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  • In the context of regional security problems

    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    June 14, 2005, Tuesday

    IN THE CONTEXT OF REGIONAL SECURITY PROBLEMS

    SOURCE: Voyenno-Promyshlenny Kurier, No. 20, June 8-14, 2005, p. 10

    by Sergei Minasyan - director of the Regional Security & South
    Caucasus Integration Studies Center at the Russian-Armenian (Slavic)
    State University


    The process of military integration between CIS states has gradually
    spread onto three levels: in the framework of the CIS, in the CST
    format and on the bilateral basis. Since the very beginning Armenia
    and Russia have been the most active and consistent adherents to the
    military-political cooperation between CIS states. It turned out by
    the late 1990s, that given ultimately opposite goals and tasks in the
    security sphere of various CIS states, their military-political
    cooperation proved to be inefficient. Simultaneously, certainty was
    growing in Russia (...) that the future of this system could only be
    in the framework of the CST and bilateral military-political contacts
    between Russia and CST member countries.

    Decisions passed at the Collective Security Council summit in Yerevan
    (May 2001) proved to be a milestone event in the development of
    military integration inside the CST, including consolidation of
    Armenian-Russian military-political contacts. Attained was an
    agreement on forming a regional bilateral group of forces in the
    Caucasian direction. This combined group was supposed to include
    units of the 102nd Russian Base in Armenia and units of the 5th Corps
    of the Armenian Army. (...)

    Summing up results of the present-day state and prospects of the
    Armenian-Russian cooperation for development of military-political
    integration in the post-Soviet defense area, it should be noted that
    joint staff command and field exercises are held annually, which
    unite all CSTO states and are conducted on a bilateral basis, for
    instance the annual Russian-Armenian exercises at the Armavir
    training ground.

    A great deal of intergovernmental or interdepartmental treaties and
    agreements concluded in 1992, makes the basis for the bilateral
    Russian-Armenian military-political cooperation. The major part of
    those treaties concerned division of military property of the former
    Soviet Army units, stationed in Armenia, as well as the status of the
    Russian Armed Forces in the republic. Under these agreements, Armenia
    received the arms and military equipment of the 164th Mechanized
    Infantry Division (MID) and the 15th MID, formerly parts of the 7th
    Guard Army of the former Trans-Caucasian Military District, stationed
    in Armenia; the 3rd division of the 7th Guard Army - the 127th MID
    stationed in Pomri remained under control of Russia and was
    transformed into the 102nd Military Base of the Russian Group of
    Forces in the Caucasus (GRVZ) in 1995. Units of the former
    Trans-Caucasian Border District in Armenia entered the Armenia group
    of troops of the Russian Federal Border Service. At the same time,
    the sides jointly finance the Russian border guards who protect the
    Armenian border on Iran and Turkey. A number of bilateral agreements
    reached in 1992-1995, including the Treaty on the Russian military
    base in Armenia signed in Moscow on March 16, 1995, set the legal
    basis for restructuring Russia's military presence in Armenia.
    However, the so-called "Big Treaty" - the Treaty on friendship,
    cooperation and reciprocal defense, concluded on August 27, 1997,
    became the major document regulating the bilateral military-political
    cooperation.

    Thus, the Russian forces stationed in Armenia now (in Gyumri,
    Yerevan, and the Erebuni military airfield) include: the Combat
    Management Group of the Russian Forces in Armenia, the 102nd Military
    Base, the 426th Aviation Group and the 520th Aviation Command. The
    Armenia group of the Russian border troops consists of four border
    units. Overall, the Russian forces have 74 T-72 tanks, 17 BTR
    vehicles, 129 infantry fighting vehicles, 84 artillery systems, 18
    MiG-29 fighters, 2 batteries of S-300V antiaircraft missile systems,
    a battery of Kub antiaircraft missile systems. Personnel strength
    exceeds 3,500.

    Military-technical cooperation is the most significant aspect of the
    bilateral strategic partnership. In the division of Soviet military
    munitions in 1992-1996, Russia handed over a certain amount of arms
    and military equipment to Armenia.

    No official reports on deliveries of Russia-made weapons to Armenia
    have appeared since the second half of the 1990s. As is widely known,
    the Russian-Armenian military-technical cooperation (MTC) mainly
    includes supplies of spare parts by defense enterprises of both
    states, rather than supplies of the finished military products. The
    Russian-Armenian MTC has been underway since 1993, and is now being
    carried out in the framework of the Interstate Military-Economic
    Cooperation Commission between CIS States. The MTC with the Republic
    of Armenia was suspended under Russian president's Decree No. 623-rps
    of September 9, 1993, in compliance with the UN Security Council
    Resolution No. 853 on Nagorny Karabakh. Armenia wasn't included into
    the list of states to which deliveries of Russia-made military
    products were permitted. In this connection, military supplies to
    Armenia could solely be performed on the basis of Russian president's
    decisions. Putin signed the decree on terms of resuming supplies of
    spare parts for the Russian military industrial complex from
    Armenia's defense enterprises, primarily equipment for the nuclear
    powered submarines and S-300 antiaircraft missile systems, only in
    December 2000. Only during his latest visit to Armenia in May 2004,
    Russian defense minister declared the purchase of two Il-76 military
    transports by Armenia and Russia's assistance in upgrading the
    available and purchasing new antiaircraft systems for the Armenian
    army.

    Cooperation in the sphere of air defense is a prior sphere of
    Russian-Armenian MTC. This proceeds from availability of a serious
    threat posed by the Turkish Air Force, to which the limited air
    defense system of Armenia cannot resist at its present level without
    the aid of Russia. The Air Defense Forces of Armenia have a certain
    number of antiaircraft missile systems requiring upgrade, which
    cannot be done without the aid of Russia. Besides, confined territory
    of Armenia doesn't allow space for a training ground. Therefore,
    involvement in the joint air defense exercises is important for
    Armenia. Unlike in other forces, the majority of Armenian air defense
    officers are trained at Russian institutions of higher education.

    Significant has been integration of automated control systems and
    command posts of the Armenian Air & Air Defense Forces with similar
    Russian systems, in particular those of the North Caucasian Military
    District (SKVO). The joint combat duty of the air and air defense
    forces began on April 15, 1999. In case of tension in the region,
    this group could be replenished at the expense of the Russian Air
    Defense Forces and deployment as extra air defense units of Armenia.
    The latest S-300V air defense systems affiliated with the 102nd Base
    of Russia joined combat duty in October 2001. This enabled raising
    efficiency of control in the airspace above Armenia.

    Creation of a joint Russian-Armenian group of forces is a significant
    element in the bilateral cooperation. Its creation, the annual joint
    exercises conducted at the Armavir training ground and have no
    analogs in the post-Soviet area (by their regularity and number of
    participants they were the biggest in the former Soviet area until
    the start of 2000), and the general level of military cooperation
    indicate that at the moment Russia has no as close military-political
    cooperation as to Armenia (even with Belarus).

    (...) The role of Russia's military presence in the cause of ensuring
    Armenia's security goes beyond the presence of Russian military bases
    on its territory. Comparison of quantitative parameters shows that
    even the combined Russian-Armenian forces in Armenia yield
    considerably to the armed forces in the neighboring states.

    Article 2 of the Protocol on forming and functioning of the forces
    and means of the Collective Security System of CSTO member states
    says that in case of aggression against any of the sides collective
    security groups of a certain region could be involved in repulsing an
    aggression in another collective security region at request of a
    single or several sides, under articles 4 and 6 of the CST. This
    enables a suggestion that in case of an imminent threat of aggression
    into Armenia, which is a CSTO member country, Russia will take all
    the measures required to strengthen its troops to give the necessary
    aid its ally needs to retaliate an aggression.

    It is not a secret though that none of the CIS states, but for
    Russia, is able to repulse threats autonomously in case of a
    large-scale aggression. In similar circumstances the problem of
    so-called "nuclear guarantees" on behalf of Russia for ensuring their
    national security is of crucial significance for all CSTO member
    countries. The main conceptual documents of Russia indicate Russia
    resigns to itself the right for use of nuclear weapons in case of
    aggression against Russia and its allies. The clauses of Russia's
    military doctrine which concern Russia's readiness to use nuclear
    weapons against the states which don't have nuclear weapons, "in case
    they attack the Russian Federation, the Russian Armed Forces or other
    troops, its allies or a state with which it has security commitments,
    maintained or supported by such a state, which doesn't possess
    nuclear weapons, jointly or in the availability of alliance
    commitments to a state which possesses nuclear weapons," becomes of
    prior significance for CSTO member states, including Armenia.

    It should be noted that along with active development of geopolitical
    processes in the post-Soviet territory, experts both in Russia and
    Armenia are casting doubt on the efficiency and conformity of the
    military-political cooperation to their national interests. Russian
    military experts maintain that in the context of potential withdrawal
    of the Russian military bases from Georgia, the Russian group of
    forces in Armenia might be disconnected from Russia operationally and
    in the communications sphere, which would create serious problems for
    its fighting efficiency and even normal functioning. A recent story
    involving the ban for A-50 AWACS planes to fly above the territory of
    Georgia to Armenia, which has affected the interaction of the Russian
    and Armenian air defense forces, has been an evident example of this.
    Moscow is quite cautious for Armenia's more active attempt of
    integration in the EU and NATO, expanding military cooperation
    between Armenia and NATO, especially the USA, and is unwilling to
    regard these actions as an objective necessity, which is to a great
    extent caused by reduced influence of Russia in the region and
    Yerevan's wish to avert jeopardy to its national interests.

    On the other hand, opinions are expressed in Armenia that the
    Armenia-Russian military cooperation is no more a sufficient
    guarantee for the country's security and alternative security sources
    must be sought in the West. Besides, Yerevan is confident that taking
    actions in the region, as well as relations with Azerbaijan, Turkey,
    and Iran, Moscow doesn't fully account for economic and political
    concerns of its major ally in the South Caucasus. In particular,
    Armenia has serious fears regarding the plans of Russia on
    large-scale supplies of arms and military equipment to Azerbaijan,
    which is perceived by Yerevan as unwillingness of Moscow to account
    for threats to security of its CSTO ally.

    In spite of these problems, both Armenia and Russia realize that the
    achieved level of bilateral military-political cooperation, which has
    no analogs in the CIS and envisages quite real leverage for aiding in
    crucial situations, is the only solution for both states in the
    medium-term outlook. According to many experts, (...) active
    Russian-Armenian partnership in the framework of CSTO defense
    structures and their bilateral military partnership, which has
    sufficient institutional and legal basis, are the major elements of
    regional security and stability in the South Caucasus.

    ORIGINAL-LANGUAGE: RUSSIAN
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