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The devastating effects of the restoration of capitalism in Armenia
By Kamo Torosyan
marxist.com
22 Nov 2004
The Caucasus, since the break up of the Soviet Union, has been dogged by
regional economic crisis, ethnic cleansing, robbery of state institutions
and poverty. In a region of 51 different ethnic groups, how can we explain
the fact that it has changed from a place of economic and technological
advancement, and ethnic co-operation, to what we have today? As
revolutionary Marxists we understand that the countries that make up the
Caucasus have been the victims of all the effects of the restoration of
capitalism, and below is the evidence.
Before the Armenian Bolshevik revolution, Armenia was the most backward
country in the Caucasus. With its ruling class and intelligentsia residing
in Tbilisi (Georgia), the Armenian people mostly made a living in rural
villages, and its capital Yerevan, was no bigger or advanced than a small
town. In spite of the bureaucratic deformations, Soviet state planning had
allowed its people to equal, if not surpass, those around the globe in
health care, education, science (especially in the field of space) and in
sporting achievements.
Once dubbed the 'Soviet Silicon Valley' because of its high-tech industries,
the country is now one of the most impoverished in the region. It is
estimated that Armenia has lost 20% of its population in recent years. From
a population of 3.5 million in 1989, it is thought that somewhere between
800,000 and 1.2 million people have left the country to try their luck
abroad. People sell their apartments in order to buy air tickets to Moscow!
The consequences of the restoration of capitalism for the economy have been
widespread. It is estimated that 50% of Armenians live below the poverty
line, with an average of US$570 yearly income. Corruption and political
assassinations add to the sense of a society under threat.
What has happened to Armenia? Why have all these achievements been erased?
And where did the finance, which allowed the achievements during the Soviet
years, go?
1991 "Revolution"
Before we start with the aftermath of the counter-revolution, we should see
how these events came about. Although worthy of volumes of books in itself,
the counter-revolution was essentially the hijacking of the people feeling
isolated in Armenia. The Armenian people did not choose capitalism over
communism, but rather wanted a system of government which would truly meet
the needs and demands of the Armenian people. The Stalinist state did not
provide this. Stalinism was clogging up and tearing down the very system
people had had faith in.
Firstly, the government was unable to respond correctly to the war in the
Armenian enclave of Kharabakh, where pogroms were being instigated by both
sides. There was clear evidence of officials of the system (bureaucrats)
turning a blind eye to the massacres. The Armenian people saw that at the
time their brothers and sisters were being butchered in Kharabakh, the
system of bureaucrats was not providing them with any help.
On top of this, in December 1988, Leninakan in northern Armenia was
devastated by an earthquake that killed 25,000 people, leaving more than
400,000 homeless. Government relief efforts were slow and badly organized.
However, the death toll was only so high due to the poor planning, and the
shoddy materials used (stories of builders stealing the iron rods to be used
to strengthen buildings were common). The arrival of essential supplies such
as fuel was delayed by an economic blockade Azerbaijan had imposed on
Armenia in 1989 because of the war in Nagorno-Karabakh. The war also
hindered efforts to reconstruct Armenia's earthquake-damaged infrastructure.
All this had an effect on the Armenian people. Things had to be changed.
This was a result of the feeling of neglect from Moscow and from the
bureaucrats inside Armenia, who weren't paying attention to the demands of
freedom and democracy, at a time when the Western imperialists were pumping
out propaganda via radio broadcasts about how the people could prosper if
they changed the system.
Armenia voted for independence in September, and Levon Ter-Petrossian was
elected first president of the Republic of Armenia in October 1991. This was
all done through the constitution, and through voting - buildings weren't
burnt, nor were bureaucrats killed. But let us see what has happened to
these bureaucrats, and whether the demands of the people have been met?
The 2003 elections and the current state of government
Compared to the rest of the Caucasus, the Armenian bourgeois has been
relatively unique, in that it has managed so far to keep down protests,
unlike in Baku (Azerbaijan), and Tbilisi (Georgia).
In the recent 2003 elections, however, the new traditions of election
rigging were once more upheld by the Armenian ruling class. The current
elite, did realise that this time they couldn't be too blatant with the
rigging, and so they pushed the elections to a 2nd ballot, to make the
rigging seem less obvious and clear cut to the Armenian people.
In spite of these manoeuvres and attempts to cover up what they were doing,
the elections were neither "free" nor "democratic" as the western
imperialists had boasted on Radio Liberty 12 years previously. These are the
following findings according to the OSCE final report into the presidential
elections: "People associated with opposition campaigns were dismissed from
their jobs, while others were threatened." "A number of shop owners were
threatened against displaying opposition campaign posters." "Family members
and reputable NGO's reported threats of violence by conscripts"
However, the elections weren't just marred by violence, the process itself
turned out to be a typical bourgeois sham. "Cases of passport fraud were
confirmed by observers on election day"
This means that the people who were not voting, had died, or had left the
country, had their passports taken off them, and used to cast ballots by the
incumbent's officials. "In Lori region, a policeman was witnessed carrying a
box of at least 50 passports out of the polling station." "There were 22
polling stations where ballot stuffing was confirmed during the first
round." "'Carousel' voting was observed" and cases of "vote-buying were
observed" as well as voters simply voting more than once. These comical
notes are simply the tip of the iceberg in a country where corruption is
rampant.
The opposition also had further obstacles placed before them, just in case
the violence and election rigging wasn't enough. "There were a number of
instances in which public facilities were denied to the opposition."
"Observers verified allegations that public sector employees, factory
workers, teachers, students and others were instructed to attend the
incumbent's rallies." "Observers were credibly notified of instances of
campaigns abandoning plans to open offices following intimidation."
Arguably the worst aspect of the new bourgeois regime is how it deliberately
lied to the people with its promises of freedom of speech, in all aspects of
media, and the right to demonstrate.
In 2003 the US-based NGO Freedom House downgraded its assessment of the
media climate in Armenia from "partly free" to "not free", citing the use of
security and libel laws to silence criticism and the closure of a private TV
station in 2002. A1+ and Noyan Tapan were not given tenders in 2002 with
these elections in mind; A1+ was particularly opposed to Kocharyan in its
reporting stance, not particularly as a result of media bias, rather due to
being relatively objective. According to the OSCE "news coverage, analytical
and other programs were biased." Below is a table showing this bias.
Name of StationKocharyan CoverageNature of reports concerning Kocharyan2nd
and 3rd
Opposition Coverage
Public TV (H1)41%"93% positive"19% and 11%
Prometevs61%"Exclusively" positive5% and 3%
TV Armenia65%"overwhelmingly positive"2% and 2%
TV Alm61%"overwhelmingly positive"
TV Shant47%"mainly positive"15% and 14%
HH (state newspaper)66%"99% positive"5% and 2% ("mainly negative")
The cost of advertisement, which was $120/minute, "was very high by local
standards" in an effort to bleed the opposition dry.
All these dirty tactics used by the ruling class did have an effect upon the
people. However there was no real opposition that was any different to
Kocharyan. If anything it was actually worse, (Stepan Demirchyan was
reported to have looted and sold $500m worth of factory machinery along with
others during the bleak 1991-1993 period). Because there was no true workers'
leadership, the demonstrations were organised in support of the national
chauvinist Demirchyan. According to the OSCE, "some opposition leaders
addressed the crowds with intemperate and even inflammatory statements
including calls for unconstitutional action such as the takeover of the
presidential palace." So it could be argued that a revolutionary mood was
present, and the ruling class knew this. "International observers witnessed
police stopping public transport in order to prevent people joining
demonstrators", however, the actions of the officers of this new bourgeoisie
state did not cease at merely stopping buses: "On February 22, police began
detaining opposition supporters at their homes in the very early morning,
for alleged 'hooliganism' and/or participation in unsanctioned public
meetings. At least 200 individuals were detained including many opposition
proxies and campaign staff"
As for representation in the new elections, an indicator into the state of
the government is how well it incorporates the 65% of the population who
have university diplomas - women. The situation for women representation
became worse than awful when the number of women ministers fell from 12 in
1995 (poor in itself), 4 in 1999 and none at present.
Economy
Under the Soviet central planning system, Armenia had developed a modern
industrial sector, supplying machine tools, textiles, and other manufactured
goods to sister republics in exchange for raw materials and energy. However,
since the Soviet collapse, these factories have simply frozen, where crates
which were meant to be opened before the day of the collapse, still remain
intact outside the factory gates. This freezing has led to growing
unemployment which, currently using conservative figures, stands at 20%, of
which none get welfare, and usually have to survive using funds sent to them
from those who have already left Armenia, either from Moscow or Los Angeles.
Since the collapse of Stalinism, Armenians have been told that they are now
"free" in their pursuit of happiness, and as "individuals" can truly
prosper, let us compare this bourgeois myth with the facts. According to
UNICEF the GDP per capita average annual growth rate from 1990 to 2001
was -1.3%. This continual drive towards poverty is awaiting the aftershocks
of the world economic crisis to fully reach the Armenian borders. 8% of the
population earn less than $1 a day (UNICEF)
The real face of capitalism is clearly revealed in the following figures:
the lowest 10% of waged people consume 2.3% of national consumption, and the
highest 10% spend 35.2%. Again, this is using conservative figures.
Even the growth figures, which the Armenian Foreign Ministry boasts of, of
9% are nothing to what they should be if they want to be on track to
recovery. As it is essentially starting from scratch, the figures should be
closer to 20-30%. One can only go on to believe that even these figures will
decrease as the economic climate turns even greyer. It must also be noted
that many new businesses starting in Armenia are from "Diaspora" Armenians
of whom there is only a finite amount. It should also be said that these new
Diaspora investors have become accustomed to bribing officials in order to
pay less tax revenue to the government. Some phenomena are universal!
However, this is merely the beginning. For not only is the amount of money
in the pockets of the Armenian people constantly being devalued, but also
the prices of goods have shot up, (mirroring all other CIS states) with 172%
inflation from 1990 to 2001 (UNICEF). Women are choosing to terminate
pregnancy in unprecedented numbers. One aid worker identified a woman who
had had almost 40 abortions!
A worrying sign for Armenia is that it is becoming trapped in foreign debt.
"Armenia remains short of significant volumes of foreign direct investment
and is dependent upon assistance from international financial institutions".
In December 2002, Armenia secured a US$20million loan from the World Bank.
As a result Armenia has agreed to privatize its power utilities, so much for
the calls for independence in 1991! Now the orders don't come from the
Yerevan or Moscow burocrats, but rather from the international capitalists
of Washington, London, Strasbourg and Tokyo.
Welfare
Welfare, as in all other CIS states, has virtually ceased, simply because of
the fact that the government cannot afford to allow people to live. The
unemployed have no dole to survive on, and are forced to leave the country,
or to live off funds sent from abroad. The most common solution is to go to
Moscow for a year or two, and return with some money for the family.
However, there are those who believe in the "American Dream", but when they
arrive they realise they have to work 14 hours a day for a one/two bedroom
apartment for their entire family. There are growing concerns over
alcoholism and the growth of drug abuse among some layers of workers. The
workers have no one to turn to in their hour of need, and there is no viable
party to turn to.
Pensioners receive 2000 AMD (£3 GBP) a month, rising to 3000 AMD if they are
war veterans; this is in a country with a winter of -20 degrees Celsius.
These pensioners, who have worked all their lives, are forced to give up the
independence they had, and live with a son or daughter. Those who can work
what little they can, usually old women sweeping the streets, waiting for a
wage that is undelivered for months if not years. Bourgeois Armenia is being
built on the backs of the workers and the suffering pensioners. Yes, they
may say, but the situation with the youth is different.
"Chronic malnutrition among children under-five rose from 12 per cent in
1998 to 14 per cent in 2000. There are wide social and economic disparities
across the regions and populations of Armenia." (UNICEF)
"Acute family impoverishment is widespread in Armenia. More than 55 per cent
of the population lives in poverty and about 8.5 per cent in extreme
poverty. Families with children under-five comprise almost 60 per cent of
the poor. (UNICEF)"
According to UNICEF figures the death rate has increased from 5 in 1970 to 7
in 2001, and the birth rate has decreased from 24 to 9 in the same period.
And what about education? "Underpaid, demoralized, and outmoded teachers are
using decades-old books to teach children in rotting buildings with no
school supplies from the government. Parents are expected to pay for
admissions to university. The government's concept of education reform is to
divest itself of responsibility for pre-school education and children's
institutions by handing formal responsibility over to penniless district
councils." Bribery of teachers is common practice, leading to the rich being
able to pay their way through life, and the poor to suffer. No doubt we will
be told in a few years that the leaders of this generation should be there
because "they have the know-how".
Even in these battered schools, there are huge problems of absenteeism and
students dropping out in order to work for money to support their families.
These facts remind us of stories of the late 19th century Armenia, where
students had to work to survive, most vividly shown by the children's author
Hovhannes Tumanyan in the book "Gikor"
Religion and Minorities
Religion has always played a part in the state of Armenia, being the first
state to have Christianity as its state religion; this has resulted in
centuries of conflict with surrounding Muslim nations. However, religion if
we look at history, has always been an excuse for the ruling classes to
declare hostilities in order to further their own class' gains. The most
recent example being the conflict over Nagorno Kharabakh where religion was
used as an excuse by Armenians as a motive to fight, and on the other hand
Jihad was declared by certain islamists, bringing in fundamentalists to
fight in Azerbaijan, including veterans from the Afghanistan war.
Today however, we see how religion has truly become "the opiate of the
masses", where people are merely surviving in hope of having a better
"afterlife". And this is not exclusively done by the Armenian Christian
Church, but also by many religious sects such as the Jehovah's Witnesses and
so on. The Government continues to reject the application by the Jehovah's
Witnesses for legal recognition as a registered religion, and members of the
group reported individual acts of discrimination. Other denominations
occasionally report acts of discrimination, usually by mid-level or lower
level government officials. There is also the problem of the draft, and as a
result 23 members of the Jehovah's Witnesses are in prison and 7 in
pre-trial detention charged with draft evasion or, if forcibly drafted, with
desertion due to refusal to serve.
As for other minorities, the largest is the Yezdi group, of whom there are
40-50,000. The Yezdi live a nomadic lifestyle and live isolated from society
on the eastern regions of Armenia. The first Yezdi School was opened in
1920, and during the Soviet period they established a programme on National
Radio. However, during the rise of nationalism, no resources have been
provided for these ethnic groups such as the Yezdi, Greeks, Assyrians or
Germans, and have had to sustain their culture on their own without
government aid.
Imperialist Chessboard
Within the country the imperialists took no time in changing education
policy and emphasising the importance of business within society. "Young
Entrepreneurship Promotion Campaigns" have been established, encouraging
young Armenians to learn about the way capitalism works, no doubt instilling
greed into the first generation of the new Armenia.
Imperialist adventurism doesn't stop here: "The World Bank plans to
implement five new programs in Armenia totalling about $75 million in the
next three to four years, Roger Robinson, the head of the Bank's office in
Yerevan told the press" (2) On top of this, the US has started building its
$150 million embassy in Yerevan, which one assumes will be the hub of US
operations in Armenia; either that, or it is an attempt to accommodate the
daily mile long queue for visa applications to the USA!
NATO has made huge steps in the region, trying to decrease the importance of
Turkey to avoid a situation like the one during the Iraq war where US troops
were not allowed to fly from Turkish bases. The Armenian foreign ministry
points out, "A political dialogue with NATO and the republic's participation
in the Euro Atlantic partnership are getting more coordinated and targeted."
According to the Russian Newspaper Itar-Tass, "Armenia will make its
contribution to the peacekeeping operations of the Alliance by way of
setting up its own forces compatible with the NATO partnership program,
Yerevan officials say with confidence." its seems the Yerevan officials say
this out of obedience rather than confidence.
However, things are much more complicated than they first seem. None of the
Caucasian ruling classes have gotten on together, especially the Armenian.
The other week, the Azeri ruling class didn't allow the Armenian military to
take part in NATO's military exercises in what NATO has dubbed "Partnership
for Peace Program", and this has sent feelings of fury running through the
Armenian military. Ironically though, the Armenian military occupy 20% of
Azeri land, and so have been undertaking military exercises for the best
part of 10 years anyway.
The situation becomes more complex when we take into account the final
factor: Russia. Armenia has long been a vital part in Russia's own
imperialist plans in the Caucasus. Russia has become increasingly alarmed by
the stranglehold the USA has on the Caucasus. The Russian military control
the borders around Armenia (which is most visible at passport control in the
airports), and make the Armenian generals subordinate to Russian generals
even within the Armenian army. Armenia is a vital link between Iran and
Russia, and this north-south line has only been interrupted by Georgia's
shenanigans over the last few years. No doubt with the US puppets
Saakashvili and Burdzhanadze in effective control in Georgia, the importance
of keeping Armenia a Russian semi-colony will increase. The final struggle
in the Caucasus seems to have landed on the Armenian square, with both
imperialist aggressors hungry to maintain their stake in the Caucasus and
further their interests.
The Left and the ex-Stalinists
The Communist Party of Armenia (Hayastani Komunistakan Kusaksutyun, HKK) was
founded in 1920, and its current chairman is Sergey Badalyan; elected in
August, 1994, and has 53,000 members. The Communist Party still maintains
organizations and offices nationwide: with organizations in all 10 marzes
(districts) of Armenia and Yerevan and has 35 offices. Having peaked at 11%
in the 1998 Presidential elections, this time round in 2003 it was around
4%. Although the party with one of the largest memberships, the make up has
a substantially elderly layer within it, dogged with old nostalgic values of
Stalinism. It has adjusted its policies and platform to fit in with today's
capitalist Armenia, and has reformed its ideas to suit the system rather
than to challenge it.
In doing so however it has lost ground to the fascist ARF party, which is
largely a party from outside Armenia, originating from the Western Armenians
who formed the early Diaspora in Western America, and throughout the Middle
East. Having complete control in the Diaspora, the ARF has been able to use
its finances to penetrate into Armenian politics.
Unlike in Georgia, Armenia has no Labour party, and the remaining weak
unions are dominated by the right wing, which at most will talk to the
bosses, if the bosses wish to. Since "independence" Armenian workers have
lost all their rights, and are now at the mercy of the neo-liberal Kocharyan
President.
Unlike much of Europe, the situation for the Left in Armenia is unique. They
have neither competition with other Left groupings, nor do they face workers
who have faith in government, and yet still they are unable to meet the
demands of the workers, or indeed explain to the workers what is currently
going on in Armenia.
Discontent in Armenia is rife, and in any other situation this would have
led to revolt by now. The problem is - and this is a recent Armenian
phenomenon (partly due to the history of the conflicts over the last 15
years) - that they have lost hope in the established institutions. What is
needed is for a fresh new layer of workers to come forward and enter the
mass organisations. It is necessary to explain why this situation has come
about, to unite against capitalism, and to show that there is hope, there is
a solution. The confusion among the workers was shown in the support for
Demirchyan who everyone knew wouldn't do anything for the workers.
The people look back romantically at the Soviet days saying "we had this. we
could do this and this and now we have nothing. now we are paralysed". The
point is that the achievements of the old glory days can be achieved, but
not by re-establishing Stalinism which committed hideous crimes against the
Armenian population including its best poets and scientists, but through a
genuine Socialist revolution.
Only through a socialist transformation could the Kharabakh war be brought
to a final end, by entering into a voluntary federation in which the
resources of the Caucasus would be pooled for the benefit of all. Only this
time round, with more advanced workers, and more advanced technology the end
result would be much more successful for all those concerned. It would not
be based on the backwardness of the Soviet Union as it was in the early
1920s, but on a much greater development that has taken place over the
decades.
Only through a socialist transformation could we stop the rich exploiting
the workers of Armenia and the Caucasus, where the workers would control the
means of production in a democratic manner.
Until then, the Caucasus will be treated like a pool for the imperialists to
play in and to plunder the resources, to exploit its workers, and use the
countries that make it up as pawns in their military games. It may seem
difficult, it may seem distant, but the only solution to the problems of the
Caucasus is a socialist one. A socialist Caucasus would be an example for
all, for workers around the world to unite. There is still a big demand for
change. As Tina, a secretary in the capital, Yerevan, told the BBC, "People
are sick of the Kocharyan regime, and now we have the chance to change it."
November 22, 2004
--Boundary_(ID_MJlhxTSZQyn1QDseTH6EiA)--
By Kamo Torosyan
marxist.com
22 Nov 2004
The Caucasus, since the break up of the Soviet Union, has been dogged by
regional economic crisis, ethnic cleansing, robbery of state institutions
and poverty. In a region of 51 different ethnic groups, how can we explain
the fact that it has changed from a place of economic and technological
advancement, and ethnic co-operation, to what we have today? As
revolutionary Marxists we understand that the countries that make up the
Caucasus have been the victims of all the effects of the restoration of
capitalism, and below is the evidence.
Before the Armenian Bolshevik revolution, Armenia was the most backward
country in the Caucasus. With its ruling class and intelligentsia residing
in Tbilisi (Georgia), the Armenian people mostly made a living in rural
villages, and its capital Yerevan, was no bigger or advanced than a small
town. In spite of the bureaucratic deformations, Soviet state planning had
allowed its people to equal, if not surpass, those around the globe in
health care, education, science (especially in the field of space) and in
sporting achievements.
Once dubbed the 'Soviet Silicon Valley' because of its high-tech industries,
the country is now one of the most impoverished in the region. It is
estimated that Armenia has lost 20% of its population in recent years. From
a population of 3.5 million in 1989, it is thought that somewhere between
800,000 and 1.2 million people have left the country to try their luck
abroad. People sell their apartments in order to buy air tickets to Moscow!
The consequences of the restoration of capitalism for the economy have been
widespread. It is estimated that 50% of Armenians live below the poverty
line, with an average of US$570 yearly income. Corruption and political
assassinations add to the sense of a society under threat.
What has happened to Armenia? Why have all these achievements been erased?
And where did the finance, which allowed the achievements during the Soviet
years, go?
1991 "Revolution"
Before we start with the aftermath of the counter-revolution, we should see
how these events came about. Although worthy of volumes of books in itself,
the counter-revolution was essentially the hijacking of the people feeling
isolated in Armenia. The Armenian people did not choose capitalism over
communism, but rather wanted a system of government which would truly meet
the needs and demands of the Armenian people. The Stalinist state did not
provide this. Stalinism was clogging up and tearing down the very system
people had had faith in.
Firstly, the government was unable to respond correctly to the war in the
Armenian enclave of Kharabakh, where pogroms were being instigated by both
sides. There was clear evidence of officials of the system (bureaucrats)
turning a blind eye to the massacres. The Armenian people saw that at the
time their brothers and sisters were being butchered in Kharabakh, the
system of bureaucrats was not providing them with any help.
On top of this, in December 1988, Leninakan in northern Armenia was
devastated by an earthquake that killed 25,000 people, leaving more than
400,000 homeless. Government relief efforts were slow and badly organized.
However, the death toll was only so high due to the poor planning, and the
shoddy materials used (stories of builders stealing the iron rods to be used
to strengthen buildings were common). The arrival of essential supplies such
as fuel was delayed by an economic blockade Azerbaijan had imposed on
Armenia in 1989 because of the war in Nagorno-Karabakh. The war also
hindered efforts to reconstruct Armenia's earthquake-damaged infrastructure.
All this had an effect on the Armenian people. Things had to be changed.
This was a result of the feeling of neglect from Moscow and from the
bureaucrats inside Armenia, who weren't paying attention to the demands of
freedom and democracy, at a time when the Western imperialists were pumping
out propaganda via radio broadcasts about how the people could prosper if
they changed the system.
Armenia voted for independence in September, and Levon Ter-Petrossian was
elected first president of the Republic of Armenia in October 1991. This was
all done through the constitution, and through voting - buildings weren't
burnt, nor were bureaucrats killed. But let us see what has happened to
these bureaucrats, and whether the demands of the people have been met?
The 2003 elections and the current state of government
Compared to the rest of the Caucasus, the Armenian bourgeois has been
relatively unique, in that it has managed so far to keep down protests,
unlike in Baku (Azerbaijan), and Tbilisi (Georgia).
In the recent 2003 elections, however, the new traditions of election
rigging were once more upheld by the Armenian ruling class. The current
elite, did realise that this time they couldn't be too blatant with the
rigging, and so they pushed the elections to a 2nd ballot, to make the
rigging seem less obvious and clear cut to the Armenian people.
In spite of these manoeuvres and attempts to cover up what they were doing,
the elections were neither "free" nor "democratic" as the western
imperialists had boasted on Radio Liberty 12 years previously. These are the
following findings according to the OSCE final report into the presidential
elections: "People associated with opposition campaigns were dismissed from
their jobs, while others were threatened." "A number of shop owners were
threatened against displaying opposition campaign posters." "Family members
and reputable NGO's reported threats of violence by conscripts"
However, the elections weren't just marred by violence, the process itself
turned out to be a typical bourgeois sham. "Cases of passport fraud were
confirmed by observers on election day"
This means that the people who were not voting, had died, or had left the
country, had their passports taken off them, and used to cast ballots by the
incumbent's officials. "In Lori region, a policeman was witnessed carrying a
box of at least 50 passports out of the polling station." "There were 22
polling stations where ballot stuffing was confirmed during the first
round." "'Carousel' voting was observed" and cases of "vote-buying were
observed" as well as voters simply voting more than once. These comical
notes are simply the tip of the iceberg in a country where corruption is
rampant.
The opposition also had further obstacles placed before them, just in case
the violence and election rigging wasn't enough. "There were a number of
instances in which public facilities were denied to the opposition."
"Observers verified allegations that public sector employees, factory
workers, teachers, students and others were instructed to attend the
incumbent's rallies." "Observers were credibly notified of instances of
campaigns abandoning plans to open offices following intimidation."
Arguably the worst aspect of the new bourgeois regime is how it deliberately
lied to the people with its promises of freedom of speech, in all aspects of
media, and the right to demonstrate.
In 2003 the US-based NGO Freedom House downgraded its assessment of the
media climate in Armenia from "partly free" to "not free", citing the use of
security and libel laws to silence criticism and the closure of a private TV
station in 2002. A1+ and Noyan Tapan were not given tenders in 2002 with
these elections in mind; A1+ was particularly opposed to Kocharyan in its
reporting stance, not particularly as a result of media bias, rather due to
being relatively objective. According to the OSCE "news coverage, analytical
and other programs were biased." Below is a table showing this bias.
Name of StationKocharyan CoverageNature of reports concerning Kocharyan2nd
and 3rd
Opposition Coverage
Public TV (H1)41%"93% positive"19% and 11%
Prometevs61%"Exclusively" positive5% and 3%
TV Armenia65%"overwhelmingly positive"2% and 2%
TV Alm61%"overwhelmingly positive"
TV Shant47%"mainly positive"15% and 14%
HH (state newspaper)66%"99% positive"5% and 2% ("mainly negative")
The cost of advertisement, which was $120/minute, "was very high by local
standards" in an effort to bleed the opposition dry.
All these dirty tactics used by the ruling class did have an effect upon the
people. However there was no real opposition that was any different to
Kocharyan. If anything it was actually worse, (Stepan Demirchyan was
reported to have looted and sold $500m worth of factory machinery along with
others during the bleak 1991-1993 period). Because there was no true workers'
leadership, the demonstrations were organised in support of the national
chauvinist Demirchyan. According to the OSCE, "some opposition leaders
addressed the crowds with intemperate and even inflammatory statements
including calls for unconstitutional action such as the takeover of the
presidential palace." So it could be argued that a revolutionary mood was
present, and the ruling class knew this. "International observers witnessed
police stopping public transport in order to prevent people joining
demonstrators", however, the actions of the officers of this new bourgeoisie
state did not cease at merely stopping buses: "On February 22, police began
detaining opposition supporters at their homes in the very early morning,
for alleged 'hooliganism' and/or participation in unsanctioned public
meetings. At least 200 individuals were detained including many opposition
proxies and campaign staff"
As for representation in the new elections, an indicator into the state of
the government is how well it incorporates the 65% of the population who
have university diplomas - women. The situation for women representation
became worse than awful when the number of women ministers fell from 12 in
1995 (poor in itself), 4 in 1999 and none at present.
Economy
Under the Soviet central planning system, Armenia had developed a modern
industrial sector, supplying machine tools, textiles, and other manufactured
goods to sister republics in exchange for raw materials and energy. However,
since the Soviet collapse, these factories have simply frozen, where crates
which were meant to be opened before the day of the collapse, still remain
intact outside the factory gates. This freezing has led to growing
unemployment which, currently using conservative figures, stands at 20%, of
which none get welfare, and usually have to survive using funds sent to them
from those who have already left Armenia, either from Moscow or Los Angeles.
Since the collapse of Stalinism, Armenians have been told that they are now
"free" in their pursuit of happiness, and as "individuals" can truly
prosper, let us compare this bourgeois myth with the facts. According to
UNICEF the GDP per capita average annual growth rate from 1990 to 2001
was -1.3%. This continual drive towards poverty is awaiting the aftershocks
of the world economic crisis to fully reach the Armenian borders. 8% of the
population earn less than $1 a day (UNICEF)
The real face of capitalism is clearly revealed in the following figures:
the lowest 10% of waged people consume 2.3% of national consumption, and the
highest 10% spend 35.2%. Again, this is using conservative figures.
Even the growth figures, which the Armenian Foreign Ministry boasts of, of
9% are nothing to what they should be if they want to be on track to
recovery. As it is essentially starting from scratch, the figures should be
closer to 20-30%. One can only go on to believe that even these figures will
decrease as the economic climate turns even greyer. It must also be noted
that many new businesses starting in Armenia are from "Diaspora" Armenians
of whom there is only a finite amount. It should also be said that these new
Diaspora investors have become accustomed to bribing officials in order to
pay less tax revenue to the government. Some phenomena are universal!
However, this is merely the beginning. For not only is the amount of money
in the pockets of the Armenian people constantly being devalued, but also
the prices of goods have shot up, (mirroring all other CIS states) with 172%
inflation from 1990 to 2001 (UNICEF). Women are choosing to terminate
pregnancy in unprecedented numbers. One aid worker identified a woman who
had had almost 40 abortions!
A worrying sign for Armenia is that it is becoming trapped in foreign debt.
"Armenia remains short of significant volumes of foreign direct investment
and is dependent upon assistance from international financial institutions".
In December 2002, Armenia secured a US$20million loan from the World Bank.
As a result Armenia has agreed to privatize its power utilities, so much for
the calls for independence in 1991! Now the orders don't come from the
Yerevan or Moscow burocrats, but rather from the international capitalists
of Washington, London, Strasbourg and Tokyo.
Welfare
Welfare, as in all other CIS states, has virtually ceased, simply because of
the fact that the government cannot afford to allow people to live. The
unemployed have no dole to survive on, and are forced to leave the country,
or to live off funds sent from abroad. The most common solution is to go to
Moscow for a year or two, and return with some money for the family.
However, there are those who believe in the "American Dream", but when they
arrive they realise they have to work 14 hours a day for a one/two bedroom
apartment for their entire family. There are growing concerns over
alcoholism and the growth of drug abuse among some layers of workers. The
workers have no one to turn to in their hour of need, and there is no viable
party to turn to.
Pensioners receive 2000 AMD (£3 GBP) a month, rising to 3000 AMD if they are
war veterans; this is in a country with a winter of -20 degrees Celsius.
These pensioners, who have worked all their lives, are forced to give up the
independence they had, and live with a son or daughter. Those who can work
what little they can, usually old women sweeping the streets, waiting for a
wage that is undelivered for months if not years. Bourgeois Armenia is being
built on the backs of the workers and the suffering pensioners. Yes, they
may say, but the situation with the youth is different.
"Chronic malnutrition among children under-five rose from 12 per cent in
1998 to 14 per cent in 2000. There are wide social and economic disparities
across the regions and populations of Armenia." (UNICEF)
"Acute family impoverishment is widespread in Armenia. More than 55 per cent
of the population lives in poverty and about 8.5 per cent in extreme
poverty. Families with children under-five comprise almost 60 per cent of
the poor. (UNICEF)"
According to UNICEF figures the death rate has increased from 5 in 1970 to 7
in 2001, and the birth rate has decreased from 24 to 9 in the same period.
And what about education? "Underpaid, demoralized, and outmoded teachers are
using decades-old books to teach children in rotting buildings with no
school supplies from the government. Parents are expected to pay for
admissions to university. The government's concept of education reform is to
divest itself of responsibility for pre-school education and children's
institutions by handing formal responsibility over to penniless district
councils." Bribery of teachers is common practice, leading to the rich being
able to pay their way through life, and the poor to suffer. No doubt we will
be told in a few years that the leaders of this generation should be there
because "they have the know-how".
Even in these battered schools, there are huge problems of absenteeism and
students dropping out in order to work for money to support their families.
These facts remind us of stories of the late 19th century Armenia, where
students had to work to survive, most vividly shown by the children's author
Hovhannes Tumanyan in the book "Gikor"
Religion and Minorities
Religion has always played a part in the state of Armenia, being the first
state to have Christianity as its state religion; this has resulted in
centuries of conflict with surrounding Muslim nations. However, religion if
we look at history, has always been an excuse for the ruling classes to
declare hostilities in order to further their own class' gains. The most
recent example being the conflict over Nagorno Kharabakh where religion was
used as an excuse by Armenians as a motive to fight, and on the other hand
Jihad was declared by certain islamists, bringing in fundamentalists to
fight in Azerbaijan, including veterans from the Afghanistan war.
Today however, we see how religion has truly become "the opiate of the
masses", where people are merely surviving in hope of having a better
"afterlife". And this is not exclusively done by the Armenian Christian
Church, but also by many religious sects such as the Jehovah's Witnesses and
so on. The Government continues to reject the application by the Jehovah's
Witnesses for legal recognition as a registered religion, and members of the
group reported individual acts of discrimination. Other denominations
occasionally report acts of discrimination, usually by mid-level or lower
level government officials. There is also the problem of the draft, and as a
result 23 members of the Jehovah's Witnesses are in prison and 7 in
pre-trial detention charged with draft evasion or, if forcibly drafted, with
desertion due to refusal to serve.
As for other minorities, the largest is the Yezdi group, of whom there are
40-50,000. The Yezdi live a nomadic lifestyle and live isolated from society
on the eastern regions of Armenia. The first Yezdi School was opened in
1920, and during the Soviet period they established a programme on National
Radio. However, during the rise of nationalism, no resources have been
provided for these ethnic groups such as the Yezdi, Greeks, Assyrians or
Germans, and have had to sustain their culture on their own without
government aid.
Imperialist Chessboard
Within the country the imperialists took no time in changing education
policy and emphasising the importance of business within society. "Young
Entrepreneurship Promotion Campaigns" have been established, encouraging
young Armenians to learn about the way capitalism works, no doubt instilling
greed into the first generation of the new Armenia.
Imperialist adventurism doesn't stop here: "The World Bank plans to
implement five new programs in Armenia totalling about $75 million in the
next three to four years, Roger Robinson, the head of the Bank's office in
Yerevan told the press" (2) On top of this, the US has started building its
$150 million embassy in Yerevan, which one assumes will be the hub of US
operations in Armenia; either that, or it is an attempt to accommodate the
daily mile long queue for visa applications to the USA!
NATO has made huge steps in the region, trying to decrease the importance of
Turkey to avoid a situation like the one during the Iraq war where US troops
were not allowed to fly from Turkish bases. The Armenian foreign ministry
points out, "A political dialogue with NATO and the republic's participation
in the Euro Atlantic partnership are getting more coordinated and targeted."
According to the Russian Newspaper Itar-Tass, "Armenia will make its
contribution to the peacekeeping operations of the Alliance by way of
setting up its own forces compatible with the NATO partnership program,
Yerevan officials say with confidence." its seems the Yerevan officials say
this out of obedience rather than confidence.
However, things are much more complicated than they first seem. None of the
Caucasian ruling classes have gotten on together, especially the Armenian.
The other week, the Azeri ruling class didn't allow the Armenian military to
take part in NATO's military exercises in what NATO has dubbed "Partnership
for Peace Program", and this has sent feelings of fury running through the
Armenian military. Ironically though, the Armenian military occupy 20% of
Azeri land, and so have been undertaking military exercises for the best
part of 10 years anyway.
The situation becomes more complex when we take into account the final
factor: Russia. Armenia has long been a vital part in Russia's own
imperialist plans in the Caucasus. Russia has become increasingly alarmed by
the stranglehold the USA has on the Caucasus. The Russian military control
the borders around Armenia (which is most visible at passport control in the
airports), and make the Armenian generals subordinate to Russian generals
even within the Armenian army. Armenia is a vital link between Iran and
Russia, and this north-south line has only been interrupted by Georgia's
shenanigans over the last few years. No doubt with the US puppets
Saakashvili and Burdzhanadze in effective control in Georgia, the importance
of keeping Armenia a Russian semi-colony will increase. The final struggle
in the Caucasus seems to have landed on the Armenian square, with both
imperialist aggressors hungry to maintain their stake in the Caucasus and
further their interests.
The Left and the ex-Stalinists
The Communist Party of Armenia (Hayastani Komunistakan Kusaksutyun, HKK) was
founded in 1920, and its current chairman is Sergey Badalyan; elected in
August, 1994, and has 53,000 members. The Communist Party still maintains
organizations and offices nationwide: with organizations in all 10 marzes
(districts) of Armenia and Yerevan and has 35 offices. Having peaked at 11%
in the 1998 Presidential elections, this time round in 2003 it was around
4%. Although the party with one of the largest memberships, the make up has
a substantially elderly layer within it, dogged with old nostalgic values of
Stalinism. It has adjusted its policies and platform to fit in with today's
capitalist Armenia, and has reformed its ideas to suit the system rather
than to challenge it.
In doing so however it has lost ground to the fascist ARF party, which is
largely a party from outside Armenia, originating from the Western Armenians
who formed the early Diaspora in Western America, and throughout the Middle
East. Having complete control in the Diaspora, the ARF has been able to use
its finances to penetrate into Armenian politics.
Unlike in Georgia, Armenia has no Labour party, and the remaining weak
unions are dominated by the right wing, which at most will talk to the
bosses, if the bosses wish to. Since "independence" Armenian workers have
lost all their rights, and are now at the mercy of the neo-liberal Kocharyan
President.
Unlike much of Europe, the situation for the Left in Armenia is unique. They
have neither competition with other Left groupings, nor do they face workers
who have faith in government, and yet still they are unable to meet the
demands of the workers, or indeed explain to the workers what is currently
going on in Armenia.
Discontent in Armenia is rife, and in any other situation this would have
led to revolt by now. The problem is - and this is a recent Armenian
phenomenon (partly due to the history of the conflicts over the last 15
years) - that they have lost hope in the established institutions. What is
needed is for a fresh new layer of workers to come forward and enter the
mass organisations. It is necessary to explain why this situation has come
about, to unite against capitalism, and to show that there is hope, there is
a solution. The confusion among the workers was shown in the support for
Demirchyan who everyone knew wouldn't do anything for the workers.
The people look back romantically at the Soviet days saying "we had this. we
could do this and this and now we have nothing. now we are paralysed". The
point is that the achievements of the old glory days can be achieved, but
not by re-establishing Stalinism which committed hideous crimes against the
Armenian population including its best poets and scientists, but through a
genuine Socialist revolution.
Only through a socialist transformation could the Kharabakh war be brought
to a final end, by entering into a voluntary federation in which the
resources of the Caucasus would be pooled for the benefit of all. Only this
time round, with more advanced workers, and more advanced technology the end
result would be much more successful for all those concerned. It would not
be based on the backwardness of the Soviet Union as it was in the early
1920s, but on a much greater development that has taken place over the
decades.
Only through a socialist transformation could we stop the rich exploiting
the workers of Armenia and the Caucasus, where the workers would control the
means of production in a democratic manner.
Until then, the Caucasus will be treated like a pool for the imperialists to
play in and to plunder the resources, to exploit its workers, and use the
countries that make it up as pawns in their military games. It may seem
difficult, it may seem distant, but the only solution to the problems of the
Caucasus is a socialist one. A socialist Caucasus would be an example for
all, for workers around the world to unite. There is still a big demand for
change. As Tina, a secretary in the capital, Yerevan, told the BBC, "People
are sick of the Kocharyan regime, and now we have the chance to change it."
November 22, 2004
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