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Russia-Georgia tensions worsen following Beslan siege

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  • Russia-Georgia tensions worsen following Beslan siege

    Russia-Georgia tensions worsen following Beslan siege
    By Simon Wheelan

    World Socialist
    Oct 11 2004

    The school siege at Beslan in the Russian republic of North Ossetia
    has exacerbated tensions between Russia and Georgia, its neighbour
    in the South Caucasus.

    The Russian administration headed by President Vladimir Putin has
    utilised the tragedy in a manner similar to that adopted by the
    Republican administration in the US after the destruction of the
    World Trade Centre on 9/11. The Kremlin has also threatened to
    make pre-emptive military strikes outside its own borders against
    its enemies. Yuri Baluyevsky, Russia's top general, declared that
    military forces "will carry out all measures to liquidate terrorist
    bases in any region of the world."

    The shift towards pre-emptive strikes outside of Russia is not an
    idle threat. It already carries out an assassination policy like that
    employed by the Israeli government of Ariel Sharon and endorsed by
    Washington. In February Russian agents assassinated the prominent
    Chechen Zelimkhan Yandarbiyev whilst he was residing on the Arabian
    Peninsula in Doha, Qatar. The murder was in response to a previous
    bomb attack on the Moscow metro, which the Kremlin blames on Chechen
    separatists.

    Sentencing two Russian agents to 25 years in jail this week, a Qatari
    judge stated, "The Russian leadership issued an order to assassinate
    the former Chechen leader Yandarbiyev."

    The Russian government has denied any knowledge of the attack.

    Putin and other leading government figures have identified Georgia's
    Pankisi Gorge as a possible target for pre-emptive attacks. Thousands
    of Chechen refugees live in wretched conditions after having fled
    Russian atrocities and are currently seek shelter in the difficult
    to penetrate region.

    Russian sources claim the refugee community provides the ideal cover
    for Chechen rebels to enter Georgia from the Russian republic and to
    re-enter other Russian provinces like North Ossetia through Georgia's
    porous and frequently lawless northern borders. Georgia shares its
    borders with the impoverished and troubled republics of Ingushetia,
    Dagestan, Chechnya and North Ossetia. Russia has since closed all
    its borders with Georgia.

    Attempting to deflect criticism and avoid a confrontation with superior
    Russian military forces, the Georgian authorities have repeatedly
    claimed that the Pankisi no longer harbours Chechen rebels. The
    current government led by Mikhail Saakashvili blames the deposed
    administration of Eduard Shevardnadze for previous incursions by
    rebels into and out of Georgia.

    The Bush administration in Washington has sent out conflicting
    signals. The US State Department backed the claims of the Tbilisi
    administration, stating that the Pankisi Gorge was free from rebel
    activity. Spokesman Richard Boucher said the Pankisi Gorge "is no
    longer a haven for terrorists." But the US ambassador to Georgia,
    Richard Miles, says some international terrorists are still present
    in the Gorge.

    Seeking to link Georgia to the Beslan tragedy, Russia's Foreign
    Minister Sergei Lavrov suggested that events in South Ossetia, where
    the two countries have recently come to blows in a series of military
    skirmishes, might well be connected to the school siege. The Russian
    media has also sought to draw in the other breakaway Georgian republic
    of Abkhazia by suggesting that one of the Beslan hostage takers
    is hiding in an area on the border between the two warring parties
    controlled by Georgian forces. The Kodori Gorge is held by the Georgian
    military and Abkhazian ethnic Georgian forces loyal to Tbilisi.

    Presently Russia is on the offensive, but the situation prior to the
    Beslan siege was somewhat different. Saakashvili, fresh from wresting
    back control of the coastal region of Adjaria from the regional warlord
    Aslan Abashidze, decided to chance his luck on the weaker of the two
    remaining breakaway republics—South Ossetia.

    But just days after entering South Ossetian territory and mounting
    repeated exchanges with Russian and South Ossetian troops, Georgian
    forces withdrew. Saakashvili tried to rally nationalist sentiment
    by warning of a possible war with Russia. But the rout of his South
    Ossetian campaign is now derided in parliament as a "fiasco'' by the
    opposition. Newsweek magazine, which had previously sang Saakashvili's
    praises, predicted that the new president's star may have already
    waned and the opportunity to unify Georgia vanished.

    Putin has framed the conflict over South Ossetia as a threat to Russian
    sovereignty. But since Beslan, he has gone further and questioned the
    very geographical viability of Georgia. Putin declared that Georgia was
    "put together very artificially in a similar manner as other creations
    in the former Soviet Union", before blaming Tbilisi for "unfreezing"
    the South Ossetian conflict. He added, "No one asked Ossetians and
    the Abkhaz whether they want to stay in Georgia."

    In addition to the recent skirmishes over South Ossetia, Moscow has
    further enraged the Saakashvili government by reopening train links
    between the Russian capital and the Abkhazian capital Sukhumi for
    the first time in 11 years. Russia has also stopped Georgian airlines
    from using its airspace until some $3.6 million in debts is paid. The
    essentially bankrupt state of Georgia was underlined by its recent
    loss of voting rights at the United Nations because of unpaid bills.

    Meanwhile, Tbilisi continues to strengthen ties with the western
    powers and to push for eventual membership of NATO and the European
    Union. Robert Simmons, the newly appointed Special Representative for
    the Caucasus and Central Asia, recently announced that a NATO liaison
    officer will be stationed in Tbilisi and will work closely with the
    Defence Ministry "to assist with their defence reform." European
    Commission President Romano Prodi recently encouraged Georgia and
    the other Trans-Caucasus nations Armenia and Azerbaijan to continue
    their pursuit of EU membership.

    Since the ignominious retreat from South Ossetia, Saakashvili has
    sought to internationalise the conflict by drawing upon support from
    his Western sponsors. In the immediate aftermath of the Beslan siege,
    few wished to be seen openly supporting Russia's enemies. Britain's
    Home Secretary Jack Straw, for example, described the Russian desire
    for pre-emptive strikes as "understandable'' in the circumstances.
    But in contrast, the Bush administration has developed a bellicose
    response both to Russia's policy in Chechnya and in Georgia.

    Washington has reiterated its calls for Russia to withdraw its troops
    from Georgia, continues to train and equip Georgian forces and is
    set to increase its financial assistance to Georgia threefold. In
    return Georgian Defence Minister Giorgi Baramidze announced that more
    Georgian troops would possibly be sent to bolster American forces
    occupying Iraq.

    Russia has a vital strategic interest in maintaining control over the
    northern Caucasus region and extending its influence into the southern
    Caucasus to break a possible US encirclement through its support for
    Saakashvili's Georgian administration and the ruling Aliyev dynasty
    in Azerbaijan. Russia aims to thwart US attempts at monopolising the
    vital Caspian Sea oil reserves and it should not be forgotten that
    Chechnya also possesses significant oil reserves.

    America has long sought control over oil supplies from the Caspian
    Sea by installing or cultivating compliant regimes in the southern
    Caucasus, including Azerbaijan, where the oil is extracted, and
    Georgia, across which the $1.5 billion Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline
    passes. Consequently the US government is committed to thwarting any
    attempt by Russia to expand its influence in the Caucasus. Therefore
    while the Bush administration has in the past made a show of supporting
    Russian efforts to "curb terrorism", its essential policy is hostility
    to all attempts by Russia to dominate the region.

    The State Department criticised the August 29 Chechen elections
    as being "neither free nor fair'' and it has granted asylum to
    Ilyas Akhmadov, the foreign minister of Ivan Maskhadov's opposition
    government. Such support has allowed Akhmadov to pursue diplomatic
    relations aimed at winning international support for a Republic
    of Ichkeria.

    Both the US and the EU have called for Russia to negotiate with what
    they often describe as the "moderate" Chechen separatists. But France
    and Germany are seeking to distance themselves from the US by endorsing
    the validity of the August 29 election whilst simultaneously urging
    negotiation. Their ambivalence is based on their desire for stronger
    relations with Russia to counter American influence in Eastern Europe
    and to build lucrative economic relations, particularly in the oil
    sector. But they too must seek to free Caspian Sea oil from Russian
    hegemony.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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