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Azerbaijan. Forthcoming general election: the crackdown continues

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  • Azerbaijan. Forthcoming general election: the crackdown continues

    Caucaz.com, Georgia
    Aug 26 2005

    Azerbaijan. Forthcoming general election: the crackdown continues

    By Franck MADIOT, freelance political journalist (Russia, Central
    Asia, The Balkans) in Paris
    On 26/08/2005
    (Translated by Michèle-Ann OKOLOTOWICZ)

    © Yeni Fikir

    Three months away from the general election set for 6 November 2005,
    the Azeri authorities are sparing no effort to contain democratic
    impulses. The recent arrest of Ruslan Bachirli is just further proof.

    At 27, Ruslan Bachirli heads Yeni Fikir (New Thinking), one of the
    main Azeri opposition movements, following in the footsteps of
    movements led by a youth hungry for political reform such as those
    initiated in Serbia with Otpor!, followed by Kmara in Georgia and
    Pora in Ukraine.

    Arrested on 3 August, this charismatic young man is suspected of
    having plotted a coup in Azerbaijan, with the backing of Armenian
    intelligence agencies. This crackdown occurs just as popular protests
    are multiplying against the background spectre of an `orange
    revolution'. These past few weeks, the country's authorities have
    been quick to launch a widespread public relations campaign on the
    `democratisation' of the media in the country in order to attempt to
    deflect the American strategy of expansionism through democracy.

    But the Ruslan Bashirli incident has two sides to the story. Through
    the voice of their Attorney general, Zakir Garalov, who claims to
    have a video tape of the incident, the authorities first declared on
    4 August that Ruslan Bachirli was given 2,000 dollars by Armenian
    secret service agents in Tblisi on 28 and 29 July 2005 to finance
    demonstrations in Azerbaijan. A further 20,000 dollars were promised.
    Affiliated to the Popular Front, one of the country's main opposition
    parties, Ruslan Bachirli has allowed the Azeri authorities to use the
    opportunity of this arrest to point the finger at the mastermind
    behind this operation, namely Ali Kerimli, a serious opponent in the
    forthcoming elections... The authorities have also claimed that Ruslan
    Bachirli worked for the National Democratic Institute, an American
    organisation. Thus, the stage is set: Azerbaijan is neither Ukraine
    nor Georgia or Kirghizia.

    Elchin Garalov, Ruslan Bachirli's lawyer, has not denied that the
    video exists but explained that the protagonists were members of
    Georgian and Armenian democratic movements, and not agents. He added
    that what was said during the dinner in Tbilisi, where alcohol ran
    freely, had been quoted out of context. He also added that the money
    paid to Ruslan Bachirli, who was drunk at the time, was returned the
    following day by his client.

    However, an important question was raised by Bachirli's lawyer: how
    come the so-called Armenian agents, who allegedly filmed the dinner
    to encourage Ruslan Bachirli to stick to his promises, gave the video
    recording to Osman Almuderov, Bachirli's aide, also present at the
    dinner? Almuderov supposedly rushed the next day to deliver the
    recording to the Azeri authorities because he did not want to work
    with the Armenians against his own country.

    The situation is not very clear, Bachirli's defenders are today
    trying to understand who is responsible for this sting operation and
    what its outcome will be. Is it a ploy to discredit Ali Kerimli and
    the Popular Front or an attempt to postpone the general elections
    based on political and security issues?

    Another hypothesis is that minority factions within the political
    apparatus organised this imbroglio to destabilise President Ilham
    Aliyev and to damage his credibility in the eyes of international
    bodies before the elections.

    One thing remains certain: the events in Georgia, Ukraine and
    Kirghizia will henceforth weigh heavily on all the upcoming elections
    in the post-Soviet states.
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