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  • Turkey's new military doctrine

    Turkey's new military doctrine
    By Armen Ayvazian

    7 May 04
    Yerkir/AM

    Before the collapse of USSR, Turkey's military doctrine had an official
    nature and was built on calculation of forces at war. Issues related
    to nuclear weapons were addressed to NATO or USA.

    During the cold war, NATO was thinking over how long Turkey would
    be able to resist in case of war with USSR and they were not very
    optimistic about Turkey' s defense capabilities.

    In 1990, Turkish military headquarters focused on multi-front defense.
    Ex-ambassador of Turkey to USA said in his article that Turkey must be
    ready to fight in two fronts at a time (like against Syria and Greece)
    and an internal war against Kurdish revolt.

    This doctrine had two issues: a) defy intrusion from East (USSR)
    and South (Syria, Iraq), b) respond to guerilla activities.

    Up to now Turkey has kept to Kemal Ataturk's view saying that Turkey's
    future is only with the West.

    However, in 1999, Turkey's doctrine said it should have links both
    with the West and the East and has the following points:

    1) Deterrence: preservation of such a force that can defy both external
    and internal enemies,

    2) Collective defense: collaboration with international coalition,
    specially with NATO,

    3) Forward defense: early recognition of foreign aggression and its
    external prevention,

    4) "Peacemaking": mediation in conflicts.

    These points are also added by the view of the Turkish military
    headquarters head Hussein Kivrikoghlu on forward engagement which
    means that the military must be ready to prevent aggression against
    Turkey before it crosses the border.

    Kivrikoghlu's idea is explained in the doctrine:

    "The overall operative concept of 2000's demands to control territories
    of the aggressor and defeat him in the home front and on the porch of
    the battlefield." Thus, even the official document expects to conduct
    future wars outside Turkey.

    Authoritative US military magazine Parameters comes to the same
    conclusion: " Ankara has adopted a doctrine that will make the
    military aspire to eliminate threats against Turkey out of its
    borders. Turkish military are not only capable but also willing to
    act out of the borders."

    Summing up we should say that Turkish military thinking has undergone
    a reformation that even by Turkish and American analysts speak about
    establishment of "neo-Ottoman agenda." Thus Turkey has become more
    dangerous for the neighbor and less predictable for allies.

    Excerpt from "Aspects of Armenia's national security" document
    (Yerevan, 2003).
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