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  • NATO: too much fuss and petty achievements

    PRAVDA< Russia
    July 18 2005

    NATO: too much fuss and petty achievements
    07/18/2005 10:26

    Now it is becoming clear that cooperation between Russia and NATO in
    the fight against terrorism is fruitless

    North Atlantic Treaty Organization has to change its tactics
    following the political demarche by the Shanghai Cooperation
    Organization during the summit in the Kazakh capital Astana earlier
    this July. The member states and observers of the Shanghai
    Cooperation Organization supported Uzbekistan's proposal and demanded
    that NATO pull out its military bases from Central Asia. Moreover,
    the Shanghai Cooperation Organization requested that NATO set a
    deadline for the removal of troops. The statement actually threatens
    the implementation of decisions taken at last year's NATO summit in
    Istanbul which declared a larger part of Central Asia (along with the
    Caucasus) a zone of strategic interests of the Alliance.

    NATO is likely to shift its efforts to the Caucasus. According to
    vice president of the Academy of Geopolitical Studies Col. Gen.
    Leonid Ivashov, NATO's rapid deployment military installations will
    be set up in Georgia and Armenia when the Russian military bases are
    finally squeezed out of those countries. The installations will be
    properly equipped and manned by personnel capable of conducting a
    large-scale troop and equipment deployment within several hours. The
    Alliance is trying to build a new bloc of states comprising Turkey,
    Georgia, and Azerbaijan. Col. Gen. Ivashov believes that Azeri
    President Ilham Aliev has come under pressure because the Americans
    want his go-ahead on the lease of three air fields in Azerbaijan.

    More importantly, NATO is going to focus on Ukraine whose political
    elite have eyes for Europe. Back in 2002 Ukrainian Parliament passed
    a bill allowing NATO to use the whole territory of Ukraine for
    deploying its troops including units with heavy equipment. The NATO
    Big Black Sea Zone program specifically says that naval bases,
    onshore facilities etc. should be developed. Patriotism-conscious
    Russian politicians and political scientists are very much concerned
    about the above situation. They believe that Ukraine may end up
    dismembered into three states at the very least should it continue
    following the present political course. The borders of those states
    would be defined by confrontation between the west and the east and
    instability of the Crimea. "They can only allow parts of Ukraine to
    join Europe if they ever agree to let it in," has been saying Col.
    Gen. Ivashov to his opponents. The Russian naval base on the Crimean
    coast may be shut down due to the developments in Ukraine. Despite
    the fact that the Russian Navy is to use the base up to 2017 in
    compliance with the bilateral agreement, Ukraine will never integrate
    into NATO as long as the Russian Black Sea Navy is based in Ukraine.

    After the West was accused of instigating the "color revolutions" and
    the recent demands by the Shanghai Cooperation Organization with
    respect to the withdrawal of NATO military bases from Central Asia,
    Russia tends to recall its previous experiences of dealing with NATO,
    the experiences characterizing NATO as an inconsistent organization
    which can not keep its promises. Russia insisted that the Russia-NATO
    Basic Act should contain a clause effectively banning the deployment
    of nuclear weapons in the newly integrated member states of the
    Alliance. However, NATO's stance on the issue eventually prevailed
    and the clause vaguely stipulated something like "the parties have no
    intentions." Now it is becoming clear that cooperation between Russia
    and NATO in the fight against terrorism is fruitless. "Can you show
    me any bandit captured by a joint effort?" asks Col. Gen Ivashov.
    "There is none and we should not expect any results since 85% of the
    NATO activities boil down to "improving combat readiness, conducting
    defensive and offensive operations on land and by air," adds he.

    Col. Gen. Ivashov believes that cooperation between Russia and NATO
    is a waste of time.

    The Alliance is accused of "concept aggressiveness." Analysts cite
    the NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer who made a statement
    prior to his visit to Moscow in June this year. In the statement he
    said that protection of democracy by taking appropriate steps
    including military operations, should the latter be deemed necessary,
    was the main objective of the Alliance. Analysts also call into
    question the worthiness of joint military exercises. Historical
    parallels are drawn yet again in proof of the point of view. The NATO
    leadership was convincing the Russian government in 1998-1999 that
    military exercises in the vicinity of Yugoslavia would not evolve
    into hostilities. Eventually, the story unfolded in a different way.
    The NATO forces were ordered to detect and destroy a terrorist
    submarine during the military exercises code-named Baltops. Can you
    imagine any other subs but the Russian ones that could be detected in
    the Baltic Sea?

    Incidentally, Russia is not taking part in the military exercises
    Peace Shield 2005 that went under way yesterday in Ukraine. The first
    stage of the exercises involves about 750 servicemen from 22
    countries conducting computer-simulated combats based on a real
    military and political situation in Iraq. The international
    contingent will move from Kiev to the Crimea on July 25th. The
    maritime stage of the exercises will take place from August 3rd to
    August 13th.

    At times the political orientation and scenario of Peace Shield
    exercises were apparently anti-Russian. Here is an example of the
    scenario. Riots break out in the Crimea and one of the countries
    provides help to the Russian-speaking part of the population. It is
    clear that Russia is the only country which could rise to the
    occasion. The present exercises also include "missions relating to an
    international peacekeeping operation aimed at making peace." That is
    possibly why Russia refused to take part in the exercises.

    On the other hand, there are people in Russia who have a different
    opinion on "alliance between Russia and the Alliance." President of
    the Institute of Strategic Analysis Alexander Konovalov believes that
    the most terrible thing conceivable has happened to NATO. The
    Alliance lost its mission and its enemy. These days NATO is on a
    frantic search for new forms of identity. However, the Alliance is
    not scoring great success in the fight against the proliferation of
    weapons of mass destruction, terrorism, drugs trafficking, and
    illegal immigration. The U.S. does not conceal its discontent because
    NATO is making too much fuss while making too little progress. Mr.
    Konovalov is confident that the NATO member states are not ready to
    join forces and defend the Baltic countries. Even though the
    relocation of NATO military bases to Eastern Europe looks like a
    clear threat to Russia, it is mostly a matter of cost effectiveness.
    It is a lot cheaper to keep the bases in Poland and Bulgaria than in
    Germany. Alexander Konovalov arrives at the conclusion that NATO
    poses not threat to Russia.
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