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  • Russia's mixed blessing

    RUSSIA'S MIXED BLESSING
    by Vladimir Radyuhin

    The Hindu, India
    November 8, 2004

    THE SOVIET Union may have been dead for 13 years but as far as
    Russians are concerned it has never been more alive. They have never
    seen so many Tajiks, Azeris, Moldovans and Ukrainians walk the
    streets of big cities and small townships across Russia from the
    Baltic Sea in the West to the Pacific coast in the Far East. The
    former compatriots build houses, sell fruit, drive public transport
    buses, and do a myriad other jobs for which Russians have no taste or
    ask a higher pay.

    With the Russian economy growing at a healthy seven per cent a year,
    it is an attractive destination for millions of workers from many
    post-Soviet states where economic growth is not so vibrant. Officials
    put the number of migrant labour in Russia at four million to five
    million, a majority of them from the former Soviet Union. Unofficial
    estimates are at least twice as high. Russia offers a source of
    livelihood to three million to four million Ukrainians, two million
    to three million of Azerbaijan's eight million population, one in
    three working-age Georgians and Armenians, and hundreds of thousands
    of workers from Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Moldova and Belarus.

    The "fraternal family of nations," as Communist ideologues used to
    describe the Soviet Union, has re-assembled itself on Russian soil,
    even though it is no longer so fraternal. Migrant labour has proved a
    mixed blessing for Russia. It helps alleviate an acute demographic
    crisis and sustain economic growth, but also creates dangerous ethnic
    and social tensions.

    Russia's population has declined by more than five million over the
    past 12 years and keeps falling at a rate of about 700,000 a year,
    according to the State Statistical Committee. The Ministry of
    Economic Development estimates that Russia may lose half of its 144
    million people within the next 60 to 100 years if no radical measures
    are taken to reverse the trend.

    The demographic situation has been aggravated by large-scale
    emigration from Russia during the years of rocky economic reforms,
    with an estimated seven million leaving the country between 1991 and
    2002. The outflow was initially balanced by the influx of millions of
    ethnic Russians who fled instability and economic ruin in former
    Soviet republics. But their migration to Russia has dwindled to a
    trickle recently, partly because many have adjusted to life in the
    newly independent states and partly because the Russian Government
    has failed to provide any attractive resettlement programmes.

    The Government has also been slow to react to the growing tide of
    migrant labour. In the absence of effective government regulation,
    immigration has been chaotic, flooding Moscow and the European part
    of Russia, but leaving vast areas of Siberia short of labour.
    Monolithic migrant communities, often cemented by a strong criminal
    component, have virtually ousted Russians from some sectors of the
    economy. Azeris and Armenians, for example, have taken over wholesale
    and retail trade in Russia in fruit and vegetables, construction
    materials, and many other commodities, setting monopoly prices and
    provoking deep resentment among local population. Authorities, who
    often have a cut in the business, just look the other way.

    "If the Government continues to turn a blind eye to this process of
    uncontrolled immigration, Russians will eventually be ousted from
    trade, banking, hotel and other profitable businesses, and will be
    left to do low-paid or hard manual work," says Yuri Godin of the
    Foreign Economy Studies Centre. In a poll conducted earlier this year
    in Moscow, this problem topped the list of grievances.

    Migrants have contributed to high crime rates in Russia. Tajiks, for
    example, have become major drug haulers from Afghanistan to Russia.
    Residents of Yekaterenburg, a regional capital in Siberia, which lies
    on the trunk route of drug traffickers, held an anti-narcotics rally
    in May to demand a visa regime for Tajikistan. Last year Tajiks
    accounted for over 90 per cent of all drug couriers intercepted at
    the Koltsovo international airport in Yekaterenburg.

    The influx of millions of non-Russians has also led to the rise of
    violent racist movements in Russia, with many people blaming their
    poverty and unemployment on immigrants. Neo-Nazi skinhead gangs are
    mushrooming all over Russia, terrorising non-Russians from the former
    Soviet Union, as well as nationals from India and other Asian and
    African countries. Racist attacks under the slogan "Russia for
    Russians" are getting increasingly brazen and violent.

    A nine-year-old girl from Tajikistan was knifed to death in St.
    Petersburg in February; an African student was murdered in Voronezh
    the same month; a 50-year-old Azerbaijani was beaten up in Nizhnii
    Novgorod in May and died later in hospital; a 19-year-old student
    from Vietnam was killed in St. Petersburg in October; an Uzbek was
    beaten to death in a Moscow suburb in October. About 20 murders
    fuelled by ethnic hatred were reported across Russia in the first six
    months of this year. The skinheads' most outrageous crime this year
    was to shoot and kill Nikolai Girenko, a 64-year-old Russian
    ethnographer and anthropologist who dedicated himself to fighting
    neo-Nazis in court.

    Human rights organisations estimate the number of skinheads in Russia
    at between 35,000 and 55,000 and rapidly rising. Russian police have
    all too often dismissed racist attacks as hooliganism. It was not
    until the President, Vladimir Putin, earlier this year called the
    attention of the Interior Minister, Rashid Nurgaliyev, to racially
    motivated crimes, that the latter admitted that ultranationalist
    groups were a real problem.

    However, the Kremlin still refuses to acknowledge a link between
    growing racist extremism and the lack of a coherent immigration
    policy. Job quotas for migrant labour introduced last year have
    failed to regulate migration processes and protect local jobs. The
    ridiculously low quota of about 600,000 for this year has fallen far
    below the demand. There are also many vested interests in Russia who
    have a stake in keeping labour migration illegal. Employers prefer
    hiring illegal migrants because they are willing to work for much
    lower pay than local labour and do not ask for a social security net.
    In the construction business, for example, illegal workers help cut
    project costs by two-thirds. Even Kremlin contractors are known to
    use illegal workers.

    Illegal migration has grown into a multi-million criminal business.
    Last year authorities in the Volgograd region in central Russia
    busted a labour traffic racket from Tajikistan. Trainloads of Tajiks
    were brought to work like slaves on local farms. At one point
    investigators stumbled on a farm where over a hundred Tajik children
    worked from dawn to dusk practically for free. Illegal labour
    migrants are also the target of constant harassing and fleecing by
    police who regularly raid construction sites and hostels to check
    registration and work-permit papers.

    Yet, for all its negative aspects, labour migration from the former
    Soviet states is a big boon for Russia. Apart from filling a shortage
    of workforce, it gives Moscow a powerful policy lever in dealing with
    its ex-Soviet neighbours and pushing a re-integration agenda. Many
    newly independent states critically depend on the money their
    nationals working in Russia send back to their families. According to
    government estimates, in 2002 migrant workers from Azerbaijan,
    Georgia and Armenia employed in the Moscow region alone took back
    home about $ 10 billion, more than their annual budgets.

    When its President, Imomali Rakhmonov, baulked at approving the
    establishment of a Russian military base in Tajikistan earlier this
    year, Moscow threatened to deport illegal Tajik workers from Russia.
    This would spell a catastrophe for Tajikistan and the base agreement
    was promptly signed. An easing of travel rules for millions of
    Ukrainian workers in Russia sanctioned by Mr. Putin on the eve of
    Ukraine's presidential election last week helped shore up the
    faltering campaign by the pro-Russian candidate, Prime Minister
    Viktor Yanukovich.

    Immigration also has a strategic dimension for Russia. Average
    population density in Russia is 8.5 persons per square km, and in the
    Far East it is just over 1 person per square km, hundreds of times
    less than in China across the border. Further depopulation poses a
    threat to Russia's territorial integrity.

    "From economic and geopolitical point of view it is a catastrophe to
    have so sparse a population on such a vast territory," says
    academician Anatoly Vishnevsky of the Centre for Demography and Human
    Ecology of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Russia must accommodate
    700,000 to 1,000,000 migrants a year, primarily from former Soviet
    republics, just to maintain its population at present level. Such a
    massive injection of immigrants is fraught with great risks.

    "To avoid the dangers we need a system of measures for adapting and
    integrating migrants, and it yet to be developed," the scholar says.
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