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RFE/RL Iran Report - 04/11/2005

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  • RFE/RL Iran Report - 04/11/2005

    RADIO FREE EUROPE/RADIO LIBERTY, PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC
    _________________________________________ ____________________
    RFE/RL Iran Report
    Vol. 8, No. 15, 11 April 2005

    A Review of Developments in Iran Prepared by the Regional Specialists
    of RFE/RL's Newsline Team

    ************************************************** **********
    HEADLINES:
    * CORRUPTION A WORRY IN IRANIAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
    * OBSERVERS FEAR MILITARIZATION OF POLITICS
    * PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE LOOKS SOUTH FOR SUPPORT
    * LEGISLATURE LOOKS INTO FATAL SOCCER RIOT
    * SCHOOL HOSTAGE INCIDENT DEFUSED
    * IMAM KHOMEINI AIRPORT TO REOPEN THIS MONTH
    * KHATAMI CHATS WITH ISRAELI COUNTERPART AT POPE'S FUNERAL
    * SYRIA TO WITHDRAW FROM LEBANON BY END OF MONTH
    * TALABANI ELECTION LEADS TO UNREST IN IRAN
    * KYIV EYES IRAN'S GAS FOR USE AND TRANSSHIPMENT
    ************************************************** **********

    DATES SET FOR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE REGISTRATION. Mujtaba Reshad,
    head of the Presidential Election Headquarters, said on 3 April that
    registration of prospective presidential candidates will begin on 10
    May and continue for five days, "Iran Daily" reported on 4 April. The
    Interior Ministry will forward this information to the Guardians
    Council, which will screen the applications until 24 May. Individuals
    whose candidacy is accepted can campaign from 27 May until 24 hours
    before election day -- 17 June.
    By-elections for 10 seats in parliament will take place on 17
    June as well. Prospective candidates can register for these seats
    from 10-17 April. (Bill Samii)

    CORRUPTION A WORRY IN IRANIAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. Widespread
    Iranian concern about financial and professional corruption is
    reflected by the fact that most prospective candidates for the
    upcoming presidential election have addressed this issue. Tehran
    parliamentary representative Ahmad Tavakoli has said the unity of
    Iran is threatened by corruption, nepotism, and favoritism,
    "Siyasat-i Ruz" reported on 4 April, and that the next
    president's greatest duty is to address these issues.
    Coordination Council of the Islamic Revolution Forces
    candidate Ali Larijani likewise stressed corruption and economic
    issues during campaign speeches over the Noruz holiday. And Tehran
    Mayor Mahmud Ahmadi-Nejad said during a visit last month to Ahvaz
    that the government should fight all forms of corruption, "Hemayat"
    reported on 13 March.
    Corruption is not merely a word for candidates to throw
    around during their campaigns. Iran is rampantly corrupt, according
    to Transparency International's most recent report
    (http://www.transparency.org/cpi/2004/cpi2004.en.html#cpi2004). That
    survey placed Iran 87th out of 145 countries in terms of the degree
    of corruption "as seen by business people and country analysts." Iran
    ranked 2.9 on a scale from 10 (highly clean) to zero (highly
    corrupt).
    The Payam Airport smuggling case raises questions regarding
    the government's seriousness about attacking corruption. Arrests
    were made in October after authorities learned that Customs
    Administration officials at Payam Airport, near Karaj, were allegedly
    cooperating in the illegal shipment of goods from Dubai and other
    international locations. Tehran parliamentarian Alireza Zakani,
    however, said that, four months after the arrests, the main defendant
    in the case remains at large, "Siyasat-i Ruz" reported on 27
    February.
    The cases of Shahram Jazayeri and Nasser Vaez-Tabasi also
    raise questions about the government's desire to deal seriously
    with corruption. Jazayeri was convicted in 2002 in a major corruption
    case involving 50 defendants, many of them sons of prominent clerics
    known colloquially as "aqazadeh." In September 2004, his 27-year
    prison sentence was partially overturned, and he is occasionally
    released from prison on leave. Vaez-Tabasi, the son of Imam Reza
    Shrine Foundation (Astan-i Qods-i Razavi) head Ayatollah Abbas
    Vaez-Tabasi, was released immediately after his July 2001 arrest for
    allegedly illegally selling shares in a state-owned enterprise. He
    and his co-defendants were acquitted in March 2003 on the grounds
    that they were ignorant of the law.
    These and other prominent corruption cases grab headlines for
    a while and then fade away. Kermanshah parliamentary representative
    Abdul Reza Mesri, according to "Hambastegi" on 20 December 2004,
    asked on 19 December: "While reports on economic corruption are
    regularly published in the country, why is nothing heard about the
    punishment of corrupt persons?"
    One reason for the lack of follow-up on these cases is that
    the press is heavily politicized. Conservative newspapers such as
    "Kayhan," "Resalat," and "Jomhuri-yi Islami" are quick to accuse
    reformist political figures of wrongdoing. Often they do this by
    citing anonymous sources, and in other cases they quote people
    selectively and out of context. Pro-reform newspapers, motivated by
    professional ethics or a sense of self-preservation, are more
    cautious about printing corruption accusations, as the press court is
    more likely to punish them.
    Another reason relates to a general lack of accountability in
    Iran. After the Islamic Revolution in 1979, the state took control of
    the economy and para-statal organizations (bonyad) were created to
    promote social welfare and restore economic justice. Yet these
    foundations, as well as some other state institutions, do not answer
    to the government or to shareholders, and parliamentary
    investigations into their activities have been less than effective.
    The findings of a parliamentary investigation into the Oppressed and
    Disabled Foundation (Bonyad-i Mostazafan va Janbazan) in the 1990s
    were never released to the public. A May 2003 parliamentary report on
    Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB) ended without result,
    although it found major infractions, such as concealing revenues and
    failure to pay duties and taxes. The head of IRIB at the time, the
    same Ali Larijani who is now running for president, denied all the
    allegations and nothing came of the case.
    Weaknesses in the law are another reason for extensive
    corruption. There are many loopholes that corrupt individuals can
    exploit. The involvement of state officials in business affairs,
    furthermore, is not forbidden.
    This last area is one that could be in for a change.
    Hojatoleslam Abdolreza Izadpanah, spokesman for the Headquarters for
    Fighting Economic Corruption, said in mid-March that efforts to
    reform laws on trade, taxation, foreign investment, and money
    laundering reflect an effort to attack corruption, "Mardom Salari"
    reported on 17 March. A proposed bill on privatization, he said,
    would prohibit the involvement of public-sector employees --
    including those from the executive, legislative, and judicial
    branches, the Guardians Council, the Expediency Council, the military
    and provincial organizations -- in government transactions.
    Iranians are likely to welcome serious efforts to end
    corruption, but the government has failed to produce any so far.
    Public pressure on elected officials, especially during the months
    before the presidential election, could change this situation. (Bill
    Samii)

    OBSERVERS FEAR MILITARIZATION OF POLITICS. The possibility that an
    individual connected with the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC)
    could be elected as Iran's next president is causing some
    consternation in Iranian political circles.
    Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei accepted 43-year-old
    police chief Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf's resignation on 5 April, the
    Iranian Students News Agency (ISNA) reported. Before succeeding
    Brigadier General Hedayat Lotfian as police chief in June 2000,
    Qalibaf was commander of the IRGC Air Force. Another prospective
    candidate with a serious background in the IRGC is Mohsen Rezai, who
    commanded the corps for 16 years.
    Qalibaf's plan to be a candidate in the presidential
    election indicates the militarization of the political process,
    several articles in the 4 April issue of "Eqbal" newspaper suggest.
    "Eqbal" and "Farhang-i Ashti" reported on 4 April that younger
    conservatives associated with the Islamic Revolution Devotees'
    Society (Jamiyat-i Isargaran-i Inqilab-i Islami) and the Islamic Iran
    Developers Council (Etelaf-i Abadgaran-i Iran-i Islami) support
    Qalibaf.
    Interestingly, there are allegations that another former IRGC
    official and current presidential candidate, Larijani, is supported
    by the military. The Baztab website reported on 17 March that a
    clerical official in the IRGC has a high position in the Coordination
    Council of the Islamic Revolution Forces, the mainstream conservative
    body that backs Larijani.
    The Developers themselves have not been very forthcoming on
    their choice. A recent Developers press conference turned out to be
    something of a bust, "Etemad" and "Eqbal" newspapers reported on 5
    April. The many reporters at this event expected to learn something
    about the conservative organization's preferences in the upcoming
    presidential election, but Developers' spokesman Mehdi Chamran,
    who is a member of the Tehran municipal council, was not very
    specific. Previously, Larijani appeared to be their favorite, but
    Chamran said a choice has not been made yet and added, "We support
    all those who adhere to fundamentalist thinking." He continued: "If
    they [the candidates] select a particular candidate among themselves,
    we will support their choice. We do not wish to act as a council that
    selects the candidate. We want the people to make the final choice."
    He said the Developers were created at a stage when the
    fundamentalists were "in a state of despair and uncertainty." Chamran
    described his organization as "an ideology and an intellectual
    movement."
    Reformist politician Mustafa Tajzadeh wrote in "Eqbal" on 4
    April that if Larijani or Tehran Mayor Mahmud Ahmadinejad wins the
    election, a militarized administration will emerge and it will try to
    reassert the revolutionary and religious values that existed in the
    early years of the revolution. Tajzadeh compared this to prewar
    Germany and the Nazi Party's actions.
    Reformist presidential candidate Hojatoleslam Mehdi Karrubi
    said in a late March meeting with officials from his election
    headquarters that in recent years he has warned of the military's
    involvement in political affairs, the daily "Etemad" reported on 3
    April. "[I] have repeatedly condemned it and have openly criticized
    them," he said. Karrubi said it is a mistake to ignore the actions of
    the IRGC, the Basij, the Guardians Council, the judiciary, the
    Special Court for the Clergy, and agencies affiliated with the
    supreme leader. Karrubi said his attitude toward these institutions
    includes "strong reactions" when he was not in office and a
    "respectful but firm stance" when he was speaker of parliament. "I am
    confident that if people elect me I will solve many of the existing
    problems by making use of the same methods," he said.
    Qalibaf is an interesting candidate for president. "Farhang-i
    Ashti" reported on 4 April that under his command the previously
    unpopular police force earned a much better reputation. He created
    the 110 rapid-reaction system (see "RFE/RL Iran Report," 8 April
    2002, and http://www.police.ir/), which made the force operate more
    efficiently, and he also eliminated the influence of political
    factions in the police.
    Yet Qalibaf's respect for civilian leadership of the
    government is limited, He is one of the 24 IRGC commanders who in
    July 1999 sent a letter to President Mohammad Khatami warning that if
    he did not act to quell student unrest, they would not stand by idly
    and would take matters into their own hands (see "RFE/RL Iran
    Report," 26 July 1999).
    Qalibaf is not the only person the young conservatives are
    considering as a presidential candidate. Tehran Mayor Mahmud
    Ahmadi-Nejad, Tehran parliamentary representative Ahmad Tavakoli,
    former Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Velayati, and Expediency Council
    Secretary Mohsen Rezai have their backers. If the young conservatives
    do not select Qalibaf, "Farhang-i Ashti" reported then he could be
    tapped as a conservative victor's interior minister. (Bill Samii)

    QALIBAF RESIGNATION COULD AFFECT WAR ON DRUGS. The daily "Siyasat-i
    Ruz" reported on 5 April that police chief Qalibaf, who has resigned,
    will be succeeded by his deputy, General Ali Abdullahi. The daily
    questioned Abdullahi's ability to meet the position's
    responsibilities for counternarcotics efforts and intercepting
    smugglers. "Siyasat-i Ruz" urged Qalibaf not to leave the police
    force and to continue to serve the country. (Bill Samii)

    CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE DISCUSSES ECONOMIC POLICIES. The conservative
    Coordination Council's likely candidate for the 17 June
    presidential election, Larijani, described the economic policies of
    his prospective government during a 31 March press conference in
    Mazandaran Province, Fars News Agency reported. He said he would
    encourage privatization by issuing shares in state-owned enterprises,
    and he would reduce economic activities that take place through
    officials' connections. Larijani said the government must be
    streamlined so it can satisfy the needs of public-sector workers and
    still fulfill its role. Larijani said his government's economic
    policies would be based on Islam and public participation. (Bill
    Samii)

    CONSERVATIVES SET TO ANNOUNCE THEIR CANDIDATE. Mohammad Reza Bahonar,
    a leading member of the Coordination Council, said that the main
    conservative group will announce its candidate on 21 April, "Mardom
    Salari" reported on 3 April. "The final decision has already been
    announced inside the organization and the name of our final candidate
    has been submitted to the Coordination Council of the provinces." He
    added, "Although we have chosen our candidate, the opinion polls will
    continue until the final days."
    Kashmar representative Ahmad Bloukian said the Coordination
    Council has informed its provincial offices that Larijani is its
    candidate and has begun activities on his behalf, "Mardom Salari"
    reported.
    Guilds and Bazaar Association Secretary-General Ahmad
    Karimi-Isfahani said on 3 April that Larijani is the leading
    candidate in the conservatives' opinion polls, ISNA reported, but
    there will be more polls.
    Conservative legislator Mohsen Kuhkan was quoted by "Mardom
    Salari" on 3 April as saying that there probably will be three
    different conservative groupings -- Larijani's supporters, the
    Islamic Iran Developers Council (Etelaf-i Abadgaran-i Iran-i Islami),
    and the coalition of "fundamentalist" candidates (Mahmud
    Ahmadi-Nejad, Mohammad Qalibaf, Mohsen Rezai, Ahmad Tavakoli, and Ali
    Akbar Velayati). (Bill Samii)

    PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE LOOKS SOUTH FOR SUPPORT. The South United
    organization will back the candidacy of Expediency Council Secretary
    Mohsen Rezai, "Farhang-i Ashti" reported on 7 April, citing an
    unnamed parliamentarian. According to the newspaper, there are 11
    million potential voters in the southern provinces, and the
    organization is being created to secure their support for Rezai.
    Presidential candidates increasingly are trying to gain the support
    of provincial voters. (Bill Samii)

    FILM MAKER WANTS TO BE IRAN'S PRESIDENT. Karim Atashi, who
    manages the Honar-i Haftom movie studio and who has made some 50
    films, said on 3 April that he intends to run in the 17 June
    presidential election, Mehr News Agency reported on 4 April. (Bill
    Samii)

    LEGISLATURE TO LOOK INTO FATAL SOCCER RIOT. Speaker of parliament
    Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel said on 4 April that the legislature's
    Culture Committee should investigate the fatal events following a
    Tehran soccer match two weeks earlier, the Islamic Republic News
    Agency (IRNA) reported. About seven people were trampled to death and
    some 40 others were injured after a World Cup qualifying match
    between Iran and Japan at Azadi Stadium on 25 March ("RFE/RL Iran
    Report," 30 March 2005). Talesh parliamentary representative Bahman
    Mohammadyari said during the 4 April session that security officers
    prevented spectators from leaving the stadium and used water cannons
    against them, IRNA reported.
    Radio Farda reported on 4 April that a commission has been
    selected to investigate these events, but it has not issued a report
    yet. It is not clear who ordered the closure of exit doors to Iranian
    fans, whereas the doors for Japanese fans remained open. The brother
    of one of the injured spectators said fans began leaving around the
    80th minute of the match, Radio Farda reported, but the doors
    remained closed. But an official from the Physical Training
    Organization insisted that all the doors were open.
    Daily newspapers in Tehran reported on 6 April that the
    security forces were responsible for the post-match deaths, Radio
    Farda reported. Citing judiciary spokesman Jamal Karimi-Rad, the
    newspapers reported that there were 120,000 spectators in the
    stadium, whereas it only has room for 100,000 people. Moreover, a
    helicopter was used to channel spectators into an exit hall that was
    60 meters long but only 7 meters wide. (Bill Samii)

    SCHOOL HOSTAGE INCIDENT DEFUSED. A 25-year-old man armed with an
    AK-47 rifle held students at the Razi boys' school in northern
    Tehran hostage for several hours on 7 April, Radio Farda reported. He
    gave up after speaking with his mother and police officers. The
    hostage taker was wearing military fatigues, and one of the young
    hostages told Radio Farda that the name on the uniform was Mahmud
    Rahimi. The man complained of mistreatment by his superiors,
    according to a hostage. Dr. Hamedian, the school's principal,
    said the hostage taker complained that financial and personal
    difficulties led to his actions. Several students told Radio Farda
    that the hostage taker was very sympathetic and gentle, and they
    indicated that they felt sorry for him. One student said all but two
    of the teachers fled, and the two who remained spoke with the hostage
    taker and calmed him down. (Bill Samii)

    JOURNALISTS' GUILD CHIEF'S FOREIGN TRAVEL BARRED.
    Journalists' Guild head Rajabali Mazrui was prevented from
    leaving the country to attend a conference in Denmark, ISNA reported
    on 6 April, citing guild Secretary Masud Hushmand. No reason for the
    ban was provided, Hushmand added, and he opined that this will prompt
    an adverse reaction from the international press community. Hushmand
    demanded an explanation from the relevant authorities.
    The managing director of "Sharq" newspaper, Mehdi Rahmanian,
    appeared at the prosecutor's office on 6 April to face 32
    complaints, the Iranian Labor News Agency (ILNA) reported. He faces
    accusations of trying to agitate the public by publishing lies.
    The Ministry of Islamic Culture and Guidance closed the
    monthly "Karnameh" on 7 April for publishing allegedly "immoral" news
    and poems, Reporters Without Borders reported, and it closed the
    pro-reform intellectual magazine "Jameh-yi No" on 8 March. (Bill
    Samii)

    IMAM KHOMEINI AIRPORT TO REOPEN THIS MONTH. Deputy Roads and
    Transport Minister and Civil Aviation Organization Chief Nurollah
    Rezai-Niaraki told Iranian state radio on 5 April that the Imam
    Khomeini International Airport will reopen on 30 April. All flights
    to and from the United Arab Emirates will begin using the airport on
    that date, and other international carriers will be invited to use
    the airport after that date. Domestic flights will continue to use
    Mehrabad Airport.
    Islamic Revolution Guards Corps personnel closed the Imam
    Khomeini airport on its first day of operation in the spring of 2004
    on the grounds that the role of a Turkish firm -- TAV -- in operating
    the facility posed a security risk (see "RFE/RL Iran Report," 19
    April and 17 May 2004). The legislature interpellated Roads and
    Transport Minister Ahmad Khoram after the airport's closure
    concerning the giving of the contract to the Turkish company.
    Current Roads and Transport Minister Mohammad Rahmati said on
    5 April that the cabinet has not decided what to do about the TAV
    contract, iranmania.com reported, citing ISNA. After the airport
    reopens, he said, Iran Air and another firm with majority Iranian
    shareholders will operate it. (Bill Samii)

    WORKERS HAVING PROBLEMS. Police were called in to disperse employees
    of the Alborz carpet company, located in Sari, Mazandaran Province,
    who were demonstrating on 6 April against the factory's recent
    closure, ILNA reported.
    Bus drivers in Semnan Province went on strike on 6 April and
    gathered at bus terminals and the provincial transport department,
    ILNA reported. They were protesting one company's decision to use
    chartered buses to take riders outside city limits, although the news
    dispatch did not explain why this is controversial.
    Labor House Secretary Alireza Mahjub on 3 April denounced a
    recent meeting of the Supreme Council for Labor, ILNA reported. The
    meeting was held to discuss changing the minimum wage, he said, but
    the government and employers' representatives did not stand by
    their obligations. Mahjub said that in the last few years workers
    have not received their wages or their bonuses, and that this appears
    to be a customary practice. Mahjub said the labor minister ignored a
    requirement that the minimum wage must exceed the poverty line by 1
    million rials (about $122), and he also ignored adjustments for
    inflation. As a result, Mahjub said, the minimum wage for office
    workers should be 2 million rials and 1.22 million rials for
    laborers. Mahjub argued that laborers should receive at least 2
    million rials.
    Some Iranians, meanwhile, lack employment altogether. On 4
    April, "Iran Daily" reported that many female residents of the
    earthquake-stricken city of Bam need jobs. About 4,000 women are the
    sole breadwinners in their households, and charity from the Imam
    Khomeini Relief Committee and the State Welfare Organization does not
    meet their needs. (Bill Samii)

    WAR GAMES BEGIN IN NORTHERN PERSIAN GULF. The Morvarid war games in
    the northern Persian Gulf have commenced, state television reported
    on 6 April. Submarines, missile boats, and troop carriers, as well as
    aircraft, are participating in the two-day exercises.
    Major General Mohammad Salimi, commander of the regular armed
    forces, visited the Second Naval Base in Bushehr on 7 April and said
    the navy's presence in the south shows the military's
    vigilance, Fars News Agency reported. Salimi also visited the 6th
    Shahid Yasini air base, visited an S-200 missile site, a Hawk
    medium-range missile site, and air defense installations. (Bill
    Samii)

    NUCLEAR PROGRAM THE FOCUS OF KHATAMI'S EUROPEAN TRIP. Iranian
    President Khatami visited Europe in the first week of April, and
    during the trip the predominant issue was the status of Iran's
    nuclear program.
    Khatami met with Austria's President Heinz Fischer and
    Chancellor Wolfgang Schuessel during a 4 April visit to Vienna, IRNA
    reported, while Foreign Minister Kamal Kharrazi met with his
    counterpart, Ursula Plassnik. The two sides discussed bilateral ties,
    commercial issues, and events in the Middle East.
    The nuclear issue appeared to be a major topic as well.
    Khatami said at a joint press conference with Fischer, "Nobody in the
    world wants to have weapons of mass destruction, and Iran does not
    want to have such weapons, but we need to use nuclear power for
    electrification, and therefore we ask the whole world and the
    European Union to help us keep those power plants," Reuters reported.
    At the meeting with Schuessel, he said Iran is trying to resolve
    concern over Iranian nuclear activities through cooperation with the
    EU and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Kharrazi told
    Plassnik, "We are having very good cooperation with the [IAEA]," IRNA
    reported.
    Khatami flew to Paris from Vienna on 4 April and met with
    French President Jacques Chirac the next day, Radio Farda reported.
    The main topic of the meeting was the nuclear impasse. Khatami told
    reporters afterwards that Iran and the European Union have made
    progress in their discussions on this subject, saying, "I think we
    have taken steps forward." He also said that the ultimate agreement
    between Iran and the EU must recognize what Iran sees as its right to
    develop nuclear power. Tehran insists on mastery of the complete
    nuclear fuel cycle, whereas Europe and the U.S. want Iran to forego
    the enrichment of uranium. Khatami said he hopes serious progress
    will be made at a 29 April meeting of officials from Iran, France,
    Germany, and the United Kingdom.
    Also in Paris on 5 April, Foreign Minister Kamal Kharrazi and
    his counterpart, Michel Barnier, discussed the nuclear issue, AFP
    reported.
    Before his meeting with Chirac, Khatami attended a meeting at
    UNESCO headquarters in Paris on 5 April, international news agencies
    reported. Khatami gave the opening speech at the International
    Conference on the Dialogue among Civilizations, Cultures and Peoples,
    according to the UNESCO website
    (http://portal.unesco.org/en/ev.php-URL_ID=26761&URL_DO=DO_TOPIC&URL_
    SECTION1.html).
    The terrorist attacks of September 2001, Khatami said, proved
    that "dialogue among civilizations had become a political and
    economic emergency." Khatami said "dialogue" implies an active
    process of communication. "Dialogue is at once beautiful, moral, and
    a guarantor of truth," Khatami said. He added: "As a Moslem, I have a
    firm conviction that the beauty of religion stems from justice... any
    understanding of religion that, in one way or another, justifies
    injustice stands against the true sense of religion." He condemned
    violence. Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika spoke after
    Khatami, and said that, "dialogue among civilizations is one of the
    motors of progress." He said terrorism is not part of Islam.
    Khatami flew on to Rome to attend the funeral of Pope John
    Paul II. Khatami met with Italian President Carlo Azeglio Ciampi on 7
    April, Iranian state radio reported. Khatami reportedly emphasized
    that his country's cooperation with the IAEA demonstrates that
    Iran is not violating its international commitments. (Bill Samii)

    IRAN AND ALGERIA SIGN AGREEMENT. Minister of Defense and Armed Forces
    Logistics Ali Shamkhani and Algerian Interior Minister Yazid Zerhoumi
    signed a memorandum of understanding on bilateral cooperation on 4
    April, IRNA reported. Shamkhani arrived in Algeria on 2 April for a
    three-day visit. Shamkhani met with President Bouteflika, Prime
    Minister Ahmed Ouyahia, and parliamentary speaker Abdelkader
    Bensalah. (Bill Samii)

    KHATAMI CHATS WITH ISRAELI COUNTERPART AT POPE'S FUNERAL.
    President Khatami and Israeli President Moshe Katsav shook hands and
    chatted at the 8 April funeral of Pope John Paul II, international
    news agencies reported. Khatami and Katsav, who was born in Iran,
    spoke in Persian about their mutual hometown, Yazd. Hagit Cohen, a
    spokesperson for Katsav, described this as a "historic moment and
    unique opportunity," reported "The Jerusalem Post." The next day,
    Khatami denied this. "These allegations are false...I have not had
    any meeting with a personality from the Zionist regime," he said
    according to the BBC.
    Khatami expressed his condolences on the pope's death in
    a 3 April message, IRNA reported. Khatami met the Holy Father in
    March 1999 in a symbolically important meeting of the heads of the
    Organization of the Islamic Conference and the Roman Catholic Church
    (see "RFE/RL Iran Report," 15 March 1999).
    Ayatollah Hussein Ali Montazeri-Najafabadi also expressed
    condolences over the pope's death and encouraged members of all
    faiths to work for peace and justice, "Etemad" reported on 5 April.
    Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani expressed his
    condolences during his 8 April sermon in Tehran, IRNA reported. He
    urged the Christian community to follow the teachings of Jesus more
    closely. He added, "The approaches pursued by the world Christians
    today differ drastically from the authentic teachings of Christ,
    since the followers of Jesus -- peace be upon him (PBUH) -- cannot
    remain Christians and at the same time remain silent and indifferent
    toward the crimes committed by the United States and the other
    superpowers around the globe." Hashemi-Rafsanjani continued, "The
    world's Christians should shout in protest against the United
    States and tell the White House leaders that their conduct has
    defamed Christ (PBUH)."
    Iranian state radio also commented on the pope's funeral
    on 8 April. "The massive turnout at the Pope's funeral clearly
    reflects the world community's strong opposition to war-mongering
    America and its unilateralist approach on the international scene,"
    according to the commentary. "Without a doubt, this message will not
    be lost on the American President George Bush, who is attending the
    Pope's funeral." (Bill Samii)

    SYRIA TO WITHDRAW FROM LEBANON BY END OF MONTH. UN envoy Terje
    Roed-Larsen said, after meeting with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
    and Foreign Minister Faruq al-Shara, that Damascus has pledged that
    the last of its troops will leave Lebanese territory by 30 April,
    Radio Farda reported on 3 April. The Syrian pullout from Lebanon will
    slightly reduce Iran's ability to influence events there,
    although its close relationship with Hizballah means that it is not
    completely left out.
    The Syrian pullout is called for in UN Resolution 1559, a
    measure that prompted Iranian condemnation last autumn (see "RFE/RL
    Iran Report," 11 October 2004). In the wake of the 14 February
    assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri and the
    resulting international pressure on Syria, furthermore, Tehran
    offered advice on dealing with possible economic sanctions and
    expressed unity with Syria (see "RFE/RL Iran Report," 21 February
    2005).
    Foreign Minister Kharrazi met al-Shara and al-Assad in
    Damascus on 2 April to discuss Lebanese affairs, Iranian state radio,
    IRNA, and SANA reported. Kharrazi noted that Tehran-Damascus
    relations are expanding, and he and his counterpart condemned U.S.
    support for Israel. Iran and Syria have had some of their "most
    fruitful cooperation" in Lebanon, an Iranian state radio analyst
    calling himself "Mr. Kazemzadeh" said on 2 April. This should
    continue because "one of the main objectives of the foreign players
    in the political crisis in Lebanon...is to change the traditional
    political and military balance in their own favor."
    Kharrazi confirmed in the 7 April issue of France's "Le
    Monde" and London's "Al-Hayat" daily that Syrian forces are
    withdrawing from Lebanon, and he insisted that Syria is serious about
    the withdrawal. He agreed that France and Iran can influence events
    there, and he indicated that this is a natural role for Iran.
    However, he was adamant that external interference in Lebanese
    affairs must be avoided and outsiders should not try to fill the
    vacuum left by Syria.
    The disarmament of Hizballah, as called for in Security
    Council Resolution 1559, is a form of external interference, Kharrazi
    said. It is too soon for Hizballah to disarm, he said, because of the
    continuing threat from Israel.
    Enthusiasm about the Syrian withdrawal may be premature. The
    Lebanese opposition, as well as U.S., European, and UN officials,
    asserts that covert Syrian assets in Lebanon are working to ensure
    that Syrian domination will continue after the withdrawal, "The
    Washington Post" reported on 31 March. (Bill Samii)

    TALABANI ELECTION LEADS TO UNREST IN IRAN. President Khatami
    congratulated Patriotic Union of Kurdistan leader Jalal Talabani on 7
    April on his election as Iraq's president, IRNA reported. Khatami
    said this development shows that Iraqis are determined to run their
    country without outside interference, and he added that Iran is ready
    to cooperate with and assist Iraq. (On Talabani's election and on
    the new prime minister, Ibrahim al-Ja'fari of the al-Da'wah
    al-Islamiyah party, see "RFE/RL Iraq Report," 8 April 2005.)
    In Iran, joyful young Kurds in Mahabad and Piranshahr
    celebrated in the streets on 6 June by igniting fireworks and
    displaying Kurdish flags, Baztab website reported. Fifteen police
    officers were injured in resulting clashes, and 40 demonstrators were
    arrested. The Student Movement for Coordination Committee for
    Democracy in Iran reported that demonstrations and clashes also
    occurred in Baneh, Marivan, Saqez, and Sanandaj. Security forces
    allegedly used rubber bullets and tear gas against the demonstrators,
    who were shouting anti-regime slogans. (Bill Samii)

    IRAN, IRAQ SIGN CONSULAR AGREEMENT ON PILGRIMS, BUSINESS PEOPLE.
    Iranian Foreign Minister Kharrazi met with Iraqi Deputy Foreign
    Minister Sa'd al-Hayani in Tehran on 7 April, IRNA reported. The
    two signed consular documents on the exchange of pilgrims and on
    facilities for businessmen and industrialists. They also discussed
    the future signing of agreements on cultural and religious
    cooperation.

    KYIV EYES IRAN'S GAS FOR USE AND TRANSSHIPMENT. In early
    February, Interfax announced that Ukrainian President Viktor
    Yushchenko will make an official visit to Iran in the "first half of
    the year." The topics to be discussed during the visit were listed as
    bilateral relations and joint projects in the energy sector.
    The announcement of Yushchenko's trip to Iran, coming so
    soon after his inauguration, served to underscore the importance that
    Kyiv attaches to finding alternative energy supplies while seeking to
    wean itself away from its dependence on Russian oil and gas.
    Tehran has been on the Ukrainian energy compass for the past
    few years as a potential supplier of oil and gas. Kyiv also sees Iran
    as a country where Ukrainian companies can provide considerable
    expertise in energy related construction projects, and as a market
    for oil drilling equipment and large diameter pipes.
    Iran, according to the International Energy Administration of
    the United States (http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/iran.html) has
    proven reserves of 28 trillion cubic meters of natural gas. That is
    18 percent of the world's proven gas reserves and second only to
    Russia. Around 62 percent of Iranian natural-gas reserves have not
    been developed.
    Ukraine also sees itself as a possible transit route for
    Iranian gas destined for European Union markets -- primarily in
    Central Europe and Germany. As such, Ukraine could earn considerable
    money on transit fees, that could in turn be used to purchase Iranian
    gas for the Ukrainian domestic market.
    During Yushchenko's visit to Germany in March, Deutsche
    Bank agreed to provide Naftohaz, the Ukrainian oil and gas monopoly,
    with a credit line of $2 billion. The Ukrainian side will decide how
    this money is to be spent. Some analysts in Kyiv believe that it
    might be allocated to renovating the aging Soyuz pipeline and
    preparing it for the task of delivering Iranian gas to Germany.

    THE TURKMEN CONNECTION Interest in Iranian gas was renewed in Kyiv
    after Viktor Yushchenko was elected president and Turkmenistan
    unexpectedly raised the price it charges Ukraine for natural gas in
    January by 32 percent, that is, to $58 per 1,000 cubic meters.
    Another factor contributing to interest in the Iranian route
    is that the contract for Turkmen gas to Ukraine ends in December
    2006. After this date, Ukraine will be forced to buy Turkmen gas from
    Gazeksport, a subsidiary of Russia's Gazprom.
    On 28 March, RIA press agency reported that a Ukrainian
    delegation led by Fuels and Energy Minister Ivan Plachkov and the
    head of Naftohaz were given assurances by Gazprom head Aleksei
    Miller, who stated: "We support the Ukrainian side's proposal to
    move to monetary payments for the transit of gas through Ukrainian
    territory and to raise the tariff rates to the European level."
    Miller added: "Gazprom, for its part, can fully meet Ukraine's
    requirements in Russian natural gas at European-level market prices."

    The Ukrainian side is approaching this promise with caution,
    given Gazprom's history of manipulating the gas market in order
    to promote the Kremlin's political agenda. There is also
    considerable doubt that Gazprom is capable of meeting long-term
    commitments for gas deliveries to the West.
    On 6 March, IRNA reported that the Ukrainian deputy minister
    of oil and energy held talks in Tehran with Iran's Deputy Foreign
    Minister for International Affairs Hadi Nejad Husseinian during the
    third meeting of the two countries' energy commissions. At this
    meeting, the Ukrainian side proposed buying 15 billion cubic meters
    (bcm) of gas from Iran, to be delivered via a proposed pipeline whose
    route has still not been agreed upon.
    The currently proposed routes for this pipeline are:
    -- Iran to Armenia and then on to the Georgian port of Supsa,
    and from there along the bottom of the Black Sea to Feodosia in the
    Crimea. Once in Ukraine, the gas can enter into the Ukrainian "Soyuz"
    trunk pipeline for delivery to the EU. According to a recent estimate
    done by a Ukrainian energy think tank, the cost of this 550 kilometer
    route would be some $5 billion and it would be able to transport some
    60 bcm per year.
    -- Alternately, the pipeline can run from Iran to Armenia
    then to Georgia, on to Russia and end up in Ukraine. No cost estimate
    has been announced for this route.
    The IRNA report mentioned that Ukraine and Iran are to hold
    an expert meeting in Tehran in May to discuss the financial aspects
    and construction and implementation of the project as well as the
    amount of gas to be exported. "Tehran and Kyiv will then make the
    final decision," IRNA reported.

    TWO POWERFUL OPPONENTS Opposition to a Ukrainian gas deal with Iran
    is likely to come from two countries -- Russia and the United States.

    On March 19, Interfax reported that deputy CEO of Gazprom
    Aleksandr Ryazanov stated that he does not consider the transit of
    Iranian gas through Armenia to Ukraine and onward to Europe to be
    viable.
    "I can't even image how this could be done at all,"
    Ryazanov said, adding that the Iran-Armenia-Georgia-Russia-Ukraine
    and Iran-Armenia- Georgia-Ukraine transit routes mentioned in the
    press are unrealistic and economically unsound.
    Ryazanov did not specify why the routes are unrealistic. The
    Ukrainian side is likely to view his objections as being more
    political then economic.
    The way the United States views the pipeline proposals are
    still unknown.
    But in the case of a proposed gas pipeline from Iran to
    supply Pakistan and India, the United States took a rather dim view.
    "Washington warned Pakistan not to go ahead with its
    Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline project, saying that this project
    will strengthen Iran and thus negatively affects the United States
    economically," Al-Jazeera reported on 19 March.
    It is likely that the Iranian-Ukraine pipeline project was
    discussed in Washington during Yushchenko's first official visit
    as president to the United States, from 4 - 7 April).
    U.S. concerns will most likely be centered on the potential
    problems that could arise if the EU should become overly dependent on
    Iranian gas, instead of being overly dependent on Russian gas.
    As an alternative route, the United States has been backing
    the idea of an energy corridor for moving Caspian-basin energy to the
    West. That corridor would include a gas pipeline that would bypass
    Russia and its pipeline system. The downside of this project is the
    role that Turkmenistan would play in it and the reliability of its
    often erratic leader Saparmurat Niyazov.
    While the United States does not want to "strengthen Iran,"
    it has also been urging Ukraine to diversify its gas supplies. Given
    Ukraine's limited options for such diversification -- the
    Norwegian gas fields are rapidly being depleted and Ukraine's
    demand for gas is not decreasing -- the Iranian pipeline might be one
    of the few possible options open to Kyiv. (Roman Kupchinsky).

    ************************************************** *******
    Copyright (c) 2005. RFE/RL, Inc. All rights reserved.

    The "RFE/RL Iran Report" is a weekly prepared by A. William Samii on
    the basis of materials from RFE/RL broadcast services, RFE/RL
    Newsline, and other news services. It is distributed every Monday.

    Direct comments to A. William Samii at [email protected].
    For information on reprints, see:
    http://www.rferl.org/about/content/request.asp
    Back issues are online at http://www.rferl.org/reports/iran-report/
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