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Armenia: The power of rumour

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  • Armenia: The power of rumour

    Institute for War & Peace Reporting
    Sept 9 2005

    ARMENIA: THE POWER OF RUMOUR


    Confusion over whether the Russians had bought or just leased
    Armenia's electricity company adds to underlying fears about losing
    strategic assets.

    By Naira Melkumian in Erevan


    A deal under which Armenia's electricity grid could be sold to a
    Russian-owned energy giant has led to an outcry from opposition
    politicians who are worried about who controls the country's
    strategic assets.

    Under a deal signed in June, the Russian electricity firm United
    Energy Systems, UES, has agreed to run the power network in Armenia
    on behalf of the Canadian-owned and British-registered company
    Midland Resources Holdings Ltd, which acquired 100 per cent of
    Electricity Networks of Armenia, AEN, in a privatisation deal in
    2002.

    Midland Resources has made it clear in remarks emailed to IWPR that
    it retains ownership of AEN, but that in the long term it would like
    to sell it to UES.

    In Armenia, initial reports about the nature of the deal were
    contradictory, and as rumours of an immediate Russian takeover
    started circulating, the government appeared not to know about the
    long-term goal of transferring shares in the national power company
    to UES.

    The first news reports said simply - and accurately - that
    Interenergo, part of the UES group, was to manage AEN, under a
    99-year lease from Midland Resources.

    Neither the energy ministry nor the regulatory body for the public
    sector in Armenia appear to have been informed of the move, because
    technically there was no requirement for this.

    AEN told IWPR that it was under no obligation to tell the government.

    `We are only obliged to notify the government if we sell shares in
    the company. This was a management transfer and not a sale of shares.
    That is why we did not inform the government,' AEN press officer
    Margarita Grigorian told IWPR.

    Even at this point, critics of the Armenian government were put on
    the alert.

    `Any fool can see that handing over management of a company for 99
    years means only one thing - the [future] sale of the company,' said
    Aram Sargsian, a member of parliament who heads the Democratic Party.

    Sargsian said the AEN deal would make Armenia even more dependent on
    Russia. He noted that UES's company holdings already accounted for 75
    to 80 per cent of Armenia's energy production - and now it was
    seeking control of distribution as well.

    `It's patently obvious. Whoever controls the switch controls the
    country,' he said.

    The issue became confused after people began reading UES's annual
    financial report for 2004 (dated June 28), saying that in June 2005,
    Interenergo had acquired 100 per cent of AEN's shares for 73 million
    US dollars.

    The reported sale of a key national asset stoked concerns in Armenia,
    fuelled by the government's resolute silence.

    Eduard Aghajanov, an economist at Armat, a political science
    institute in Yerevan, said any sale of AEN to a foreign company was
    contrary to national strategic interests.

    `The owner of the power grid will dictate his terms to both producer
    and consumer, and that is an unacceptable situation,' Aghajanov told
    IWPR.

    Victor Dallakian, of the opposition Justice faction, went further,
    warning that `Armenia will be under the threat of energy terror'.

    International institutions were perturbed at the lack of clear
    signals from the Armenian government about what was going on.

    Roger Robinson of the World Bank's Armenia mission told a press
    conference on July 8 that he considered `the regular provision of
    transparent and official information on events concerning this sphere
    [electricity distribution] very important'.

    This week, Robinson told IWPR that those remarks were intended to
    `press the red alarm button to alert people, especially the
    government, that the due process of law should be observed'.

    He believes his strategy paid off, `That press conference really
    galvanised a lot of people.'

    On July 18, the United States government's development agency USAID
    followed suit with a press release expressing concern `that a
    transfer of the ownership of AEN may have taken place without
    following important Armenian government regulations which exist to
    protect Armenian consumers'. USAID said it `would review its
    assistance portfolio to Armenia in light of any revised AEN ownership
    or lack of due process in changing that ownership agreement'.

    On July 25, Mikhail Mantrov, the deputy director of UES subsidiary,
    Inter RAO UES, which owns Interenergo, retracted the group's earlier
    statement and corrected the record, telling a press conference that
    AEN was the subject of a management transfer rather than a purchase.
    Midland issued a statement on July 20 confirming that it remained
    AEN's owner.

    After talking to the companies involved, Armenia's Public Sector
    Regulatory Commission concluded on August 22 that all of AEN's shares
    did indeed remain with Midland Resources.

    This week, Midland Resources president Alex Shnaider told IWPR by
    email that the company did hope to sell AEN to the Russian firm
    eventually, once all the legal requirements had been met. He insisted
    that his firm had been punctilious in meeting its obligations to the
    Armenian government.

    `The aim of the transaction is to sell 100 per cent of Midland's
    shares in AEN to RAO [UES],' he said. `The deal is divided into two
    stages. First, in order to prepare for the transaction, both parties
    will study the company's assets and create joint management
    provisions for the company in consultation with the Armenian
    government. During this stage, Midland will remain the sole owner of
    AEN's shares.

    `The second stage of the transaction will involve the transfer of the
    shares. This can only occur following approval from the government,
    as outlined in the initial contract between Midland and the
    government of the Republic of Armenia.'

    Shnaider said was not aware of any unresolved issues with the
    Armenian government and he did not feel there were any solid grounds
    for further inquiries. `To the best of our knowledge, the
    declarations made by UES and Midland have fully satisfied the
    government commission. Midland always fulfils its contractual
    obligations and has fully complied with the laws of the Republic of
    Armenia,' he told IWPR.

    The deal is worth a total sum of `upwards of 70 million dollars', he
    added.

    The government has instructed its legal experts to check the nature
    of the transfer of AEN's management to UES.

    `We want to study the contract, comprehend the deal that's taken
    place, and compare what's happening with what was set out in the deal
    the Armenian government signed with Midland resources in 2002,'
    Deputy Energy Minister Areg Galstian told IWPR

    `Until then [completion of the study], we will refrain from drawing
    any conclusions.'

    But the public perception that the government failed to reveal what
    it did - or did not - know about the deal has laid it open to
    accusations of lack of transparency.

    `Since independence, almost all the [privatisation] deals done in
    this country have taken place under a veil of secrecy... This is no
    exception,' said opposition deputy Sargsian.

    Repeated requests by IWPR to government spokespersons to comment on
    the deal have not resulted in any further clarifications, or even in
    an official acknowledgement that Midland's ultimate goal is to sell
    its AEN shares to UES.

    In Yerevan, World Bank representative Robinson said he had still
    received no official confirmation that AEN was to be sold to the
    Russian energy group.

    But he said he was less concerned about the potential buyer being
    Russian-owned than about ensuring the Armenian government is
    satisfied that the purchaser possesses the right energy-industry
    expertise, has sound financial management and will act with
    integrity.

    If the government adheres to its own procedures on these matters, and
    to the international rules on transparency, Robinson sees no obstacle
    to the World Bank continuing its current programme in Armenia.

    In political circles, the issue of Russian control over key Armenian
    assets is likely to rumble on. Government allies like Vahan
    Hovhannisian, the deputy speaker of parliament, argue that because
    the two countries are allies, `there is no threat to our national
    security' from UES's engagement in Armenia's power industry.

    But opposition parties are unlikely to pass up the chance to attack
    the government the moment the Russians open negotiations on acquiring
    AEN.


    Naira Melkumian is an independent journalist in Yerevan.
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