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EITHER GAMBIT OR NOTHING
Lragir.am
9 Aug 06
After the unification of the Republican Party and Serge Sargsyan
absolute power in the country went to the Republican junta. On August
9 Davit Hakobyan, the leader of the Marxist Party thus described the
home political processes in Armenia at the Pastark Club. "After 1998
this is the second time that the military machine and the sanction
machine are annexed by a political party which is a majority in the
parliament and the executive," says Davit Hakobyan.
It is interesting to hear the description of the extraordinary
conference of the Republican Party by Davit Hakobyan, defining it as
a court coup. "It is called bonapartism, juntism, blancism, political
adventurousness," says Davit Hakobyan. Besides defining the present, he
also forecasts the future. According to Davit Hakobyan, Serge Sargsyan
will not be Serge Sargsyan if he does not start the autumn session
with a gambit, stepping up an offensive for the post of president.
"The question will occur to you if I am mistaken in my prognoses, and
I will answer like Hegel, the worse for them. Because today there are
the most convenient, favorable conditions before the campaign of the
parliamentary election, when today all the levers are in the hand of
the Republican junta, it is impossible to imagine a more convenient
moment after the parliamentary election," says Davit Hakobyan. He
thinks that it would be political idiotism to postpone the gambit
until after the parliamentary election.
"And today the historical moment, especially that the international
diplomacy prompts that the diplomatic stage of the Artsakh issue came
to a crash, and today the republic needs a diplomatic time out, for at
least a year is left for Bush to finish his career and in late 2007
we will see Hillary Clinton at the post of president of the United
States to reach a turnaround in the policy of the Near East. In this
connection, the republic badly needs a diplomatic time out, and it
is a pre-condition, the underlying precondition for the resignation
of the president," the first Marxist of Armenia makes a forecast of
developments from the aspect of the international situation.
Besides, he thinks that the Republican Party should not allow
"its opponents to become established until May, expand and become
strong." According to Davit Hakobyan, nobody can guarantee that after
the election in May the army and the administrative resource will
remain under the control of the Republican Party.
"Either Serge Sargsyan will become president until January or will not
become president at all," says Davit Hakobyan. If Robert Kocharyan does
not resign from the post of president until January, Davit Hakobyan
thinks it will cause a controversy between the president and the
defense minister, and the third force will benefit from it. If we
assume that the Marxist is not the ally of the president and Serge
Sargsyan as he tries to prove by his behavior of an oppositionist,
it should be supposed that he is one of the forces who may benefit
from the controversy between the president and the defense minister. In
this case, it is more than surprising that instead of waiting until the
failure of his opponent, the Republican junta, Marxist Davit Hakobyan
prompts the best way for the Republican Party and Serge Sargsyan.
"It is not a matter of prompting or political dividends. It is a matter
of prognosis of events and developments. First, a political figure,
who does not assess duly his opponents, can never defeat them. Second,
I prompt them in order for them to make their action more simple and
definite. This is also a political manner. You are right, I prompt
that they are going to miss the chance and when their action is clear,
we will clarify our steps too. This is a call for a game. A political
figure is a player, and politics is a game with its own risk and fear,"
says Davit Hakobyan.
But even in this case it is difficult to guess what kind of a game
the chief Marxist of the country is playing, whether he prompts Serge
Sargsyan the right way or he prompts Robert Kocharyan what the way of
Serge Sargsyan will be. The vagueness of the tactics of the Marxist
is not so important for the public, meanwhile his unclear game may
have a deciding role for the force Davit Hakobyan prompts. After all,
the president may think that Hakobyan is prompting Serge, and Serge
may think that Hakobyan is prompting the president. In this case,
his prompting is not worth anything because it does not give rise to
anything but suspicion. But one must not exclude the possibility that
the purpose of the Marxist is to arouse doubts. However, he should
be cautious. After all, the president and the defense minister may
start suspecting the Marxist rather than each other.
Lragir.am
9 Aug 06
After the unification of the Republican Party and Serge Sargsyan
absolute power in the country went to the Republican junta. On August
9 Davit Hakobyan, the leader of the Marxist Party thus described the
home political processes in Armenia at the Pastark Club. "After 1998
this is the second time that the military machine and the sanction
machine are annexed by a political party which is a majority in the
parliament and the executive," says Davit Hakobyan.
It is interesting to hear the description of the extraordinary
conference of the Republican Party by Davit Hakobyan, defining it as
a court coup. "It is called bonapartism, juntism, blancism, political
adventurousness," says Davit Hakobyan. Besides defining the present, he
also forecasts the future. According to Davit Hakobyan, Serge Sargsyan
will not be Serge Sargsyan if he does not start the autumn session
with a gambit, stepping up an offensive for the post of president.
"The question will occur to you if I am mistaken in my prognoses, and
I will answer like Hegel, the worse for them. Because today there are
the most convenient, favorable conditions before the campaign of the
parliamentary election, when today all the levers are in the hand of
the Republican junta, it is impossible to imagine a more convenient
moment after the parliamentary election," says Davit Hakobyan. He
thinks that it would be political idiotism to postpone the gambit
until after the parliamentary election.
"And today the historical moment, especially that the international
diplomacy prompts that the diplomatic stage of the Artsakh issue came
to a crash, and today the republic needs a diplomatic time out, for at
least a year is left for Bush to finish his career and in late 2007
we will see Hillary Clinton at the post of president of the United
States to reach a turnaround in the policy of the Near East. In this
connection, the republic badly needs a diplomatic time out, and it
is a pre-condition, the underlying precondition for the resignation
of the president," the first Marxist of Armenia makes a forecast of
developments from the aspect of the international situation.
Besides, he thinks that the Republican Party should not allow
"its opponents to become established until May, expand and become
strong." According to Davit Hakobyan, nobody can guarantee that after
the election in May the army and the administrative resource will
remain under the control of the Republican Party.
"Either Serge Sargsyan will become president until January or will not
become president at all," says Davit Hakobyan. If Robert Kocharyan does
not resign from the post of president until January, Davit Hakobyan
thinks it will cause a controversy between the president and the
defense minister, and the third force will benefit from it. If we
assume that the Marxist is not the ally of the president and Serge
Sargsyan as he tries to prove by his behavior of an oppositionist,
it should be supposed that he is one of the forces who may benefit
from the controversy between the president and the defense minister. In
this case, it is more than surprising that instead of waiting until the
failure of his opponent, the Republican junta, Marxist Davit Hakobyan
prompts the best way for the Republican Party and Serge Sargsyan.
"It is not a matter of prompting or political dividends. It is a matter
of prognosis of events and developments. First, a political figure,
who does not assess duly his opponents, can never defeat them. Second,
I prompt them in order for them to make their action more simple and
definite. This is also a political manner. You are right, I prompt
that they are going to miss the chance and when their action is clear,
we will clarify our steps too. This is a call for a game. A political
figure is a player, and politics is a game with its own risk and fear,"
says Davit Hakobyan.
But even in this case it is difficult to guess what kind of a game
the chief Marxist of the country is playing, whether he prompts Serge
Sargsyan the right way or he prompts Robert Kocharyan what the way of
Serge Sargsyan will be. The vagueness of the tactics of the Marxist
is not so important for the public, meanwhile his unclear game may
have a deciding role for the force Davit Hakobyan prompts. After all,
the president may think that Hakobyan is prompting Serge, and Serge
may think that Hakobyan is prompting the president. In this case,
his prompting is not worth anything because it does not give rise to
anything but suspicion. But one must not exclude the possibility that
the purpose of the Marxist is to arouse doubts. However, he should
be cautious. After all, the president and the defense minister may
start suspecting the Marxist rather than each other.