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Rasul Guliev - The Leading Azerbaijani Oppositionist Who Lost Twice

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  • Rasul Guliev - The Leading Azerbaijani Oppositionist Who Lost Twice

    RASUL GULIEV - THE LEADING AZERBAIJANI OPPOSITIONIST WHO LOST TWICE

    Axis News
    Oct 17 2005

    Asim Oku, AIA Turkish and Caucasian section

    The leader of Azerbaijan' s opposition Democratic Party of Azerbaijan
    Rasul Guliyev's plans to end his nine-year exile in the USA and to
    return to Azerbaijan to take part in the country's parliamentary
    elections caused serious tensions. In the capital of Azerbaijan,
    police have blocked access to the city's airport and said it will
    arrest Guliev if he enters the country. He knew about that, and
    claimed in an interview with the Azeri service of the BBC, he does
    not fear arrest. "I come to fight for victory in the parliamentary
    elections. My goal is to fight dictatorship, corruption and monopolies
    in Azerbaijan." However, his glorious homecoming turned into a farce
    as at the last minute he got cold legs and decided not to come back,
    but to stop in Ukraine. He refused to continue the flight on the
    chartered plane. And there, at Simferopol's airport he was arrested
    by Ukrainian law enforcement, for he is on the international wanted
    list. Guliev was detained at the request of Azerbaijani authorities,
    which seek his extradition, the press secretary of Ukraine's interior
    Minister said. So he lost twice - he didn't manage to get home and
    got arrested anyway. And his supporters, who were ready to fight for
    him with the Azerbaijani security services, known for their brutality,
    are very disappointed.

    "I urge the Azerbaijani authorities to avoid any oppression (of
    civil rights) and I call on the nation to stage civil unrest against
    violations of human rights," Rasul Guliev said in an October 11
    telephone conference call scheduled by the Committee for the Protection
    of his rights. The people were ready but the leader failed them. Who
    is this man and was he worth fighting for in the first place?

    A Close Friend and the Harsh Foe of Heydar Aliev

    Guliev is married and has two sons and a daughter. He was born in
    1948 in Nakhichevan in a southeast of Azerbaijan, as well as Heydar
    Aliyev. Since 1962, after graduating petro-mechanical faculty of the
    Azerbaijan institute of oil and chemistry (today - Azerbaijan State
    Oil Academy (ASOA), he worked at the Baky Oil Refinery. Has made
    there an outstanding career - from the ordinary engineer up to the
    general director. He is a candidate of Technical Science.

    In 1990 year he was elected the Member of the Supreme Soviet of
    Azerbaijan, and then, after Azerbaijan gaining independence, the
    Member of National Parliament. Together with the opposition he
    struggled against the regime of the President Ayaz Mutalibov.

    At the beginning of the Nineties he contacted with Heydar Aliyev - the
    former head of the KGB in Azerbaijan and the Member of the Political
    Bureau. At the beginning of 1993, some months prior to revolution
    as a result of which Aliyev came to power, Guliev received a post
    of vice-president of the State Oil Company of Azerbaijani Republic
    (SOCAR), and later became the vice-Premier of Azerbaijan.

    After his coming to power Aliyev appointed Guliev the chairman of
    the Parliament.

    In November, 1995 he was again elected to the Parliament, and again
    held a post of the chairman.

    Owing to the deterioration of relations with Heydar Aliyev in
    September, 1996 Rasul Guliev abandoned the post "because of the health
    problems" and leaves for the USA "for medical treatment".

    Already being in America he accused Aliyev and his coterie of
    corruption, clanning and lawlessness. He issued three books in which
    sharply criticized the ruling elite of Azerbaijan. ("Oil And Politics",
    "Path To Democracy" and "Purpose Of Our Struggle".) At the end of
    1997 under the decision of the Azerbaijani Parliament Guliev was
    deprived of parliamentary immunity; criminal proceeding against him
    was instituted. Guliev was accused that being in 1990-95 the director
    of the Baku Oil Refinery he defalcated $107 million.

    In 1998, already being abroad, Guliev was elected the co-chairman
    of Democratic Party of Azerbaijan (established in 1992). After the
    split of the party in 2000 Rasul Guliev became its only leader.

    In the spring of 2005 Democratic Party enters oppositional bloc
    "Azadliq", which includes "Musavat" - "Equality" - the oldest and
    the biggest opposition movement led by Isa Gambar, and the Azerbaijan
    Popular Front Party (APFP) under the leadership of Ali Kerimli.

    On August, 27, 2005, Guliev was registered by the Central Electoral
    Committee as the candidate to the Parliament. After this in connection
    with his statements on his return to Azerbaijan the Office of Public
    Prosecutor of Azerbaijan issued an arrest warrant on him.

    An Oppositionist or a Crook?

    Guliev is rightfully considered to be the largest independent
    Azerbaijani oligarch. Presumably, he gained his fortune at the
    beginning of the Nineties by reselling oil abroad under cover of
    "waste products," when he headed Baku's Refinery. He is extremely
    ambitious and combines features of speculator and master of secret
    intrigue. Being a director of the largest factory in republic and
    vice-President of SOCAR, he actively influenced the policy of the first
    two Azerbaijani governments, and Presidents Ayaz Mutalibov and Abulfaz
    Elchibey. He used his financial opportunities and connections to assist
    Heydar Aliyev's coming to power and in 1993-96 became actually, despite
    of a puppet post of the chairman of the Parliament, the second person
    in the country after the President. However, it was insufficient for
    ambitious magnate, and he made unsuccessful attempt to push Aliyev
    aside from authority, and was compelled to flee the country.

    Overthrown by Aliyev Abulfaz Elchibey openly accused Guliev of
    treachery. "Rasul, you have knocked me down," he declared, addressing
    Guliev, who was already over the ocean.

    The political program of Democratic Party is rather dim. Except for
    appeals to "democracy and free economy", Guliev did not define his
    position on key questions for Azerbaijan, such as social problems,
    strengthening of Islamic tendencies, and, most important, the Karabakh
    question - an integral part of all political programs in Azerbaijan.

    Towards the authorities he takes extremely radical position, demanding
    from opposition a "revolutionary" - that is violent actions to
    overthrow the regime. He asserts that the establishment of democracy
    in the republic is possible only by applying force.

    Main electorate of Guliev consists of the natives from Nakhichevan.

    During all his political activity Guliev constantly changed allies
    and views concerning the methods of political struggle. Being a short
    time partner of Elchibey, he demanded to exclude from the Popular
    Front of Azerbaijan (PFA) the "Yurd" - (Homeland) youth organization
    led by Ali Kerimli. Guliev accused Kerimli of cooperation with
    authorities. Today Kerimli is a partner of Guliev in "Azadliq" -
    the largest oppositional bloc.

    At the end of the Nineties he rejected the idea of creation of the
    bloc of oppositional forces, sharply criticizing the oldest and
    largest opposition party "Musavat", however, before the presidential
    elections in October, 2003, he declared of his support to Isa Gambar,
    and in the spring 2005, he joined the "Azadliq" bloc.

    Guliev's Strange Choice Of Actions

    At the initial stage Rasul Guliev received the US support, however,
    because of a scandal around his financial swindles and unpredictable
    changes in his political views and constant changing of political
    allies Washington began to distance from him.

    As the General Prosecutor of Azerbaijan Zakir Garalov stated "Claims
    that the US will support Guliev are mere "political speculation".

    This may be the reason for such a strange behavior of Guliev. As the
    AIA sources in Baku reported, his decision to come back home was not
    coordinated with the US authorities.

    He planned it with the other opposition leaders, who, after his
    arrest by the Azerbaijani security would have publicly turned to
    the USA demanding to support "the leading democratic leader", and
    to pressure Baku's regime on his release. Of course in the case of
    success his chances to win the elections would have skyrocketed,
    for the people would see him as the leader, who is backed up by such
    a superpower as America.

    There are two possibilities, our sources note. The USA didn't like
    the idea to be presented with a fait accompli and actually blackmailed
    in a certain way to take rush actions. It seems that Americans do not
    consider Guliev as trustworthy ally and true democrat. Somebody, lets
    say from the State Department may have hinted Guliev that his trick
    will nor work and the Americans will not apply pressure on Baku. Or
    there is an option that certain opposition leaders in Azerbaijan
    decided to walk away from the plan, considering it unfair, for they
    are struggling with the regime for many years and Guliev plans to
    use them to gain what they where fighting for a long time.

    Anyway, the "homecoming" fiasco may totally hamper not only his chances
    at the elections but and cost him a bitter price, for his supporters
    fell betrayed.

    http://www.axisglobe.com/article.asp?ar ticle=441
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