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Russia is sitting on the fence

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  • Russia is sitting on the fence

    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    February 4, 2005, Friday

    RUSSIA IS SITTING ON THE FENCE

    WPS observer

    The Russian Defense Ministry has handed over the Tbilisi Armored
    Vehicle Repair Plant to the balance of the Georgian Defense Ministry,
    the Russian and Georgian media reported of late. Colonel Levan
    Nikolaishvili, deputy chief of the Georgian General Staff, and
    Colonel Andrei Popov, deputy chief of the headquarters of the Russian
    Group of Forces in the Caucasus (GRVZ) signed the corresponding
    agreement on February 2. Under the agreement, Russia is obliged to
    repay the debt to the Georgian budget for communal services and
    renting. Tbilisi is saying that the plant was allegedly handed over
    in the framework of the Istanbul agreements of 1999 on withdrawal of
    the Russian military bases and military hardware from Georgia. This
    is not entirely so, since in Istanbul the matter only concerned
    withdrawal of the Russian military bases from Vaziani and Gudauta and
    granting permission for temporary deployment of Russian bases in
    Akhalkalaki and Batumi. The documents signed in Istanbul mention no
    other military objects, including a military plant. Thus, handing
    over the tank repair plant has been the initiative of Moscow.

    The observers have already assessed negative effects of this action.
    Firstly, according to observers with Nezavisimaya Gazeta, until
    lately under repair in Tbilisi have been Georgian and Russian tanks,
    as well as the armored vehicles for the Armenian army. In this
    connection official Baku accused Georgia several years ago of giving
    military aid to the unfriendly Yerevan. Baku then refused to accept
    an offer of such services for the Azerbaijani army in Baku, initiated
    by Georgia and the GRVZ command. It is clear now that the enterprise
    has been the property of Georgia and it will be harder for Yerevan to
    repair its tanks.

    Secondly, Vladimir Popov, academician at the Academy of Military
    Sciences, told WPS, "handing over a Russian tank repair plant to
    Georgia by the GRVZ means that Moscow is indirectly supporting
    preparation of the Georgian troops for invasion in South Ossetia and
    Abkhazia." Popov reminds that in June 1992 Russia already handed over
    military plants, objects and armored hardware of the former Soviet
    Trans-Caucasian Military District to Georgia (modern tanks included).
    Several weeks later these tanks took part in the fratricidal war on
    approaches to Sukhumi and Tskhinvali. The situation differs now.
    However, the Georgian president doesn't rule out the script of
    subduing the intractable autonomies by force. In this case the
    specialists won't have time to idle at the tank repair plant.

    Evident is the situation when Russia has initiated the loss of its
    geopolitical and military influence in Georgia to some extent.
    Undoubtedly, detached repair battalions are included into GRVZ units.
    However, they are unable to perform mid-life and major repair of
    combatant vehicles. It means the Russian General Staff has doomed the
    military hardware of the GRVZ to slow extinction. As is widely known,
    Georgia is trying as hard as it can to weaken the GRVZ. Other steps
    linked to reducing the number of Russian military objects in this
    country will follow the above action.

    Perhaps Moscow is not insisting on the long-term stay of its military
    bases in Georgia and plans to change their profile into peacekeeping
    or anti-terrorist centers. In opinion of Russian Defense Minister
    Sergei Ivanov, "such centers must have nothing in common with
    military bases. This could be an utterly different form of military
    co-operation, which meets the Russian-Georgian interests and promotes
    resolution of the problems available," the minister said. It is not a
    secret that Georgia is after NATO membership and is increasing its
    armed forces with the aid of the USA. Georgia's military budget is
    about $65 million now. In 2005 the Pentagon intends to allocate $60
    million more for a year-long training of four battalions in Georgia.
    The Pentagon had already allocated $64 million in the framework of
    the Training & Equip program earlier, which were used to train four
    army special force battalions and several units for other security
    structures. All these units are being used in Iraq now. The observers
    don't rule out that on gaining experience the Georgian commandos
    might commence hostilities against Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

    Translated by Andrei Ryabochkin
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