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  • Armenian angst

    Armenian angst_
    http://www.wpherald.com//storyview.php?stor yid050914-100101-3544r
    By Michael Mainville
    Special to The Washington Times
    Published September 14, 2005

    Naira Yeremyan knows her home doesn't look like much, but it's all she
    has. A ramshackle collection of wooden boards, concrete slabs and
    mismatched bricks, it sits amid the winding streets of Kond, a
    desperately poor neighborhood perched on a hilltop overlooking the
    Armenian capital, Yerevan.

    What the neighborhood does have is a view.

    Below Kond, Yerevan stretches out for miles before opening onto the
    Armenian plain and the ice-capped peak of Mount Ararat in Turkey. That
    view has wealthy property developers salivating over the prospect of
    putting up luxury apartments in Kond. And it's the bane of Miss
    Yeremyan's existence.

    "This house is 60 years old, my grandfather and grandmother came here
    to escape the genocide in Turkey. My mother was born here; I was born
    here. This home is part of our family. And now they are saying we
    cannot live here, that we have to leave and get almost nothing in
    return," said Miss Yeremyan, 37.

    Three months ago, municipal authorities told the 14,000 residents of
    Kond they would have to leave their homes by the end of the year to
    make way for modern housing. They will be paid between $2,000 and
    $5,000.

    'We'll be homeless'

    "You cannot buy a house anywhere in Yerevan for that amount. We are
    going to be homeless. They are throwing us out on the streets," said
    Miss Yeremyan, who shares the house and a monthly pension of about $30
    with her 63-year-old mother.

    Miss Yeremyan has organized sit-ins, petitions and court challenges,
    but her protests are ignored. "The authorities will not listen to us,"
    she said. "There are corrupt and influential people behind this, and
    they can do whatever they want."

    Kond is not unique. Armenians across the country face the same
    obstacles: crippling poverty, endemic corruption and powerlessness in
    the face of what critics say is an increasingly authoritarian
    government.

    It wasn't supposed to be this way. At independence after the breakup
    of the Soviet Union in 1991, Armenia seemed a dream come true for a
    people with a tragic history. Less than a century after the Armenian
    genocide of 1915-18, when between 500,000 and 1.5 million Armenians
    were killed in the Ottoman Empire, the world's 4-million-strong
    Armenian diaspora finally had a national homeland.

    Money has poured in to rebuild the country, especially from America's
    million Armenians and the U.S. government. According to the State
    Department, Armenia receives more U.S. aid per capita than any other
    county except Israel. With wealthy backing and strong grass-roots
    support, Armenian-Americans form one of the most effective and
    well-organized ethnic lobbies on Capitol Hill.

    When the White House tried to reduce U.S. assistance to Armenia this
    summer, Congress blocked the move, bumping up the Bush
    administration's allocation of $55 million to $75 million for 2006.

    President dominates

    But instead of thriving -- and despite U.S. aid -- Armenia has
    languished. Its politics are moribund, dominated by President Robert
    Kocharian, whom critics accuse of falsifying elections and cracking
    down on the opposition. Despite economic growth in recent years, the
    economy remains in shambles and half the population lives on less than
    $2 a day.

    The result has been an exodus, the reverse of early hopes for Armenia.
    Instead of hundreds of thousands of dispersed Armenians flocking to
    their homeland, more than 1 million Armenians have left for Russia and
    the West. According to some estimates, the country has lost more than
    30 percent of its working-age population.

    "People are leaving because they don't see any hope for the future,"
    said Avetik Ishkanyan, chairman of the Helsinki Committee of Armenia,
    a human-rights group. "And the worst part is that the ones who are
    leaving are from the most active part of society -- these are the
    people we need to bring about changes in this country."

    Critics lay much of the blame at Mr. Kocharian's feet. They say the
    president -- elected for a second time in 2003 -- is running a corrupt
    and despotic regime, giving free rein to businessmen close to him and
    stifling any dissent.

    "There is a huge gap between those in power and the majority of
    Armenian society," said Stepan Demirchian, leader of the opposition
    Justice coalition and son of a Kocharian rival killed in 1999 when
    gunmen attacked parliament and shot several prominent
    politicians. "And when we try to resist, when we try to bring
    democratic change, they respond with violence."

    In April 2004, inspired by the peaceful Rose Revolution in neighboring
    Georgia, thousands of Armenians took to the streets to denounce
    Mr. Kocharian and reputed vote fraud in 2003 elections. After more
    than 50,000 people demonstrated on April 12 and 13, the president sent
    the police to break up the protest with stun grenades and water
    cannons.

    Hundreds arrested

    "More than 600 citizens were arrested; political party offices were
    ransacked; journalists were beaten," Mr. Demirchian said. "And, after
    all these acts of violence, the authorities tell us we have to be
    patient, that it is a long road to democracy." Government officials
    insist the crackdown was necessary to maintain order and that
    opposition parties are simply trying to seize power.

    Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanyan says the opposition uses the pretense
    of supporting democracy to gain support abroad as it attempts to
    overthrow the government. He says he knows that Armenia's democracy is
    not perfect, but claims it is improving.

    "The government is stable and the country is on the path to becoming a
    fully democratic country," he said. "A lot has been done, but a lot
    remains to be done." Under pressure from the West, Armenia will hold a
    national referendum this year on a package of constitutional
    amendments designed to limit the power of the presidency and protect
    judicial independence. Mr. Oskanyan says the reforms will be key to
    ensuring democratic growth.

    "Once we complete our constitutional reforms, Armenia will move
    forward in leaps and bounds," he said.

    Opposition leaders see things differently. They say the reforms are
    only symbolic, and see the referendum as a potential trigger for the
    kind of mass protests that drove out authoritarian governments in
    Georgia and Ukraine.

    Aram Sarkisian, the leader of the radical Republic Party, said
    opposition parties are gearing up to organize mass demonstrations
    after the referendum, which he contends is sure to be fraudulent.

    "The situation in our country is terrible. People are leaving because
    they have no hope," he said.

    "Armenian society is ready for revolutionary change -- peaceful and
    civilized change."

    Mr. Sarkisian said he met with White House and State Department
    officials during a June trip to Washington and emerged confident of
    American support for a revolution.

    "The United States supported the Georgians and the Ukrainians, and
    they will help the Armenian people," he said.

    Still, experts say it's unlikely the opposition could organize a
    successful revolution or win Western support. Fractured by infighting
    and with no clear leader, the opposition is more likely to fall apart
    before posing any threat to Mr. Kocharian.

    "The opposition is too weak, and the government is just democratic
    enough to keep the West from supporting drastic changes," said a
    Western official in Yerevan, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

    Some decide to stay

    Chatting over rich coffee and ice-cold Coca-Cola in Yerevan's trendy
    ArtBridge Cafe, a group of students and recent graduates agreed that a
    revolution is next to impossible.

    Unlike so many other young Armenians, they've decided to stay and try
    to build their country.

    "I will not leave Armenia. I want do to things for my country, make it
    a better place to live," said Artak Ayunts, 26, a university
    lecturer. But the group was skeptical about radical change. They don't
    believe Armenians are ready for a revolution, and say it could take
    decades of slow progress before the country is free and relatively
    prosperous.

    "People don't believe in themselves. They think someone else should
    always make changes for them," said Mr. Ayunts.

    "The biggest problem with Armenia is the Armenians," joked philosophy
    student Gevorg Abrahamyan, 28.



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