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What America Needs to Do to Achieve Its Foreign Policy Goals

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  • What America Needs to Do to Achieve Its Foreign Policy Goals

    History News Network, WA
    Aug 14 2005

    Series: What America Needs to Do to Achieve Its Foreign Policy Goals
    .. Dealing with Terrorism (4).
    By William R. Polk

    Mr. Polk taught at Harvard from 1955 to 1961 when he was appointed a
    member of the Policy Planning Council of the US State Department. In
    1965 he became professor of history at the University of Chicago
    and founded its Middle Eastern Studies Center. Subsequently, he also
    became president of the Adlai Stevenson Institute of International
    Affairs. Among his books are The United States and the Arab World,
    The Elusive Peace: The Middle East in the Twentieth Century,
    Neighbors and Strangers: the Fundamentals of Foreign Affairs and
    the just-published Understanding Iraq. Other of his writings can be
    accessed on www.williampolk.com.

    What is now being done about terrorism has proven ineffective. We
    begin with misunderstanding what "terrorism" is.1 It is not a thing,
    a place or a group. To speak of waging war on it is vacuous. It is
    simply a tactic which is used in desperation by those who do not
    have power comparable to those they regard as their enemies. It is
    the weapon of the weak.

    There are several reasons for our failure to develop a strategy to
    counter it. The fundamental reason is that large numbers of people
    believe that it is their only means of action. Most believe themselves
    to be under alien occupation and are fighting desperately to liberate
    themselves. In Iraq the struggle is against our occupation. In what
    is left of Palestine it is against the Israeli occupiers (who most
    non-Americans see as American surrogates) . In Cecnya it is against the
    Russians. This form of nationalist struggle is age old. Our ancestors
    used terrorism in the mainly guerrilla war we call the American
    Revolution; the Armenians used it against the Ottoman Empire in the
    first decade of the 20 th century; the Irish used it for centuries
    against the British; various underground resistance movements in
    Europe used it against the Germans during the Second World War. In
    recent times, it has been played out against the British ( Kenya
    and elsewhere), Belgians (The Congo), French ( Algeria) and Chinese
    ( Tibet and Sinkiang or " Turkistan"). When we approved the cause of
    any one of these groups, we regarded them as "freedom fighters." When
    we did not, we called them "terrorists."

    A second kind of motivation arises when groups of people regard
    their governments as corrupt, anti-national and/or unreligious. The
    predominant current example is the collection of different ethnic
    groups we lump together as al-Qa cida and believe to be controlled
    by Usama bin Ladin. These groups target us because they believe that
    we are the upholders of regimes they regard as tyrannical. Having
    despaired of secular nationalism, these people have espoused religious
    fundamentalism - they think of their movement as salafiya.

    The word means both to "return" and to "advance." It is roughly the
    mindset of the European and American Puritan movement which similarly
    adopted the notion that they were delegated by God to cleanse the
    world. Its beliefs are strikingly similar, with the change of a few
    names and dates, to religious fundamentalism among Hindus, Buddhists,
    Jews and Christians.

    The nature of the groups that participate in this form of violent
    theology and/or violent politics is complex. In my study of all the
    major examples of guerrilla warfare since the Second World War, I
    concluded that in every episode, it was possible and useful to identify
    five major groups. The first, obviously, was made up of combatants or,
    as the French called them in occupied France and colonial Algeria,
    resistants. They are necessarily few in number. In the Algerian war,
    they never numbered over about 13,000 at any given time; in occupied
    France that was about the number before the German collapse; in Iraq,
    the number is about the same today. In the Palestine Mandate, they
    are far fewer. They are the people the great practitioner of guerrilla
    warfare, Mao Zedong, referred to as the "fish."

    Supporting them are people Mao called "the sea." While they carry
    on their normal functions in society, they supply, hide and give
    information to the combatants. They also are the recruiting ground
    from which killed or captured combatants are replaced. This group
    numbers many times the actual fighting force. Its numbers vary with
    the intensity of the conflict but usually can be estimated to at
    least 20 times the number of combatants.

    The third group is an opportunistic criminal element which is
    given scope by the breakdown of public order that is an inevitable
    consequence of guerrilla warfare. It is usually quite small but
    overlaps with and is tolerated or encouraged by the combatants both
    because it distracts their enemies and because it often is a source
    of funds. Occasionally, it merges into the ranks of the combatants.

    Armenian terrorists in Istanbul occasionally robbed banks; the IRA has
    done the same; and, in Iraq today, criminal gangs kidnap people from
    whom ransoms can be collected. In Afghanistan, Cecnya and Colombia,
    drug dealing plays a similar role.

    The fourth and largest group is made up of those who simply want
    to be left alone. They can be radicalized by the policies of the
    occupying power, by nationalism or by religion but, as a group, they
    are generally passive victims. The fifth group is made up of those
    who support the regime. In the American Revolution, these people
    were called "Loyalists" and in Algeria they formed the basis for the
    French-empowered harkis (auxiliary or light troops). In the defeat
    of the dominant regime, they are usually forced into exile as the
    Loyalists were to Canada and the harkis and others were to France.

    It does not appear that the American government fully understands
    what motivates these separate groups or how they interact.

    In Iraq, the major American thrust has been against the combatants.

    This tactic has never worked. As individuals are put out of action,
    jailed or killed, others replace them. Consequently, terrorism or
    guerrilla warfare can last for centuries (as it did in Ireland and
    has in Cecnya). America and other powers have been operating at the
    wrong end of the challenge. Even if the repression is absolutely
    brutal, as practiced by the British in Kenya, the French in Algeria,
    the Russians in Cecnya ( Chechnya) and the Israelis in Palestine,
    the more hatred is generated and the more people move from the group
    that is passive to the group that is supportive of the combatants.

    History shows that the only way to stop the fighting is to dry up
    the "sea." That is, when enough of the society believes that it has
    achieved a satisfactory result of the struggle, it ceases to support
    the combatants. That is not the result of such gimmicks as "civic
    action" or even of genuine aid projects but only when the irritant,
    the outside power, leaves. The sequence is: sovereignty comes before
    security, not, as we are attempting in Iraq, to achieve security
    before according sovereignty. That is what happened in Ireland in 1921,
    in what became Israel in 1948, in Algeria in 1962. Northern Ireland,
    in Cecnya, Occupied Palestine and Iraq illustrate what happens when
    the dominant power attempts to reverse the order: the war continues.

    In short, it is evident that terrorism or guerrilla warfare arises
    from political motivations and therefore must be addressed in
    those terms. Unless the dominant power is willing to engage in
    genocide, as the Romans did against the Britons, (occasioning
    Tacitus's famous remark that the Romans "create a desolation and
    call it peace") it cannot be defeated by military means. Indeed,
    the more powerful and pervasive the military suppression, the more
    members of the "sea" become "fish." We see this in Iraq. There,
    virtually the entire non-Kurdish population is made up of people who
    have lost relatives, friends, neighbors and their property in the
    counter-guerrilla/terrorist war. The numbers illustrate the point. In
    2003, American intelligence estimated the active combatants at a few
    hundred; in early 2004, the estimates had risen to a few thousand;
    today they stand at 15-20 thousand.

    The longer the clash lasts, the more profound its aftereffects. A
    prolonged clash inevitably distorts, wounds and dehumanizes both the
    dominant power and its opponents. The chaos it creates breeds warlords,
    gangsters and thugs as we see so clearly today in Afghanistan and
    Cecnya. Algeria still has not recovered from the brutal war it fought
    against colonial France from 1830 to 1962.

    Worse, in fighting the inevitably dirty war, the dominant power engages
    in tactics that corrupt its own values. The very civilization of France
    was nearly ruined by the Algerian war; the early Zionists would be
    horrified by what is happening to the Israelis in their occupation of
    the Palestinians; and I shudder to think of the effect of American
    tactics (and individual fear) on the young Americans engaged in
    Iraq. Humiliating actions, torture, even murder become habitual.

    The American government, forgetting our own "freedom fighters,"
    proclaims terrorism irredeemably evil. But, understandably, it does not
    always and everywhere oppose terrorism. We and the British supported
    attempts at terrorism against the occupying Nazi forces in various
    parts of Europe during the Second World War. We were intimately
    involved with terrorist groups in Central America during the Reagan
    Administration. More recently, it appears the US government is giving
    covert arms assistance to a Colombian anti-FARQ paramilitary group
    which it has labeled terrorist.2 This is dangerously short-sighted
    as was our condonance of the Nicaraguan Contra rebels and Guatemalan
    death squads.

    What America needs to do is to align its policies in accord with
    President Woodrow Wilson's proclamation on self-determination of
    peoples. We live in a world of states but there are many nations
    that have not achieved statehood. That is, they are communities
    which are linked by culture, ethnicity and neighborhood but live in
    states where they are regarded and regard themselves as alien. Most
    of the tumult so evident in our times is a result of this anomaly:
    the politically deprived groups struggle to achieve self-determination.

    The histories of the Kurds, Palestinians, Cecens are only the more
    familiar of the experiences of dozens of unfulfilled nations. Once,
    America was a beacon of hope for them. We should aspire to become
    that again. But, above all, we must avoid actions that others will
    see as an attack on their sense of nationhood. That is where we must
    begin the "war on terrorism."

    1 Although partly for reasons different from mine, this is the point
    made by the former White House counterterrorism chief Richard Clarke
    in Against All Enemies ( New York: Free Press, 2004).

    2 Frank Smyth, "US Arms for Terrorists?" (The Nation, June 13, 2005.)

    http://www.hnn.us/articles/14132.html
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