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BAKU: Azeri defence chief's visit heralds new stage in ties with USA

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  • BAKU: Azeri defence chief's visit heralds new stage in ties with USA

    Azeri defence chief's visit heralds new stage in ties with USA, analyst says

    Yeni Musavat, Baku
    30 Mar 04

    Azerbaijan and the USA are about to expand their military ties and
    Russia cannot prevent this, prominent Azerbaijani political analyst
    Rasim Musabayov has told Yeni Musavat newspaper in the wake of the
    Azerbaijani defence minister's visit to the USA. Upgrading the
    infrastructure and improving the level of the local personnel are on
    Washington's agenda, the analyst said. The following is the text of
    Z. Safaroglu's report by Azerbaijani newspaper Yeni Musavat on 30
    March headlined "What did Abiyev bring from America?" and subheaded
    "Rasim Musabayov: The stage of closer cooperation with the USA begins
    in Azerbaijan"; subheadings inserted editorially:

    Azerbaijani Defence Minister Safar Abiyev has completed his one-week
    visit to the USA. He has had various meetings at the Pentagon,
    National Security Council, US Congress and State Department. The
    meetings discussed expanding cooperation in fighting terrorism and the
    proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. Education of Azerbaijani
    officers in the USA was another topic that was discussed.

    Positive development

    There can be no doubt that the defence minister's visit to the USA is
    in itself a positive development, at least for two reasons. First,
    Abiyev's visit had been put off for so long. Second, the visit
    coincided with the period when Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev was
    making overtures to Russia. It is plain to see that Washington by no
    means is prepared to let Azerbaijan leave its military and strategic
    orbit. The nature of topics which were discussed in the USA shows that
    apart from terrorism issues there is a conflict of interests in the
    region with Russia in terms of security strategy.

    Obviously, Washington intends to continue its policy of strengthening
    its military positions in the South Caucasus, especially in Georgia
    and Azerbaijan. This is also confirmed by reports in the Russian
    media which - right after Abiyev left for the USA - said that the USA
    would station its mobile military base in Azerbaijan, even though US
    Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage, regarded as the second
    person in the US State Department, said at the last press conference
    before his departure from Azerbaijan that America did not intend to
    set up a mobile military base in Azerbaijan.

    Visit heralds new stage in relations

    Can Abiyev's visit to the USA be described as a success? Are there any
    aspects to it which remain secret?

    Political analyst Rasim Musabayov believes that first of all the visit
    heralds the beginning of a new stage of closer cooperation between the
    USA and Azerbaijan. "It may be that America - as Armitage and other
    officials have said - does not intend to station its troops in
    Azerbaijan, but the agenda includes upgrading Azerbaijan's
    infrastructure to the level where it can be used by the USA, ensuring
    air defence for that infrastructure and bringing the local personnel
    into line with US standards."

    In Musabayov's view, such cooperation is beneficial not only to the
    USA, but Azerbaijan as well. "The USA will implement in Azerbaijan a
    plan similar to what they did in Georgia under the Train and Equip
    programme. We are to be interested in that."

    Russia cannot prevent it

    "At any rate, Abiyev gives the impression of an advocate of closer
    military cooperation with the West." As for the reaction which such
    contacts could spark in Russia, Musabayov said that the Kremlin would
    naturally dislike this relationship and envy it. "However, Russia is
    in no position to prevent this. How can it object to that? Moreover,
    the USA will do this all within quotas."

    Speaking about military education of Azerbaijani servicemen in the
    USA, Musabayov said: "It is known that the USA assists Azerbaijan in
    securing its borders and exchanges information in this regard. In
    addition, they help us in security issues in the Caspian Sea. In my
    opinion, this assistance will continue. Although Armenia stated its
    protest to Armitage in this regard, the reality is that while we may
    receive more assistance in absolute terms, but when calculated per
    capita, Armenia is ahead of Azerbaijan. This means that there are
    opportunities to increase that assistance."

    Democracy and military ends

    Finally, we should mention a subtle point. The Azerbaijani public and
    the democratic camp are concerned that America may sacrifice its
    interest in democracy in order to achieve military ends. Are there
    serious grounds for such concern? Incidentally, Abiyev could be asked
    the following question in Washington: is his ministry not concerned
    about lawsuits that it filed against Yeni Musavat newspaper, colossal
    damages that the court obliged the newspaper to pay, and the
    newspaper's plans to close down as a result?

    Musabayov replied our question as follows: "From a tactical
    standpoint, there can be grounds for such concern. US President George
    Bush has said that Washington will not forget its strategic interest
    in democracy and human rights. Yet, I believe that this will be done
    in the form of recommendations, rather than open criticism. Washington
    wants Azerbaijan to modernize and has not given up this
    pursuit. However, it wants modernization to be accomplished by the
    Azerbaijani government."
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