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From Soviet Trade Bank to Universal Lender

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  • From Soviet Trade Bank to Universal Lender

    The Moscow Times, Russia
    Sept 21 2005


    >From Soviet Trade Bank to Universal Lender

    By Greg Walters
    Staff Writer

    Michael Eckels / MT

    Vneshtorgbank is giving the competition a run for its money as it
    expands into retail and corporate services.


    Russia's No. 2 bank, Vneshtorgbank, is emerging from its historic
    role as the government's foreign-trade facilitator and is pushing
    hard to mold itself into a diversified financial institution.

    Vneshtorgbank, or VTB -- sometimes billed as the only bank that could
    actually give industry leader Sberbank a run for its money -- is
    moving into retail and investment banking, expanding corporate
    services and buying up smaller banks in the CIS and Western Europe.

    The bank even has plans to list shares on a foreign exchange as early
    as 2006, although some analysts say a foreign IPO may still be
    several years away.

    Given its aggressive plans, state-owned VTB appears set to become an
    even more important player in the banking sector and economy as a
    whole.

    "It's trying to transform itself from a Soviet trade bank into a
    universal bank," said Andrew Keeley, banking analyst at Renaissance
    Capital. "It clearly has the support of the administration in what
    it's doing. It's not to be taken lightly."

    VTB itself says the changes are part of its strategy to take on
    global competition. "Only the big and the strong can compete with
    foreign banks," said Vasily Titov, VTB senior vice president and
    board member, in an interview. "That's why we're doing all this."


    Despite this apparent dynamism, VTB came under blistering criticism
    from former Central Bank Chairman Viktor Gerashchenko earlier this
    month, who said the bank was in "financial deadlock" and compared it
    to a sinking ship. "It seems our Titanic has holes enough to go
    under, yet the orchestra is still playing a happy waltz,"
    Gerashchenko said, Vedomosti reported.

    Gerashchenko blasted VTB's plans to purchase overseas banks owned by
    the Central Bank -- Moscow Narodny Bank of London, Eurobank of Paris
    and Ost-West Handelsbank of Frankfurt -- saying they would not help
    keep the ship afloat. "A handful of dinghies won't do any good. They
    will just get drawn into the whirlpool," he said.

    Although VTB reported profit last year of $263 million, Gerashchenko
    said that his analysis showed the bank's core operations actually
    lost money.

    Titov declined to respond to Gerashchenko's criticism, saying the
    bank would not comment on the personal opinions of a private citizen.

    Yekaterina Trofimova, banking analyst at Standard and Poor's, called
    Gerashchenko's judgment too harsh.

    "The bank is in an expansion stage right now," she said. "The
    financial results are, as expected, moderate, which is absolutely
    normal for the bank at this stage of development."

    Trofimova said the current results should be weighed against
    investments the bank was making in its network and products, as well
    as in acquisitions.

    The new foreign acquisitions appear to make long-term sense,
    Trofimova said. "These links with Western Europe are very important
    for VTB's growing international business and export-import flows,"
    she said.

    Other analysts agreed that Gerashchenko probably went too far in
    criticizing VTB in light of the government's vested interest in
    seeing its own bank succeed.

    VTB may be planning to use the government's proposed 37.5 billion
    ruble ($1.25 billion) capital injection -- ostensibly for purchasing
    the Central Bank's overseas assets -- as a leverage point for
    improving its domestic position, said Natalya Orlova, an analyst at
    Alfa Bank. "Acquiring overseas banks is a way to secure an increase
    of capital from the federal budget," she said.

    VTB's strategy appeared to be geared toward using its position as a
    state champion to move aggressively into new sectors such as retail
    banking, Orlova said. "Increasing its capital will have a deeper
    effect on VTB's domestic position than ... owning overseas banks,"
    she said.

    The country's entire banking sector wobbled briefly in the summer of
    2004, after the closure of two second tier banks spooked depositors.
    VTB used the opportunity to gobble up Guta Bank, the mini-crisis'
    main casualty, for a nominal 1 million rubles ($35,000).

    Guta, now rebranded Vneshtorgbank 24, has been turned into VTB's
    retail arm, offering many services online.

    Guta and the Central Bank's biggest remaining European-based assets
    are only part of VTB's acquisition binge. The bank has been steadily
    scooping up smaller Central Bank assets in Europe over the years, and
    it recently shelled out for 25 percent of St. Petersburg-based
    Promstroibank with an option to increase ownership to a controlling
    stake.

    In a little over a year, VTB has also made waves in the CIS, buying a
    majority stake in Armenia's ArmSavingsBank, and 50 percent plus one
    share in United Georgian Bank. In March of this year, VTB opened a
    subsidiary in Ukraine.

    These CIS banks are "not very profitable, but they're doing OK,"
    Trofimova said.

    They also could come in handy for servicing Russian companies
    expanding abroad, analysts said.

    After months of reports that the European Bank for Reconstruction and
    Development and Deutsche Bank were both negotiating to buy a minority
    stake, VTB now says it hopes to list shares on a foreign stock market
    as early as next year. "We want to do an IPO, probably in London,"
    Titov said. "But only the owner, the government, can decide that. We
    have made this proposal, but they haven't said anything." Titov said
    the listing could be anywhere from 6 percent to 20 percent of VTB.

    Renaissance Capital's Keeley said a VTB listing would be a
    significant new target for portfolio investors.

    "Investors are very eager to get exposure to Russian banks, but now
    they basically have very little choice" about where to invest, Keeley
    said.

    Vneshtorgbank is still at best a head shorter than its bigger
    adversary.

    Sberbank's deposits at the end of 2004, including retail and
    corporate deposits, represented 36.3 percent of Russia's total
    deposits, according to an estimate by Standard and Poor's. VTB came
    in a distant second with 4.2 percent.

    Sberbank also handled an impressive 29.5 percent of Russian loans,
    compared with 7.5 percent at VTB.

    Yet VTB is at least a minor giant in a country where most banks have
    less than 2 percent in both categories.

    In deposits, only Gazprombank (3.5 percent), Alfa Bank (3.2 percent),
    Bank of Moscow (3 percent) and Rosbank (2 percent) broke the 2
    percent barrier. In loans, only Gazprombank (3.8 percent), Alfa Bank
    (3.1 percent) and Bank of Moscow (2.3 percent) did.

    Many experts question whether VTB will ever really compete with
    Sberbank, as they are both state-owned. As VTB puts down roots in
    areas like retail, smaller banks could be left with little option but
    to run between the legs of the two state-owned giants.

    Russia's Top 5 Banks by Assets

    Bank Total Assets Share of Total
    (millions of rubles)* Banking Assets

    1. Sberbank 2,219,094 28.87%

    2. Vneshtorgbank 504,769 6.57%

    3. Gazprombank 379,657 4.94%

    4. Bank of Moscow 210,136 2.73%
    (Bank Moskvy)
    5. Alfa Bank 208,017 2.71%

    *Data as of July 1, 2005

    Source: Interfax Center for Economic Analysis
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