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Is There A Real Danger of US Invasion to Iran?

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  • Is There A Real Danger of US Invasion to Iran?

    IS THERE A REAL DANGER OF US INVASION TO IRAN?

    Azg/arm
    21 Jan 05

    A famous publicist, Seymour Hersh, published an article in The New
    Yorker recently titled "The Coming Wars" where he claimed that the US
    intelligenceis carrying out secret operations in the territory of
    Iran. American special agents have penetrated the eastern regions of
    the country in summer of 2004, the author claims.

    The Pentagon confronted the article vigorously and the White House
    stated that the article contains a number of "inaccuracies". President
    George W. Bush's interview to NBC followed."I hope we can solve it
    diplomatically, but I will never take any option off the table," Bush
    said, "if it continues to stonewall the international community about
    the existence of its nuclear weapons program."

    Iranian defense minister, Ali Shamkhani, challenged Bush's statement
    immediately saying: "The military potential of our country will not
    allow any state to attack Iran". The minister called Bush's statements
    the result of the psychological war waged against the people of Iran.

    There is a difference between elaborating nuclear programs for
    peaceful aims and using the nuclear power to make a weapon. Sergey
    Lavrov, foreign minister of Russia, soon after Bush's statement
    confirmed Iran's peaceful plans of nuclear power usage. But Washington
    is interested with Iran's plansthe least. What concerns the States
    most of all is Iran's self-confidence and the popularity of religious
    administration. The last fact gives no way to outsiders to topple the
    Islamic administration from inside, and Washington can do nothing but
    threatening Iran with invasion.

    By removing the Islamic regime of Iran, the US will put the Middle
    East at Israel's service. The American's should not forget that Iran
    has a population 3 times as many as Iraq and a far greater territory.

    In today's situation, when the US has to keep tight control over Kabul
    and Iyad Allawu in Iraq, it's hardly possible that Bush will venture
    toinvade Iran, even though that is the only way to fit the region to a
    desired model.

    Removing the possibility of direct danger for Iran, we may assume that
    Washington is more concerned with the Iraqi elections of January 30
    and Bush's striving to secure "fair" election by restraining the
    pro-Iranian Shiites in order to keep Shiites back from looking ways
    out if the country appears on the edge of falling into parts and the
    Shiites of Iran, 60 percent of its population, from trying to
    influence the elections and the last, keep Iran back from the
    processes in Northern Iraq that lead to creation of the Kurdish state
    and meanwhile turn the Kurds into the basis of reconstructed Iraq.

    Before the Iraqi war, the US was yearning to see Iran isolated,
    economically deteriorated and deprived of region's support. After the
    war, America launched its tactics of threats in order to limit Iran's
    chances to intervene in the regional processes and to instill the
    irreversibility of regime change in the Iranians' conscience.

    By Hakob Chakrian
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