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TBILISI: Georgia's continuing quest for international investment

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  • TBILISI: Georgia's continuing quest for international investment

    Georgia's continuing quest for international investment
    By M. Alkhazashvili

    The Messenger, Georgia
    Aug 30 2005

    In recent weeks the existing investment climate in Georgia has become
    a topic of heated discussion. The authorities' declarations that
    the country is attracting large amounts of foreign investment are
    contrasted by the contentions of opposition forces and independent
    experts that the investment climate has deteriorated.

    The issue of foreign investments in Georgia will by high on the agenda
    at two upcoming business conferences dedicated to Georgia. The first,
    the America-Georgia Business Council's 8th annual conference in Chicago
    this October is headlined, "Georgia: Potential for Growth." The second,
    the Georgia Business and Investment Summit in Tbilisi this November,
    is being organized by the European Finance Convention together with
    the Federation of Georgian Businessmen and AmCham Georgia. A major
    question facing participants is whether the investment environment
    is improving in Georgia and what can be done for future improvement
    of the investment environment.

    One indicator is the Index of Economic Freedom published by the
    conservative U.S. think tank the Heritage Foundation that drops
    Georgia's rank in the list of nations from 91st place to 100th
    since last year. The report ranks 161 countries and lower scores are
    considered better; this year Georgia scored 3.34, 0.15 points worse
    than in 2004.

    A statement made by the Heritage Foundation explains that the most
    negative aspects of Georgia's economy are the country's investment
    climate and the recent increase in the informal market. "Based on
    increasing evidence of informal barriers to foreign investment,
    Georgia's capital flows and foreign investment is 1 point worse
    this year," the country report on Georgia states. It is noteworthy
    that the report, basically a survey of surveys, does not taken into
    consideration new legislation on taxes, financial amnesty and the
    even more recent reform of licenses and permits.

    Another way of measuring the pros and cons of the local investment
    climate has been to observe the dynamics of investment over the
    years and compare them to those of neighboring countries. Foreign
    investments in Georgia have shown a tendency for growth since 2001.
    That year USD 109 million entered the country in foreign investments.
    In 2002, this indicator totaled USD 176 million; 2003 - 339 million;
    2004 -500 million and in the first six months of this year - USD
    245 million.

    However, the influx of foreign investment into Georgia cannot hope
    to compete with that of neighboring Azerbaijan. In 2002 two billion
    dollars in investment entered that country; 2003 - 3 billion and 2004 -
    4.192 billion. Obviously, the vast majority of this sum was directed
    toward the petroleum and gas business.

    It is precisely Azerbaijani oil that is responsible for much of the
    foreign investment in Georgia as well. For example, in the first six
    months of 2004, 81 percent of foreign investments in Georgia came
    from BP, the oil company operating the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline
    project. After the completion of construction on this project, now
    the natural gas pipeline Baku-Tbilisi-Erzrum - which will transport
    Azerbaijani gas through Georgia and Turkey to the Mediterranean Sea -
    takes on key importance.

    Construction on the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzrum pipeline, the Kulev energy
    terminal and the Tbilisi International Airport are the projects that
    will bring in the bulk of foreign investment this year and in 2006.

    As far as Armenia is concerned, clearly the "Azerbaijani projects"
    will not influence investment into this country. Key players in
    foreign investment there are Russia and the vast Armenian Diaspora.
    Foreign investment is overall on the rise, not counting a sharp
    drop-off in 2001, though the total amount of investment is lower
    than that of Georgia. The statistics look as follows: 2000 - USD 124
    million; 2001 - 76 million; 2002 - 152 million, 2003 - 152 million
    and 2004 - USD 183 million.

    Finally, another way to look at foreign investments, their growth
    or decline, is to look at activity on the ground. It is undeniable
    that this year has seen several prominent international companies take
    interest in Georgia. The U.S. insurer AIG opened its first office here,
    the Russian bank Vneshtorgbank bought a large share in United Georgian
    Bank and the Kazakh BankTuranAlem bought a large stake in the Silk
    Road Group. Many others have taken an interest in privatization and
    government tenders.

    Still there is much to be done to improve the investment climate and
    promote business activity - both foreign and domestic - in Georgia
    and it is encouraging that this is a stated goal of the current
    government. The big question is how the government will follow through
    on this goal.
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