the parameters of the treaty (6,350 tanks, 11,280
    armored combat vehicles, 6,315 artillery systems, 3,416 battle planes
    and 855 attack helicopters). Besides, the increased quota for arms
    for regular troops will enable Russia to preserve its military
    presence in Armenia and Ukraine.

    The Duma is urging states which have signed the CFE treaty to ratify
    the adapted treaty, if only because the former version of the treaty
    is out of step with the current situation. Formally, NATO has the
    ability to deploy its arms and military facilities on the territory
    of new member states, but doing so would raise doubts about arms
    control and Russia-NATO relations on the whole. In case of an
    emergency which could endanger Russia's overriding interests, Russia
    will take measures, "including measures which infringe the CFE treaty
    limits."

    Translated by Andrei Ryabochkin
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