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  • TBILISI: South Caucasus gets armed

    The Messenger, Georgia
    July 7 2005

    South Caucasus gets armed

    All three South Caucasus countries have been spending large sums of
    money on armaments recently, leading to concerns among regional
    analysts that armed hostilities could renew between Azerbaijan and
    Armenia.

    In Azerbaijan, President Ilham Aliev has overseen a vast increase in
    funds allotted to defense - from USD 135 million in 2003 to USD 175
    million in 2004 to USD 300 million in 2005. A number of Azeri
    politicians including government members have stated that if the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is not resolved soon, they do not rule out
    the use of force. Furthermore, Azerbaijan is threatened by the fact
    that military material and personnel from the Russian base
    Akhalkalaki is headed to the Gyumri base in Armenia. Yerevan itself
    has embarked on its own acquisition program, recently purchasing 10
    combat jets Su-25 from Slovakia.

    For years the Georgian government neglected its own army and the
    result was obvious: poorly dressed, poorly armed soldiers, who did
    not have basic conditions to train or even stay healthy.
    Post-revolution President Mikheil Saakashvili then touted the army as
    a leading priority for the country and launched major reforms.

    Military reforms are crucially important for the country's ambitions
    to integrate into NATO. However Georgia media reports some observers
    in NATO believe Georgia had gone overboard in its procurement
    efforts. The newspaper 24 Saati quotes ambassador of Estonia to NATO
    Harry Tiido as complaining: "There does not exist a normal program
    for weapons buying that considers its appropriate use in the future.
    Thus without this, as a result of maintenance current expenses will
    grow."

    On the far side of the Caspian, Turkmenistan is reinforcing its own
    military, a fact that also troubles Azerbaijan since the two
    countries have conflicting views over the division of the Caspian
    Sea. The newspaper Kviris Palitra reports that Ukraine recently
    announced its willing to provide military assistance in exchange for
    natural gas from Turkmenistan. Georgia too provides military material
    for Turkmenistan, refurbishing aircraft from the Turkmen airforce in
    exchange for debt relief.

    To the north there is also concern of increased arms. On Wednesday
    Russian Minister of Defense Sergei Ivanov reaffirmed at a press
    conference in Nalchik that two extra mountain rifle brigades would be
    deployed in the North Caucasus following the withdrawal of Russian
    military bases from Georgia. One would be deployed in
    Karachai-Cherkessia and the other in Dagestan near the
    Georgian-Russian border, he said, stressing that they would be well
    equipped and staffed by contracted soldiers. Their mission, he said,
    would be to liquidate any terrorists on the Georgian-Russian border.

    Ivanov is visiting the region as part of an inspection tour, a tour
    that a columnist for RosBusinessConsulting described on Tuesday as
    designed to "check up on the battle readiness of troops deployed in
    the region."

    The news agency says its analysts have seen a "very strange
    situation" developing in the North Caucasus. "The federal leadership
    is preparing for large-scale military action in the Russian Caucasus.
    At the same time, Moscow is not trying to deal with underlying issues
    in the Caucasus through peaceful means. To the contrary, one gets the
    impression that the federal leaders are purposely trying to provoke
    new inter-ethnic conflicts in the region, playing a complicated game
    with Western special services," the columnist says.

    Increased support for the military is obvious in Georgia today and a
    welcomed change from previous years when weapons, soldiers and
    discipline hit rock bottom. There are also immense risks involved
    when a pattern of increased military forces is witnessed throughout
    the region. It is at this point that regional cooperation and
    diplomacy becomes all the more necessary.
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