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Economist: Small war, big mess: Nagorno-Karabakh

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  • Economist: Small war, big mess: Nagorno-Karabakh

    The Economist
    November 20, 2004
    U.S. Edition

    Small war, big mess: Nagorno-Karabakh

    stepanakert

    A troubled enclave

    A deep-frozen conflict continues to infect the region

    ARRIVE in Stepanakert, capital of Nagorno-Karabakh, and nothing
    suggests it is a war zone. The streets are clean, public buildings
    refurbished, there is a good hospital, a television studio, casinos,
    hotels and even a fitness club. The road that links Karabakh to
    Armenia may be the best maintained in the Caucasus.

    In the mind of Karabakh's Armenians, their bitter war to break free
    of Azerbaijan in the early 1990s, in which some 25,000 people were
    killed, is won. They have a president, a flag and a small army. "The
    issue is resolved," says Gegham Baghdasarian, editor of Demo, a local
    newspaper. "The people made their statement, then defended it." But
    for Azerbaijan, the war is not over. A ten-year ceasefire is holding,
    just, but thousands of Azerbaijani and Armenian troops face off
    across minefields. Not only Karabakh, but seven other Azerbaijani
    regions - 14% of Azerbaijan's area all told - are occupied by the
    Armenians.

    Border blockades imposed by Azerbaijan and its ally Turkey have
    turned Armenia into a backwater dependent on Iran and Georgia for
    access to the outside world. Between the two former Soviet neighbours
    there are no air, road or rail links. Azerbaijan has made sure that a
    new oil pipeline from the Caspian to the Mediterranean bypasses
    Armenia. About a million people on both sides were ethnically
    cleansed from Armenia and Azerbaijan during the conflict. None has
    returned.

    Nor, despite the prosperity in Stepanakert, is life easy for the
    Armenians running Karabakh. Their "republic" remains unrecognised. It
    is less an independent entity than an extension of Armenia. The army
    is deeply integrated with Armenia's, the currency is the Armenian
    dram, cars have Armenian number plates. Armenian "credits" and gifts
    from the Armenian diaspora account for Nagorno-Karabakh's good
    infrastructure.

    Shusha, near Stepanakert, illustrates the problem. Once one of the
    most charming places in the Caucasus, it is now a ghost town of
    gutted buildings and overgrown graveyards. Its Azeri population is
    gone. Many inhabitants are Armenian refugees from Azerbaijan, living
    wretchedly in what remains of ransacked apartments. Filip Noubel, an
    analyst at the International Crisis Group, says that renewed war is
    unlikely. But, he adds, the stand-off is being manipulated by both
    governments, undermining democracy in both countries.
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