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61-st Rose Roth Seminar "Security in the South Caucasus"

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  • 61-st Rose Roth Seminar "Security in the South Caucasus"

    Panorama.am
    13:30 08/10/05


    61-st Rose Roth Seminar ¡§Security in the South Caucasus¡¨


    7 October 2005

    Report by the Secretary of the National Security Council under the President
    of the Republic of Armenia ¡V Minister of Defense Serzh SARGSYAN

    Topic: Defense reforms in South Caucasus

    Dear organizers, participants, guests

    First of all I would like to greet the organizers and the participants of
    the seminar and congratulate for arranging such an interesting and
    overarching event. This is an excellent manifestation of productive
    cooperation between National Assembly of Armenia and NATO Parliamentary
    Assembly.

    Modernity, regional significance and in general the global nature of the
    chosen topic make us study it thoroughly and multilaterally to have an
    ultimate understanding of many aspects of defense reforms in South Caucasus.

    . Political Military situation in South Caucasus: Regional threats

    South Caucasus has traditionally been a crossroad, where the interests and
    contradictions of different security forces, military political force
    centers, and different super powers have been focused. This fact has
    definitely left its footprint on historic development course of the regional
    states. In this sense South Caucasus is a specific region with its
    geography, history, culture, demography and with other factors
    characterizing its security environment. It is a crossroad of different
    ethnic groups, religions, cultures, and civilizations, transportation routes
    of international importance. Although South Caucasus occupies a relatively
    small area in geographical sense, nations have different world perception
    given their historical-cultural development, language and as a consequence
    national psychological features. These nations have for centuries been
    involved in wars of empires and instilling hatred and enmity between them
    was one of the effective ways for empires to achieve their goals and
    interests. As a result international distrust has been shaped in the region,
    often aggravating into atmosphere of hostility.

    The main part of existing international conflicts in the region have their
    roots in soviet period, since the demarcation lines in the South Caucasus
    were drawn neglecting ethnographic and demographic factors.

    After the breakdown of the Soviet Union South Caucasus found itself in a
    security environment facing internal and external regional threats. Internal
    regional threats are predominantly due to the existence of international
    conflicts and armed conflicts. Being at the crossroad of interests between
    East and West, Europe and Asia, Russia and USA, today the South Caucasus
    continues to bear the impact of contest among these interests. The mentioned
    factors bring about additional stimulus for different international security
    systems to amplify the leverages on regional states¡¦ defense and security
    systems. This is the very reason that the areas providing security and the
    developments taking place here are prioritized and possibly politicized in
    the regional states. What refers to the security systems and military
    structures of South Caucasian states, it is worthy to note that these were
    established during armed conflicts in all three states. Armed Forces being
    organized under such conditions did not set the goal of being led by
    international standards, which is a complex and time consuming process. They
    were seeking to apply traditional and non-traditional methods to settle
    interethnic problems through military means. It is understandable that all
    the resources ¡V economic potential, traditions, armaments, tactics and
    goals bore the imprint of the Soviet Union. However, under these
    circumstances Armenian defense complex managed to withstand Azerbajanian
    forces prevailing in strength and armaments and to provide both the security
    of the population of the Republic of Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh.

    Thus, under such military-political conditions numerous threats come to the
    fore, which are related to any of the South Caucasus States and have
    symmetrical and asymmetrical nature.

    As symmetrical threats of regional security may be viewed regional unsettled
    conflicts and perspectives of their settlement through military means,
    blockade of regional economic-transportation routes, unsatisfactory course
    of democratization, disproportional development of regional states,
    differentiated approach of external regional powers and international
    community to regional states.

    As asymmetrical threats of regional security may be viewed international
    terrorism and the attempt of performing international terrorist network
    activities in the region, regional intolerance and atmosphere of distrust,
    seeding of international enmity, disinformation.

    Here it is also worthy to mention another important thing: symmetrical and
    asymmetrical threats are interwoven and the existence of the one may cause
    the derivation of the others. For example, atmosphere of intolerance and
    distrust may be easily abused by international terrorist organizations to
    breed a fertile ground to resume military operations in South Caucasus
    conflict areas.

    All these threats have common nature that no country in the region is able
    to avoid. Their ultimate defusion is impossible by individual efforts,
    without the assistance of international community and reforms in security
    and defense structures. In my opinion, this is the very goal that the
    defense reforms in the South Caucasus are to be targeted at.

    . Factors impacting defense reforms in South Caucasus

    When speaking about defense reforms in South Caucasus those major factors
    generating from regional political-military situation, which predetermine
    the direction of defense reforms here, should be taken into consideration.

    The first and the major factor is related to the existing conflicts that
    three South Caucasus states are involved in: Armenia and Azerbaijan ¡V
    Nagorno Kharabakh conflict, Georgia ¡V Abkhazia and South Ossetia. ¡§No
    peace, no war¡¨ status greatly impacted on further development of military
    components as well as foreign policy of regional states and state
    development direction. As a result of these unsettled conflicts military
    factor plays a considerable role in state efforts of construction both in
    Georgia, Azerbaijan and Armenia. Moreover there are many forces in regional
    countries and especially in Azerbaijan that are guided by the destructive
    desire of settling conflicts through military means. These forces shape an
    atmosphere of intolerance by their bellicose policy, which involuntarily
    impacts on comprehensive defense reforms in Armenia and makes the
    authorities of the Republic of Armenia evince cautiousness. However it is
    noteworthy to mention, that by the support of international organizations,
    if not final settlement, at least, if possible to put it this way,
    ¡§stable¡¨ and ¡§guaranteed¡¨ freezing of the conflicts opens opportunities
    to conduct gradual defense reforms.

    The second important factor impacting on defence reforms in South Caucasus
    are international new threats. Realizing these threats and especially the
    effective struggle against international terrorism drastically changes
    traditional security perceptions. If we cast a glance on the activities of
    international terrorist organizations and the frames of counter-terrorist
    military operations, we will notice that South Caucasus occupies
    geographically central place within these frames. South Caucasus is a
    crossroad ¡V a transit zone for Chechen, Arab-Israel, Iraqi, Afghan
    terrorist pockets. Here, under conditions of weak state structures,
    imperfect mechanisms to combat terrorism and under conditions of
    international conflicts, an opportunity to establish terrorist network and
    activities is open.

    One of the main factors impacting on defense reforms in South Caucasus is
    the European integration policy adopted by regional states. This policy
    gives wide opportunities to be involved in European security structures and
    to take advantage of their experience and advice. In general, intensive
    reforms conducted in international defense and security structures, in
    individual states, adopting new approaches, development of new mechanisms
    attest that development of common strategy, improvement of interoperability
    mechanisms, rapid response and peacekeeping forces, mobile teams and etc.
    come to overtake traditional defense structures. These factors expedite
    international integration processes in defense area.

    South Caucasus states have also entered into a resolute stage of European
    integration. It leaves its positive influence on directing defense reforms
    of regional states in synergy with the principles of overall European
    security system restructuring. Particularly both Armenia, Georgia and
    Azerbaijan are involved in international stabilization processes. It
    contributes to establish rapid response and peacekeeping forces in these
    states in line with international standards and fully interoperable with
    international forces. Anyhow there is a specific feature: three South
    Caucasus states conduct integration separately` refusing internal regional
    integration. Notwithstanding Armenia makes suggestions to establish regional
    security system through cooperation and integration. It is clear that the
    absence of internal regional integration and cooperation makes it impossible
    to fully provide the security despite individual reforms in security
    structure of South Caucasus states. Thus the absence of internal regional
    integration essentially impacts on the nature and direction of defense
    reforms.

    In general positive and negative factors impacting defense reforms in South
    Caucasus are numerous and miscellaneous which account for the cautiousness
    of South Caucasus states to implement defense reforms.

    . Standpoints of regional states on defense reforms: differences and
    generalities Regional and international threats and South Caucasus European
    Integration direction requires equivalent reforms from regional states.
    However the nature, objectives, intensity and direction of reforms are
    different in Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.

    Differences in standpoints of three South Caucasus states in implementing
    defense reforms are due to different perception of providing security and
    defusing threats: these differences are widely displayed in the perceptions
    of Armenia and Azerbaijan. For example, on the issue of Nagorno Karabakh
    conflict settlement we are guided by the principle of ¡§Partnership for
    Peace¡¨, suggesting to reach mutual confidence and stability through
    cooperation, which is the primary precondition for the conflict resolution.
    Azerbaijan, to the contrary, connects the establishment of cooperation with
    the settlement of the conflict and rebuffs any suggestion of cooperation
    until conflict resolution.

    Having in circulation the option of settling Nagorno Karabakh conflict
    through military means, authority circles of Azerbaijan have the vision of
    reforming Armed Forces and enhancing the capabilities truly by militarized
    means. To this end military expenses are multiplied in Azerbaijan year by
    year. Moreover, the recent statement of Aliev on doubling the military
    budget in 2006 is a challenge of arms race. Armenia, to the contrary, offers
    complete exclusion of military settlement of the conflict to reach success
    in defense reforms. This will give an opportunity not to weave defense
    reforms with the conflict resolution and embark upon more practical steps.
    But not receiving desirable response, Armenia has to and is ready to
    withstand rude force with force. Armenia and Azerbaijan hold contradictory
    opinions of issues on establishing regional security system and regional
    integration. Both the official circles of Armenia and the representatives of
    International community have made suggestions from different platforms on
    this issue, every time Azerbaijan¡¦s refusal to start any cooperation.
    Moreover, by this stance Azerbaijani authorities incite other countries also
    to refusal. Frankly speaking, such a standpoint casts doubt on the desire of
    Azerbajanian authorities to conduct defense reforms in line with
    international standards.

    In this hostile atmosphere to have a numerous army becomes a priority for
    Armenia. We certainly realize that keeping a numerous army is not in line
    with our aspirations and priorities of European integration, democratization
    and reforms. However, in contrast with other priorities, which predominantly
    generate from our national natural interests, having a numerous Armed Forces
    is a compelling priority, a reliable guarantee to provide security.

    On different occasions I have noted that most effective way to provide
    military security and strengthen Armed Forces capabilities is military
    integration and reforms. This strategy is important to meet the military
    needs of the Armed Forces and to provide their stable development.

    To have a stable security system Armenia is actively getting involved in
    different security systems. Today Armenia cooperates within NATO and CSTO
    /Collective Security Treaty Organization/, which contributes to the
    establishment of Armenian Armed Forces interoperability capabilities by
    different international standards. Therefore, both Armenian-Russian military
    alliance within bilateral and CSTO frameworks and enhancement of cooperation
    with NATO organizations and USA are the guarantees providing Armenia¡¦s
    security. Through Armenia-NATO cooperation Armenia implements defense
    reforms within the frameworks of PARP and IPAP. Reform strategy within CSTO
    is targeted at establishing a joint and effective system to defuse security
    threats.

    Despite differences in standpoints of South Caucasus countries on defense
    reform issues, there is a circumstance inspiring hope for their successful
    implementation: defense reforms in three countries proceed in the course of
    international integration.

    We also realize, that defense reforms constitute only a part of overall
    process of advanced development of statehood i.e. establishing legal state
    and civil society. In this process the establishment of all legislative,
    defense, social, economic, democratic institutions and the area of
    institutional reforms are interconnected and symbiotic, and cannot develop
    separately. Defense reforms conducted in regional states should be viewed in
    the context of developing the countries through reforms and democratization
    as one integral process, one system. It is impossible to build reformed,
    transparent and modern Armed Forces in economically and socially weak
    countries lacking democratic traditions and principles. Therefore, not only
    cooperation with NATO must be taken full advantage of but also with other
    European structures Council of Europe, OSCE, EU, the assistance of advanced
    European institutes in this sphere, ¡§European Neighborhood policy¡¨,
    Consultations of Venice commission for Democracy through Law, etc. Armenia
    is resolute in its decision to be guided by this principle.

    . The nature of defense reforms in South Caucasus region

    I have already noted that defense reforms in South Caucasus with their
    positive and negative aspects proceed in the spirit of European integration.
    Cooperation with Euro-Atlantic Alliance plays a considerable role in these
    reforms, since it is NATO who urges supports and assists in reforms.

    What refers to the nature of defence reforms, as a result of consistent
    policy in recent two years they have become more institutionalized`
    engulfing real and specific goals. Armenia, Georgia and Azerbaijan have
    joined PARP and IPAP by presenting all those goals that cooperation with
    NATO is to be targeted to implement them.

    By joining IPAP, Armenian on the whole presumes the following major reforms
    in defense field: - Development of National Security Strategy

    Although National Security Strategy will be developed for a transitional
    period it will allow three South Caucasus states to reconfirm defending
    nature of their activities aimed at providing national security supporting
    the establishment of atmosphere of mutual confidence by that. Particularly
    in Armenia¡¦s case once again it will be proclaimed that our country is for
    peaceful settlement of Nagorno Karabakh conflict and is determined to
    implement policy of integration to European structures. By 2007 Republic of
    Armenia plans to develop the National Security Strategy and table it for
    broad public discussions.

    - Development of Defense Concept

    Armenia greets NATO initiative to support the development of Strategy
    Documents in South Caucasus states. Defense Concept of the Republic of
    Armenia, which will be in harmony with the defense provisions defined by the
    National Security Strategy, will be widely spread among population and will
    be approved in 2007. It will also be submitted to the discussion of the
    National Assembly of Armenia, which will provide the basis for near-term and
    long-term defense planning. Defense Concept of Armenia will describe the
    role and mission of Armenian Armed Forces and will serve as a principle
    document to direct reform efforts. It will provide a single united strategic
    direction for the Armed Forces and for other Government officials
    responsible for national defense. Broad circulation of Defense Doctrine
    across the country will foster public discussions on defense issues and will
    provide support to meet military needs identified in the document. Defense
    Strategy will play an important role to guide the efforts of Armenian Armed
    Forces reforms and modernization.

    - Defense system and particularly defense planning and budgeting reform
    Reforming this area will give an opportunity to use defense resources more
    effectively supporting the balance between economic growth and defense
    expenditures. It will greatly enhance the defense budget transparency, which
    will also contribute to strengthen mutual confidence in a stable security
    environment.

    - Strategic Defense Review

    This process will give an opportunity to develop and implement plans for
    Armed Forces improvement and transformation in accordance with tasks defined
    by strategic documents. The process, which is planned to conduct during
    defense reforms, will also continue after the completion of reforms becoming
    a tool for Armed Forces assessment and continuous modernization.

    - Defense Legislation and Administration Review

    Through this review it will be possible to identify the shortfalls in
    defense legislation and make necessary amendments to the legislation in
    parallel with defense reforms. The present legislation /¡¨Law on Defense¡¦,
    ¡§Law on Mobilization¡¨, ¡§Law on Liability for Military Service¡¨, ¡§Law on
    Entering to Military Service¡¨ and other laws/ will need to be changed after
    Constitution reforms and approvement of National Security Strategy.
    Amendments have already been made in defense legislation of the Republic of
    Armenia. Particularly amendments were made to the ¡§Law on liability for
    military service¡¨ of RA in October 2000, on 3rd July 2002 ¡§Law on entering
    to Military Service¡¨ was adopted, and ¡§Law on Alternative Military
    Service¡¨ of RA was adopted on 17 December 2003 and amended on 29 January
    2004.

    - Increasing the system of democratic-public control of the Armed Forces
    will in its turn contribute to the enhancement of Armed Forces transparency
    and will provide more public support to the state defense policy. It is
    necessary to use the existing mechanisms when conducting events to increase
    democratic control in regional states by expanding and improving them year
    by year, training appropriate specialists and conducting public awareness
    policy.

    - Input of civilian personnel in the Armed Forces of the Republic of
    Armenia Implementation of the above mentioned reforms will automatically
    necessitate the input of civilian personnel in the Armed Forces system. MOD
    will require civilian experts well aware of defense policy principle
    provisions and able to manage different spheres of national defense
    structure. Civilian experts can greatly contribute to the development of
    defense policy, legislative collaboration, legal advice, resource
    management, public affairs and procurements. Increasing the number of
    civilian experts handling issues of defense policy development and planning
    will assist Armenia to achieve her National Security goals.

    As a result of the above mentioned activities the opportunity of
    interoperability with European and Euro-Atlantic structures, institutional
    and conceptual compatibility will be expanded, without any harm at all to
    its cooperation within CSTO.

    Anyhow the true desire and the real understanding by the heads of regional
    states and public awareness policy based on that understanding is of primary
    significance to successfully conduct the reforms. This is the only possible
    way to smooth out existing contest, sometimes-even hostility between
    regional nations. Obviously it is impossible to reach stability and
    prosperity in South Caucasus when the head of one state speaks about
    European integration, compromising and peaceful settlement of conflicts,
    regional cooperation, but at the highest political level of the neighboring
    state bellicose statements are made, thus seeding own people with hostility
    and intolerance against the neighboring nation.

    I am confident that the continuation of impartial and balanced policy course
    towards Armenia and Azerbaijan by NATO and European institutions, efforts
    seeking to establish an atmosphere of tolerance and mutual confidence will
    uphold South Caucasus states to achieve cooperation through reforms and to
    peace and stability through cooperation.

    Thank you.
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