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  • Checkmating the Kremlin

    The Jerusalem Post
    May 25, 2005, Wednesday

    Checkmating the Kremlin

    by Kim Murphy La Times With Reporting By Sam Ser Of The Jerusalem
    Post.


    Chess grandmaster Garry Kasparov will need to make some sharp moves
    as he leads an effort to unseat Vladimir Putin as Russia's president


    MOSCOW - As a seven-year-old chess prodigy Garry Kasparov was already
    beating opponents several times his age. When he was 22 he became the
    youngest world chess champion in history and went on to become an
    undefeated champion for nearly 10 years. Even his two matches against
    an IBM supercomputer capable of analyzing 50 billion potential moves
    in three minutes ended in a 1-1 tie.

    In the end it can be said that Kasparov has defeated all of his
    intellectual adversaries but one: Vladimir V. Putin. And now Kasparov
    is making his move against the Russian president.

    Announcing his retirement from chess recently the 42- year-old master
    declared that his new vocation is politics and vowed to take on the
    increasingly autocratic power structure ruling Russia. He wants Putin
    to step down in 2008 as the constitution mandates and a
    democratically elected ruler to take his place.

    "I think we have more than enough data today to figure out where
    Putin is heading. His record from 1999 to the spring of this year is
    very consistent. Everything has been part of a positive plan of
    eliminating the democratic state in order to protect the power base
    that helped him to stay on top Kasparov said in a recent interview at
    his Moscow apartment.

    Our goal now is just to make sure we have an election. It's not even
    about winning said Kasparov, who refuses to say whether he would run
    in 2008. It's about making sure that we restore the election
    mechanisms because the trend in Russia now is all negative. In 2004
    the presidential election was a farce a sort of appointment... And
    there are no doubts that it was just the beginning. Because they
    can't stop."

    KASPAROV IS thought by many to be the best chess player in history.
    He was born in Baku in the then-Soviet republic of Azerbaijan as Gari
    Weinstein son of a Jewish father. After his father died when he was a
    teenager he took on a Russian version of his Armenian mother's maiden
    name.

    Kasparov's chess talent was apparent at an early age. At 12 he became
    the youngest ever player to win the USSR Junior Championship. Four
    years later he won the World Junior Championship and achieved the
    title of grandmaster on his 17th birthday.

    His first title match from September 1984 to February 1985 against
    Anatoly Karpov was the longest in chess history. After 48 games the
    psychological and physical strain on Karpov who was leading but
    appeared likely to lose caused chess authorities to end the match
    inconclusively amid controversy.

    Kasparov won a rematch six months later becoming the youngest world
    champion ever. He defended his title against Karpov in 1986 1987 and
    1990.

    But Kasparov's toughest opponent was Deep Blue a chess-playing
    computer program. His defeat by Deep Blue in 1997 was seen as a
    watershed moment in technological advancement but in 2003 he averted
    a similar defeat when he agreed to a draw in the last game of his
    series against Deep Junior which could process 3 million chess moves
    per second.

    "Kasparov has the most incredible look-ahead and memory capabilities
    I have ever seen said Shay Bushinsky, the Deep Junior programmer,
    after the match.

    For years, though, Kasparov has been an outspoken supporter of Israel
    in the international arena. He has visited the country several times,
    especially to strengthen the Tel Aviv chess club established in his
    name.

    Kasparov told the Jerusalem Post earlier this month that believed
    that Israel's Russian immigrant population should speak out to draw
    the West's attention to the dangers that Putin's regime poses.

    Western leaders don't care at all about Putin and his record on
    democracy as long as he can provide them with some sort of stability
    in Russia he said, but Putin is not providing stability at all. The
    Chechen war is spreading with Islamists joining what was once a
    nationalist separatist fight and increasing terrorism dramatically...
    so Russia is actually less safe today than it was before Putin took
    office he told the Post.

    There are widespread doubts that the powerful circle of business and
    bureaucracy around Putin will be willing to cede power when he is
    obliged to leave office at the end of his second term. Some predict
    that an heir apparent" will step forward and simply take Putin's
    place as figurehead. Others believe that Putin and the party that
    backs him United Russia may try to manage the 2007 parliamentary
    elections to such a degree that it will enable power to be shifted to
    the parliament with Putin as prime minister.

    Putin has repeatedly said he will not run again in 2008 but recently
    declined to rule out coming back in 2012

    Kasparov has been quietly raising his political profile since the
    2004 presidential election when he co- founded a nonpartisan
    pro-democracy organization aimed at giving Russia a "free choice" in
    its leadership.

    Then facing continuing battles with the international chess
    federation over administration of the world chess title he announced
    in March that he was abandoning the game professionally to pursue
    politics and write full-time.

    "I felt that I could use my resources to apply my philosophy my
    strategic vision in my native country because it's such a crucial
    decisive moment in history and I felt my presence could make some
    difference said Kasparov, who claims that he has been banned from
    state- owned television because of the threat he poses to the
    government.

    I don't have any negative record in the eyes of the Russian people. I
    don't have any ties to oligarchs or to Yeltsin's Russia. I'm a person
    who's been defending Soviet national colors Russian national colors
    he said. People listening to Garry Kasparov who is independent and
    saying all the things I'm telling you in Russian and very
    passionately may cause a collision in the eyes of Russians who have
    had no chance to hear opposite opinions."

    KASPAROV BELIEVES he brings another important quality to the table in
    his political duel with Putin: a chess player's rationality.

    He is finishing work on a book scheduled for publication in 2006
    titled How Life Imitates Chess. In it he asserts that the sharp
    reasoning and brilliant intuition that guide a chess player's moves
    are the same elements that determine all effective decision-making.

    "I have a strange idea that the decisions made by the housewife and
    the president of the United States consist of similar ingredients he
    said. And at the end of the day a lot of it is intuition.

    In Kasparov's case intuition tells him that Russians are losing
    patience.

    "I have been traveling around the regions and in St. Petersburg in
    January I was accused of being too conformist he said. I mean some of
    my statements were considered as being too accommodating to Putin's
    regime. So you see within the Garden Ring (of central Moscow) I'm an
    extreme radical. But the moment you move outside I'm more at the
    center of the debate.

    "People are ready to talk to you about action. I can see a huge
    difference between now and six months ago. And it's not only elderly
    pensioners. It's students. In the last six months and I'm a
    professional chess player I can sense it. There's a huge change in
    their mind. They want action. They're losing faith in their future."
    For all the opposition the big focus is not on 2008 but on the next
    parliamentary elections in 2007 when Russia's future most likely will
    be determined.

    Kasparov said his task will be to convince the public that forfeiting
    democracy is too high a price to pay for the promise of stability
    that Putin undoubtedly offers. But he believes that the public no
    longer sees democracy as the threat it did when Russia's fledgling
    freedom in the early post-Soviet years brought widespread poverty and
    social collapse.

    "It's a very painful educational process he said. But people are now
    recognizing that maybe democracy is not as bad; it's not an alien
    invention sent by Western intelligence but it's something that could
    help them guarantee their own security."

    GRAPHIC: 2 photos: KASPAROV SAYS he brings an important quality to
    the table in his political duel with Putin: a chess player's
    rationality. (Credit: Ap. Brian Hendler)
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