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Time for Karabakh conflict peaceful settlement may be running out

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  • Time for Karabakh conflict peaceful settlement may be running out

    Pan Armenian News

    TIME FOR KARABAKH CONFLICT PEACEFUL SETTLEMENT MAY BE RUNNING OUT


    09.09.2005 06:45

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ All sides in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict need to prepare
    their people for peace much better if the seeds of their high-level
    negotiations are to bear fruit. Nagorno Karabakh: Viewing the Conflict from
    the Ground, the latest report from the International Crisis Group, explores
    how the Armenians and Azeris from Nagorno Karabakh and the surrounding
    districts live and how they view the resolution of the conflict. Despite
    signs of progress at internationally mediated negotiations (to be discussed
    in a subsequent report), rising military expenditures and increasing
    ceasefire violations are ominous signs that time for a peaceful settlement
    may be running out. The brutal war over Nagorno Karabakh killed some 18,500
    people and displaced over a million before settling into a shaky cease-fire
    in 1994. Eleven years on life in Nagorno Karabakh has regained some sense of
    normalcy with a developing economy and elected institutions. Yet nothing has
    been done to restore rights of war victims. The creation of mono-ethnic
    institutions in Nagorno Karabakh, the destruction of Azeri property, and the
    privatisation of land and businesses pose significant obstacles to Azeri
    return and reintegration. Many displaced persons have become highly
    dependent on the Azerbaijani state, with few opportunities to participate
    fully in political life and determine their own future. Refusing to allow
    dialogue and demonising Armenians through the state-sponsored media and
    schools, Baku has hardened anti-Armenian feeling among average citizens. The
    Azerbaijanis and Armenians are as separated as they have ever been. "There
    is need to counter the hate propaganda and unlock the potential for
    confidence building and dialogue between average Azeris and Armenians", says
    Sabine Freizer, Director of Crisis Group's Caucasus Project. "This has to
    happen before the memories of cohabitation fade and the divide becomes
    unbridgeable". Neither community appears prepared to agree to the kind of
    settlement being considered by the Armenian and Azerbaijani foreign
    ministers in the negotiations sponsored by the Organization for Security and
    Cooperation in Europe (OSCE). "The vast majority of those affected by the
    conflict have been kept in the dark about the details of the negotiations",
    says Alain Deletroz, Crisis Group's Vice President for Europe. "But there is
    no way for any peace process to succeed unless leaders from all sides start
    actively selling the idea to their people".
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