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Azeri, Armenian pundits do not rule out authorities' hand in trucevi

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  • Azeri, Armenian pundits do not rule out authorities' hand in trucevi

    Azeri, Armenian pundits do not rule out authorities' hand in truce violations

    Aravot, Yerevan
    18 Mar 05

    Both the Armenian and Azerbaijani authorities could have been
    interested in the recent cease-fire violations on the Karabakh front
    line, Armenian and Azerbaijani experts have told Armenian newspaper
    Aravot. Azerbaijani pundit Zardust Alizada, however, thinks that
    Russia, which "fishes in troubled waters", could be interested in
    the tension on the border. The following is text of a Naira Melkonyan
    report by Armenian newspaper Aravot on 18 March headlined " Cease Fire
    Violations" and subheaded "Armenian and Azerbaijani experts comment"
    Subheading inserted editorially:

    Member of the Armat [root] centre Ara Saakyan, the chairman of the
    opposition Democratic Party of Armenia, MP Aram Sarkisyan, and the
    director of Caucasus regional emergency centre [of Azerbaijan],
    Zardust Alizada, have commented on the recent developments on the
    Armenian-Azerbaijani contact line.

    Azerbaijan, USA concerned

    Since 9 March, two or three cases of cease-fire violations have been
    registered on the contact line of the Karabakh and Azerbaijani armed
    forces. The Azerbaijani side is concerned about the fire exchange in
    the north-eastern section of the contact line, near the village of
    Seysulan in Mardakert [Agdara] District and in the Idzhevan-Qazax
    section of the Armenian-Azerbaijani border which resulted in
    casualties, including deaths.

    The Azerbaijani Defence Ministry has again reported that the positions
    of the Azerbaijani army in the village of Sarcali in Agdam District
    were fired on by the Armenian forces yesterday. The Azerbaijani Defence
    Ministry repeatedly reported last week that Armenia was constantly
    violating the cease-fire regime. In response, the Armenian side is
    also making accusations against Azerbaijan.

    Speaking about the current situation, US ambassador to Azerbaijan
    Reno Harnish expressed his concern saying that the recent developments
    showed that the conflict had not been frozen and needed to be solved.

    The special envoy of the OSCE chairman-in-office, Andrzej Kasprzyk,
    told Azerbaijani ANS TV that the OSCE intended to carry out a
    monitoring on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border to reduce tension on
    the contact line. He stated that it was possible, adding that they
    only hoped that it was possible .

    Armenia not interested in cease-fire breach

    Who could be interested in the escalation of the conflict? Especially
    as the issue of settling the Karabakh conflict has become of interest
    to the international community again and the OSCE is expected to
    discuss the issue within the coming days. Member of the Armat centre
    Ara Saakyan says that the Armenian side is least of all interested in
    the violations of the cease-fire as they do not meet the interests
    of our country, although they could have been adventures of our
    authorities .

    Azerbaijan, which is always complaining about the work of OSCE Minsk
    Group, is interested in the cease-fire violations, Saakyan said. It
    is threatening the Minsk Group to break the cease-fire, arranged by
    this organization 11 years ago, in order to speed up a settlement of
    the conflict. Probably, the Azerbaijani leadership thinks that the
    frequent cease-fire violations could make the OSCE Minsk Group speed
    up its efforts to settle the conflict and in its own interests.
    Therefore, Azerbaijan is trying to start the entire negotiating
    process of settling the conflict all over again - from scratch.

    Both countries could be interested

    Pointing out that the cease-fire violations did not meet Armenia's
    interests, MP Aram Sarkisyan did not rule out that both parties could
    be interested in them. "However, taking into account the course of
    the negotiating process, [Azerbaijani President Ilham] Aliyev Jr
    probably wants to prove that he could also solve the issue by force
    and hinder the settling process within the framework of OSCE Minsk
    Group, in which he is not interested. He has already achieved his
    goal and the OSCE adopted a resolution in favour of Azerbaijan. Now
    Azerbaijan may want the issue to be transferred to the UN where it
    has more supporters." Sarkisyan also added that this tension could
    also suit Armenia to reduce its domestic political tension.

    People against conflict escalation

    The current tension on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border suits the
    authorities of both parties and they both could have initiated it.
    The director of the Caucasus regional emergency centre, Zardust
    Alizada, said. "The tension also suits Russia which fishes in troubled
    waters but it is not in the interests of the Armenian and Azerbaijani
    peoples," Alizada told Aravot.

    Asked how could the tension influence the negotiating process, Alizada
    said that it cannot "as there are no real negotiations, but they are
    only an imitation of negotiations and, after all, neither Kocharyan
    nor Aliyev are interested in settling the conflict". He also ruled
    out the existence of large-scale incidents on the front line as
    "both Kocharyan and Aliyev have already achieved what they intended
    and wanted to achieve, that is to say, power," Alizada said.
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