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  • BAKU: EU official threatens sanctions if Azerbaijan goes to war

    EU official threatens sanctions if Azerbaijan goes to war

    Ekspress, Baku
    5 Jan 05


    A senior EU official has warned that sanctions may be imposed on
    Azerbaijan and Armenia if the countries opt to resume hostilities. In
    an exclusive interview with Azerbaijani newspaper Ekspress, an
    official representative of the EU commission for security and conflict
    settlement, Pierre Garton, said that the future integration of the two
    Caucasus republics into Europe depends on the resolution of the
    dispute over Azerbaijan's breakaway region of Nagornyy Karabakh. He
    also complained about what he thinks to be the "monopoly" of the OSCE
    Minsk Group, a team of international mediators put in charge of
    settling the conflict, and termed its activities as sterile. The
    following is the text of Alakbar Raufoglu's report by Azerbaijani
    newspaper Ekspress on 5 January headlined "The EU will impose
    sanctions if there is war" and subheaded "Pierre Garton: 'Integration
    of Azerbaijan and Armenia into Europe depends on the Karabakh issue'";
    subheadings are as published:

    "If military operations resume in Nagornyy Karabakh, the European
    Union may take tough steps against the two conflicting parties," an
    official representative of the EU commission for security and conflict
    settlement and former rapporteur of the European Parliament
    [Commission] on the South Caucasus, Swedish diplomat Pierre Garton,
    said in an exclusive interview with Ekspress yesterday [4 January].

    He said that Europe called on the leaders of Azerbaijan and Armenia in
    1992 to freeze military hostilities. "Since these calls went unheard
    then, certain restrictions were introduced to the two countries'
    cooperation with the EU. These sanctions will be imposed on
    Azerbaijan and Armenia again should there be any clashes on the front
    line."

    What is Brussels concerned about?

    The EU's attitude to the Karabakh conflict remains unchanged. "We are
    interested in continued dialogue between the two countries. The
    conflict should be resolved peacefully. It concerns both Azerbaijan
    and Armenia."

    Garton believes that the EU's cooperation with Armenia and Azerbaijan
    is now based on three factors: economic cooperation, the development
    of democracy and a peaceful solution to the Nagornyy Karabakh
    conflict. "We are having a close and balanced cooperation with both
    countries and do not distinguish between them. But the parties to the
    conflict often try to disrupt this balance," the diplomat complained.

    The EU's high-ranking officials have recently visited both Azerbaijan
    and Armenia to become familiar with the domestic situation here and
    the settlement process. "We understand that the delay in the peace
    talks is accompanied by certain tension in both countries. But it is
    wrong to exaggerate this concern as if it could lead to war, and this
    seriously worries us. At the same time we regret the fact that
    Azerbaijan and Armenia have failed to officially appeal to the
    European Union for mediation."

    The EU's main concern is that calls for war are being made in the
    conflicting countries at a time when peace talks are under way. "It
    undermines the dialogue. The situation should be duly evaluated and
    these occurrences should be eliminated."

    Armenian Defence Minister Serzh Sarkisyan did not rule out a military
    option in the Karabakh settlement at a briefing in Moscow last
    week. He said that "if the limits of negotiations are depleted, the
    tension that will follow may provoke military operations."

    Monopolist co-chairmen

    Garton believes that the takeover of the "mediation monopoly" in the
    Karabakh talks by the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmen restricts active
    involvement of other European entities in the issue. "This problem can
    only be eliminated with joint efforts of the international
    community. Someone's reigning the process will not bear fruit. The
    conflicting countries do not seem to have understood this
    necessity. They may be thinking that if there are other mediators, the
    Minsk Group will dodge its mandate. But its activity is sterile
    anyway. In a settlement everything depends on the parties. It is not
    possible to lead the parties to peace with one [mediating] party."

    Liberating five districts still on agenda

    Touching upon the proposals the EU has made on the Karabakh settlement
    to date, Garton said that "the fate of those ideas shows that acting
    as a mediator, which is outside intervention in the process, is
    difficult and ineffective". "The EU possesses more possibilities and
    leverage to solve the Karabakh problem."

    If so, why does the EU not back up its proposals such as five
    districts [Armenian-occupied districts around Nagornyy Karabakh] in
    exchange for railway communications or other solution models and put
    pressure on Yerevan to ensure their implementation?

    The refusal to accept the EU's solution options does not mean that it
    will not provide new proposals for a Karabakh solution, Garton
    said. Simply, Europe "thinks it is better not to increase the number
    of solution models which are being disputed by the parties and
    remaining on paper".

    "Moreover, the liberation of five districts is still on the agenda,"
    the rapporteur said.

    Saying that Armenia's position in the negotiation process "is
    explained with rather heavy arguments", Garton refused to call that
    country "non-constructive". "It would imply putting [the blame for]
    the failure of the talks on one party. It can be just considered that
    Yerevan's position in the peaceful settlement requires more
    concessions than Azerbaijan's."

    Conflict can be resolved in 12 months

    Garton also said that the EU's increasing activity in the Karabakh
    settlement is the main priority of the union's future performance,
    since Azerbaijan and Armenia have been included into Europe's New
    Neighbourhood programme and integration of both countries into the EU
    depends on Karabakh.

    "Negotiations will start with Ankara in 2005 on Turkey's integration
    into the EU, thus bringing the borders of Europe closer to
    Azerbaijan. As for the EU, it does not want problems like Karabakh to
    persist in territories close to Europe," he said.

    "I hope that the conflict will not last for another 12 years. Armenia
    and Azerbaijan have already demanded that the [Minsk Group]
    co-chairmen should increase their efforts. It builds up confidence
    that the Minsk Group will increase activity and the conflict will be
    resolved in 12 months."

    Baku is optimistic

    Commenting on the EU representative's statements to Ekspress,
    Azerbaijani Deputy Foreign Minister Araz Azimov said: "The EU is our
    strategic partner and supports Baku's position in the settlement
    process. We are optimistic about war. Naturally, Azerbaijan has never
    promised to observe eternal peace. Even in Europe it is not ruled out
    that military operations may resume if the peace talks fail."
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