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  • The Armenian gambit

    Agency WPS
    What the Papers Say. Part A (Russia)
    May 27, 2005, Friday

    THE ARMENIAN GAMBIT

    SOURCE: Rossiiskie Vesti, No. 17, May 19, 2005, p. 8

    by Sergei Marsov, Yerevan, especially for Rossiiskiye Vesti


    The name of fugitive Russian oligarch Boris Berezovsky has been
    promoted well enough in the former USSR. The tycoon is believed to be
    linked to recent developments in Georgia and Ukraine, attempts to
    overthrow Alexander Lukashenko in Belarus, and every imaginable
    political plot against the Kremlin. And this is not without reason.
    But very few could suppose that Boris Berezovsky would concern
    himself with Armenia - more precisely, with relations between Baku
    and Yerevan.

    Media wars are always waged with reliable and tested techniques. At
    first, some newspaper produces a "leak" concerning some event, citing
    "our sources in authoritative government bodies." Then the
    information is taken up by political analysts with their usual "smart
    explanation." During the third phase, if the "leak" is has been
    arranged properly, it becomes a big politics factor when certain
    statements are made concerning operating politicians. If they are
    aware of the process they are being involved in, it is one thing. But
    it is different when the politicians try to satisfy the so-called
    public opinion which has been formed by someone else. In this case
    political complications are inevitable. If it comes to state leaders,
    there will most likely spring up problems between states.

    Something of that kind has recently occurred in the
    Azerbaaijani-Armenian relations. The most sophisticated political
    analysts were quick to name the "evil force" factor. The plot is as
    follows. Originally, Armenian newspaper "168 Zham" spread information
    that Armenian President Robert Kocharyan had recently gone to Georgia
    in order to meet there with Boris Berezovsky. The reporters claimed
    that the Armenian president had asked the fugitive oligarch to assist
    him through the media he owned.

    Simultaneously, Realny Azerbaijan newspaper published an interview
    with Alexander Litvinenko, a former officer of Ukrainian security
    agencies. Litvinenko declared that the bloody tragedy which happened
    in the Armenian Parliament on October 27, 1999 when terrorists killed
    the prime-minister, the speaker and other six senior government
    officials had been scripted and organized by the Russian Main
    Intelligence Administration (GRU). It was claimed that owing to these
    measures "the Russian authorities managed to prevent signature of a
    Karabakh conflict resolution agreement."

    Therefore, an interesting political combination is shaping up: an
    attempt has been made to removed Russia from the Karabakh conflict
    resolution by undermining Yerevan's and Baku's trust in it. It was
    suggested that there are particular trust relationships between
    Robert Kocharyan and Boris Berezovsky, which is supposed to bring
    Yerevan and Moscow apart. There was also a broad hint at "bloc"
    ambitions which Mikhail Saakashvili and Robert Kocharyan are believed
    to have, which surely cannot but worry Baku. Taking into
    consideration the recent statement of President George W. Bush in
    Tbilisi in which he called Georgia "the outpost of democracy in the
    whole region", the propagandist scheme which Boris Berezovsky is
    implementing in the Trans-Caucasus is acquiring a real geopolitical
    outline.

    Adding to this an idea of an "impending oil revolution in Baku" which
    is being widely propagated by western media, one may conclude that
    Baku has a real reason for concern. If Yerevan and Tbilisi are really
    forming a bloc (it is worth mentioning in this respect that some
    European media reported on the "Armenian roots" of Mr. Saakashvili),
    Baku will be bound to overcome the so-called regional isolation.

    However, it seems that this combination has been disclosed in Moscow.
    The Russian Embassy in Armenia issued a note in which the actions of
    Boris Berezovsky and his associate Mr. Litvinenko were qualified
    respectively, as they are meant to complicate the relationships
    between Yerevan and Moscow.

    Of course, Boris Berezovsky is a master of intrigue. However, staying
    in London longer, he is losing touch with the political situation in
    the former USSR republics. Now he himself is becoming an object of
    political manipulations, which can cause certain discomfort
    personally to him and all his team. This is because we are going to
    start our next report about Boris Berezovsky as follows: "As reported
    by our source very close to the oligarch."

    Translated by Sergei Kolosov
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