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  • Armenian Nuclear Plant to function for another decade

    Eurasia Daily Monitor, DC
    The Jamestown Foundation
    Aug 8 2005

    ARMENIAN NUCLEAR PLANT TO FUNCTION FOR ANOTHER DECADE

    By Emil Danielyan
    Monday, August 8, 2005


    Armenia appears to have decided to keep its vital nuclear power
    station at Metsamor operational for another decade, despite
    persisting Western concerns about the safety of the Soviet-built
    facility. The authorities in Yerevan, reluctant to set a date for the
    plant's inevitable closure until recently, have deferred the decision
    over the past few months.

    The director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency
    (IAEA), Mohamed El Baradei, ascertained their intentions during a
    recent visit to Yerevan. "I think the Armenian authorities would like
    to continue to operate the reactor for around ten years," El Baradei
    said after talks with President Robert Kocharian and other senior
    Armenian officials on July 28.

    This will hardly please the United States and especially the European
    Union. They have for years been pushing for a quick decommissioning
    of Metsamor, saying that it is located in a seismically active region
    and that its sole operating reactor is inherently flawed. But the
    United States and the EU seem to have no option other than continuing
    to work with Yerevan in further boosting the plant's safety during
    its final years of operation. They are also clearly conscious of the
    fact that it meets as much as 40% of Armenia's energy needs.

    Built 35 kilometers west of Yerevan in 1977, the nuclear plant was
    promptly shut down by Soviet authorities following the December 1988
    earthquake that devastated much of northern Armenia. Metsamor's
    closure was hardly felt until the collapse of the Soviet Union and
    the outbreak of wars in Karabakh and elsewhere in the South Caucasus.
    Those events plunged Armenia into a crippling energy crisis that
    forced its first post-communist government to reactivate one of the
    plant's two reactors in 1995. The move, coupled with a radical reform
    of the Armenian energy sector, not only ended the power shortages but
    also enabled the landlocked, resource-poor country to export to some
    of its neighbors.

    The West opposed Metsamor's reactivation from the outset, but
    eventually had to come to terms with it. The Americans and Europeans
    have each spent tens of millions of dollars on measures to improve
    the plant's operational safety over the past decade. In return for
    the large-scale assistance, the administration of Armenia's former
    president Levon Ter-Petrosian reportedly promised to decommission it
    in 2004. However, Kocharian never felt bound by that pledge and his
    government insists that Metsamor is safe enough to continue its
    operations.

    Kocharian told El Baradei that his administration is committed to
    further improving safety standards at Metsamor. The Vienna-based IAEA
    has regularly inspected the plant and has not reported serious
    violations so far. El Baradei commended the Armenian authorities for
    their "good" cooperation with the UN's nuclear watchdog.

    Armenian energy officials say Metsamor's VVER-440 light-water reactor
    is more advanced than any of the RBMK-1000 reactors of the Chernobyl
    nuclear station that exploded in 1986. Their European counterparts,
    however, believe VVER-440 is one of the most dangerous facilities of
    its kind in the world. The European Commission said in a report last
    March that the closure of all Soviet-built nuclear facilities remains
    "a key EU objective."

    The Armenian government may have coped with Western pressure well,
    but it clearly cannot avoid setting a date for the nuclear plant's
    closure anymore. Deputy Energy Minister Areg Galstian told
    journalists on June 23 that the government is already preparing for
    the start of the decommissioning process, which he said would be
    complete before 2016. The process promises to be very costly.
    According to Galstian, its first stage alone requires $44 million
    worth of expenditures. That includes the construction of a second
    storage site for nuclear waste.

    Yerevan hopes that Western donors will foot most of the
    multimillion-dollar bill. It has contended all along that Armenia
    cannot afford to halt the Metsamor reactor before developing
    alternative sources of power generation. Yet it appears that the
    problem is not so much the availability of those sources as their
    production costs. Thermal power plants already account for 40% of
    electricity production in Armenia and can substantially increase
    their output at any moment. The problem is that the electricity
    generated by them is much more expensive than nuclear energy.

    The Armenian authorities borrowed $150 million from the Japanese
    development agency last March for a complete reconstruction of an old
    thermal plant in Yerevan. Its production costs are due to fall
    dramatically as a result. The authorities are also looking for a
    foreign investor to complete the protracted construction of a new
    gas-powered plant in the central town of Hrazdan. The two facilities
    are expected to be the main recipients of Iranian natural gas that
    will be delivered to Armenia through a pipeline currently under
    construction.

    The pipeline is a key component of a 20-year energy sector
    development plan that the Armenian government approved on June 23.
    The plan also envisages the construction of new hydroelectric
    stations across the country.

    The government's decisions on the issue are also bound to be
    influenced by the fact that Metsamor's finances are managed by
    Russia's state-owned power monopoly, Unified Energy Systems, in
    accordance with a 2003 swap agreement that settled the plant's $40
    million debt to Russian nuclear fuel suppliers. The deal enabled
    Metsamor to balance its books and secure fresh fuel deliveries. It
    remains to be seen at what cost.

    (Hayastani Hanrapetutyun, July 29; Statement by the Armenian
    president's press service, July 28; RFE/RL Armenia Report, July 28,
    March 28; Haykakan Zhamanak, June 24)
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