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  • BAKU: New talks for Karabakh

    Baku Sun, Azerbaijan
    Jan 18 2005

    New talks for Karabakh

    by Mammad Bagirov


    Eldar Namazov, former Presidential aide
    for Heydar Aliyev is skeptical
    about movements to resolve
    the Nagorno (Daghlig) Karabakh
    conflict in 2004. His concern
    lies with a lack of
    basis.. (Sun Photo by Samir Aliyev)


    A new stage in settling the conflict in the Nagorno (Daghlig)Karabakh
    region of Azerbaijan may begin this year, Ilham Aliyev, the
    Azerbaijani president said in his New Year's address to the nation,
    RFE/RL reported.

    Aliyev noted that Azerbaijan is ready to resume talks on the issue.

    At the same time, he added that there has been no any change in
    Azerbaijan's stance: the conflict must be settled without violating
    the territorial integrity of the country.

    Conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia around the mainly Armenian
    populated Nagorno Karabakh region started in 1988. During the
    conflict, Azerbaijan lost control over 20% of its territory,
    including the Nagorno (Daghlig) Karabakh region. A ceasefire was
    reached in 1994, but the situation has yet to be resolved on a
    permanent basis.

    Aliyev said he hopes international mediators such as OSCE's Minsk
    Group will play a more active role in solving the problem.

    For his part, Vardan Oskanyan, Armenia's minister of foreign affairs,
    in an interview with Russia's Interfax news agency said that last
    year saw positive movements towards the process of the conflict's
    settlement. He elaborated by saying that last year was remarkable if
    not only for the resumption of the dialogue, after a long break,
    between the presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan.

    `It provided some clarity to our plans for the next year, and I think
    in 2004, this dialogue will continue,' Oskanyan said.

    The presidents of the two conflicting nations met in Geneva last
    December and agreed to continue with the negotiations. It was the
    first meeting of Azerbaijan's new leader Ilham Aliyev with his
    Armenian counterpart Robert Kocharyan.

    Earlier last month, co-chairmen of OSCE's Minsk Group paid a visit to
    the region and met with the two leaders. Although there had been
    hopes that the international mediators would present new ideas for
    the settlement of the conflict, no such ideas were offered.

    Oskanyan, Armenia's foreign minister said that during this last visit
    of OSCE's Minsk Group' co-chairmen, they `didn't present new
    approaches', although he admitted that there were such `expectations'
    in Armenia. `Our expectations were based on the co-chairmen's
    statements made before their visit to the region,' Oskanyan added.
    `They probably considered that it's not an ideal time for the
    advancement of new ideas, especially in Azerbaijan,' he said.In
    regards to the expectations of Armenian leadership for the 2004 year,
    Oskanyan said `we hope that all agreements that were reached during
    the talks with former Azerbaijani president Heydar Aliyev won't be
    lost and will serve as a basis for the continuation of negotiations.'


    Commenting on Ilham Aliyev's New Year's address, Azerbaijani
    political scientist Rasim Musabekov told Baku Sun that this could
    mean `some efforts' may be taken to intensify the process of the
    settlement this year.

    `It's obvious that after solving all the issues related to the
    presidential elections that took place in both countries last year,
    both sides will renew the talks on Nagorno (Daghlig) Karabakh
    problem,' said Musabekov, adding that the main question is how
    productive this dialogue would be. The political scientist added that
    he isn't optimistic on the results of future talks.

    `I don't see any grounds to consider that both sides are ready for
    compromise,' he added.

    Musabekov went on to say that limit of compromises on Azerbaijan's
    side had been practically exhausted and new compromises would lead to
    the loss of Azerbaijan's sovereignty over its territories.

    Another local political expert, former president's aide, Eldar
    Namazov, is also skeptical about productivity of negotiations. `What
    we (representatives of the Azerbaijani community) have seen to date
    isn't enough to predict that radical changes could take place by the
    end of 2004,' he said in an interview with Baku Sun.

    The political expert agrees with Musabekov, stressing that Azerbaijan
    has made all possible concessions to Armenia during negotiations.

    "Azerbaijan proposed the highest level of of autonomy to Nagorno
    (Daghlig) Karabakh region and further compromises would lead to
    independence, which isn't acceptable,' said Namazov.

    Namazov also pointed out that there had been no serious changes in
    the stance of Armenia's leadership, which continues to demand either
    independence for Nagorno (Daghlig) Karabakh region from Azerbaijan or
    its annexation to Armenia. Namazov added that there is nothing new in
    the activities of OSCE's Minsk group. `The co-chairmen continue to
    say that both sides should reach an agreement on their own, and that
    the mediators have no intentions to pressure either side,' he said.

    In regards to statements from Armenian foreign minister about his
    nation's `hopes' to renew talks on the basis of previous agreements
    reached with former Azerbaijan president Heydar Aliyev, Namazov said
    that Armenian officials `repeatedly' claimed that such Agreements had
    been reached in Paris (France) and Key West (U.S.).

    Meanwhile, Russian news agency Rosbalt reported that Arkadi Gukasyan,
    head of the self-proclaimed Nagorno Karabakh Republic, said in his
    New Year's speech that the main tasks for leadership of this
    unrecognized territory in 2004 will be to continue the struggle for
    independence and international recognition.

    `All of our foreign policy activity in the New Year will be aimed on
    solving these crucial tasks,' Gukasyan said.

    The former Azerbaijani leader and his Armenian counterpart met in
    France and the U.S. in 2001 to discuss prospects of conflict
    settlement around Nagorno (Daghlig) Karabakh region. Azerbaijani
    officials claimed that during these negotiations no outcomes were
    reached while their Armenian counterparts claim that the presidents
    agreed on the `principles' of a settlement.

    `There is such a rule in diplomacy - either all or nothing, which
    means that when the talks are still ongoing and no mutual consent has
    been reached on all issues, in reality, there is no agreement,'
    elaborated Namazov. `Suppose that such an agreement exists and
    consists of ten items. Even if both sides agreed on nine of these
    items, but there is no consent on the tenth it is considered in
    diplomacy, that there is still no agreement,' he added.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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