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  • Ukraine: Regime change, Canada style

    Rabble.ca, Canada
    Jan 12 2005

    Ukraine: Regime change, Canada style


    Yushchenko is `less bad than the other guy,' as my translator assured me.

    by John Lewis

    When Victor Yushchenko accepts the presidency of Ukraine later this
    month, he'll have Paul Martin, among others, to thank.

    The Prime Minister sent 500 election observers to Ukraine in December
    to witness the re-run of what appeared to be a stolen presidential
    election by an ex-communist party apparatchik. I was one of the
    observers.

    Western leaders, including Martin, coveted victory by a more westward
    leaning candidate than the autocratic Victor Yanikovich, Yushchenko's
    rival. In response, Canada sent its largest delegation ever to a
    foreign election, helping Victor Yushchenko win the second round. As
    in life, however, `democracy' is never so simple.

    Martin has his own concerns. Canada has over one million people of
    Ukrainian ancestry living within its borders. Most of these people
    live in the West - in places like Edmonton - and the Liberal party is
    vulnerable there. Ukrainian Canadians overwhelmingly favour
    Yushchenko. Some of them were part of our delegation. When Canadian
    domestic politics lined up so perfectly with international ones, the
    decision for the Prime Minister to send observers was easy.

    The neighbours

    The same day as elections were held in Ukraine, the people in
    Uzbekistan, a former Soviet state 3,000 kilometers, or 1,875 miles,
    east of Kiev, elected a new Parliament. Only 21 international
    observers were watching those elections because there wasn't much
    interest and there wasn't much to see.

    A victory for the pro-government party was a foregone conclusion
    because there were no opposition candidates. The President has
    stifled institutions that underpin a free and fair electoral process
    - political parties, media freedom, an open atmosphere for civil
    society organizations and freedom of assembly.

    Azerbaijan's fraudulent presidential elections last year led to
    terrible political violence, for which the government has imprisoned
    many opposition leaders. I was in Baku for these elections and
    witnessed public demonstrations in Azerbaijan by people trying to
    express themselves just as people had done in Kiev. A protester was
    beaten to death by police a few metres from my hotel.

    In Armenia in the spring the government used a variety of arbitrary
    measures to prevent massive rallies protesting falsified elections
    the previous year. Two months ago the government of Kazakhstan rigged
    the parliamentary vote, resulting in only one opposition party member
    gaining a seat in the lower house of legislature. A couple of weeks
    ago not a single opposition candidate was elected in Belarus's
    parliamentary vote, as polling day fraud kept the opposition out.

    Throughout the region, governments control television and try to
    intimidate independent print media through defamation suits and
    outright bullying. Human rights defenders are unlawfully jailed by
    the authorities and subject to violent assaults by unknown attackers.


    Russia, for its part, regularly cracks down on civil society.
    President Vladimir Putin's government has seized control over what
    had been a diverse, if not exactly free, broadcast media and began
    using it to promote pro-government political candidates and vilify
    the opposition.

    Will Ukraine change?

    But in Ukraine the West has a leader that will change all that. At
    least, we think.

    Like Yanikovich, however, Yushchenko has his own spotty record as
    Prime Minister of Ukraine for us to examine.

    Under Yushchenko both pensions and wages fell in real terms for
    retired people and workers respectively. Yanikovich witnessed them
    rise. And under Yushchenko many services were privatized, including
    several state energy systems, and the results were disastrous, with
    rising costs and diminishing supplies. The situation for both workers
    and the elderly was made worse under Yushchenko. So, why is he so
    popular?

    His `reformism,' or his liberalizing attitude toward state
    enterprises, makes Yushchenko attractive to western leaders,
    including Paul Martin. Like President Bush, Prime Minister Martin is
    a passionate free marketeer, trusting in the market to lift all
    boats, and averse to state control. (Remember he headed the UN's team
    for private sector-led poverty reduction).

    While in Ukraine, for example, the Canadian delegation was promised a
    party at the Embassy in recognition of our service as volunteers. The
    party never materialized, at least for those of us without business
    interests and contacts in the country. Not quite the `crusade for
    democracy' that former Prime Minister (and leader of the Canadian
    delegation) John Turner had promised in Ottawa.

    Some of the U.S. delegates, for their part, members of the
    International Republican Institute (IRI), an organization funded by
    the Republican Party, held firm to the mantra that they were in
    Ukraine not simply to ensure free and fair elections but also to
    develop `free enterprise.' While I appreciate the IRI's candidness,
    Ukrainians can expect American-style HMOs to replace the public
    health system before too long.

    Elections like this breed cynicism in the observer, but even an
    economist friend who worked in the Finance Ministry under Yushchenko
    believes that Ukraine will continue to suffer, even with the change
    in election results. Yushchenko, he believes, will not improve the
    conditions for the poor, the elderly or the working class.

    But Yushchenko is popular with Ukrainians.

    There's no mistaking young people's genuine affection for the man
    heading the `Orange Revolution' in Ukraine. He's handsome (when his
    body is not excreting poison), clever, and has a model American wife
    and a foxy advisor, Yulia Tymoshenko.

    Whether for these reasons or not, Yushchenko is `less bad than the
    other guy,' as my translator assured me. Like my economist friend,
    the translator is at least happy to be finally rid of the old regime.


    Ukrainians understand, I think, what they're getting with the arrival
    of democracy. For the West and for Ukrainians alike, it seems, the
    election came down to this: support the lesser of two evils, support
    for regime `upgrade,' if you like.

    Canada's Paul Martin and the amused 500 helped make it happen.

    But the PM still owes me a party.

    John Lewis is Program Coordinator, International Human Rights, with
    KAIROS.
    From: Baghdasarian
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