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According to CBA Chair, Level of Shadow Economy High in S. Caucasus

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  • According to CBA Chair, Level of Shadow Economy High in S. Caucasus

    ACCORDING TO CBA CHAIRMAN, LEVEL OF SHADOW ECONOMY IS HIGH IN SOUTH
    CAUCASIAN COUNTRIES


    YEREVAN, APRIL 28, NOYAN TAPAN. "Today we live similarly badly, but
    differently well." Chairman of the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA)
    Tigran Sargsian stated this at the opening of the international forum
    Caucasus 2005, when analyzing the development dynamics of the South
    Caucasian economies. According to him, the situation assessment by
    using the main criteria of the Maastricht Agreement shows that the
    level of shadow economy is high in the three South Caucasian
    countries, which are also facing the problem of poverty and unsettled
    conflicts. The first criterion is inflation level. In this respect
    Armenia is in the most favorable state, which, according to
    international organizations, is conditioned by the efficient monetary
    and credit policy. Currency rates prevail in the monetary and credit
    policies of Georgia and Azerbaijan, which may lead to macroeconomic
    problems in both countries in the next few years. T. Sargsian noted
    that in 2006 Armenia adopted the inflation targeting policy, while it
    will take Azerbaijan and Georgia 3 years to shift to this policy.

    Besides, the highest level of economy's dollarization is in
    Azerbaijan. In the opinion of CBA Chairman, in terms of the ratio of
    state debt to GDP, all the three countries are in a favoravle
    state. At the same time, it was noted that only in Armenia, the
    government places 15-year state bonds at an annual interest rate below
    10%. In terms of salaries, Armenia is in first place in the region
    (145 USD), followed by Georgia and Azerbaijan. The higest index of
    poverty is in Georgia - 52%, with this index making 34% and 29% in
    Armenia and Azerbaijan respectively. By the economic growth index,
    Azerbaijan is the leading state among CIS member states, however, oil
    products account for about 41% of Azerbaijan's GDP. In Georgia, GDP
    growth made 9.3% in 2005, but the inflation level was quite high -
    over 6%. In Armenia, economic growth made 13.9% over the same period
    with a 0% inflation. T. Sargsian said that in connection with a growth
    in their expenditures, all the three countries are trying to icrease
    tax collection. Azerbaijan's state budget expenditures have
    especially grown, particularly defence expenditures. In 2006 alone,
    the country's defence expenditures will amount to 650 mln USD, which
    is 4 times as much as Armenia's defence expenditires.
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