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TBILISI: Economic Analysis: Gazprom relations with Georgia strained

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  • TBILISI: Economic Analysis: Gazprom relations with Georgia strained

    Economic Analysis: Gazprom relations with Georgia strained
    By M. Alkhazashvili

    The Messenger, Georgia
    July 21 2005

    The agreement reached between the Tbilisi government and Gazprom
    subsidiary Gazexport on Wednesday should lead to an easing of tension
    that culminated in Gazexport's Tuesday threat to switch off the
    country's gas supply.

    Gazexport threatened to halve its gas supply to the Georgian capital
    on Wednesday and then switch off the supply and terminate its contract
    with Tbilgazi in sixty days if an agreement on Tbilgazi's debts was
    not reached.

    An agreement has now been reached, with Tbilisi City Hall stepping
    in to bail out the beleaguered Tbilisi gas distribution company and
    pay GEL 5 million to Gazexport.

    A number of issues remain to be discussed, however, including
    Tbilgazi's unpaid debts from 2003-2004, which total USD 5.77 million
    and Gazprom's planned increase in gas supply tariff from 2006.

    The Russian government has decided to raise gas prices for former
    Soviet countries seen as "anti-Russian" and officials such as Vice
    Speaker of the Russian Duma Lyubov Sliska have made no effort to
    hide that this is a political decision rather than an economic one,
    and comes in response to countries leading Western-oriented foreign
    policies.

    There is no doubt that strained relations between Russia and Georgia
    are affecting economic issues such as gas prices, and this can be seen
    too in another issue that has created strain between Russia and Georgia
    - that of the aborted sale of Georgia's trunk gas pipeline to Gazprom.

    The Georgian government announced at the beginning of the year that
    it was planning to privatize the pipeline, which runs north-south
    across the county, and Gazprom immediately expressed interest in
    its purchase. Russia exports a good deal of gas to Armenia, and the
    pipeline would facilitate these exports.

    The plan to privatize the pipeline was met with criticism from many
    Georgians concerned that the pipeline could be used by Russia -
    Gazprom is almost 100 percent state-owned - as a lever of political
    influence. Senior American officials were also concerned that the
    pipeline could become a competitor to the U.S. financed South Caucasus
    gas pipeline.

    With this is mind, the U.S. Millennium Challenge Corporation has
    recently agreed to allot money for the rehabilitation of the pipeline -
    the Georgian government had previously stated that the pipeline would
    have to be privatized to find the necessary funds to pay for these
    repairs unless an alternatives source of funding could be found.

    The decision not to finance the pipeline, along with Tbilgazi's debts
    and Gazprom's plans to increase the tariffs on Russian gas supplies-
    from USD60 per thousand cubic meters to a reported USD90 - mean that
    there are a number of issues creating strain between Georgia and the
    Russian energy giant.

    It is with this in mind that the government is currently looking to
    build a gas storage facility in either Rustavi or Ninotsminda, and
    is waiting with great anticipation completion of the South Caucasus
    gas pipeline. In Azerbaijan Prime Minister Zurab Noghaideli came to
    an agreement with the Azerbaijani PM that Georgia will import 300
    million cubic meters of natural gas this year.
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