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RFE/RL Iran Report - 08/28/2006

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  • RFE/RL Iran Report - 08/28/2006

    RADIO FREE EUROPE/RADIO LIBERTY, PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC
    _________________________________________ ____________________
    RFE/RL Iran Report
    Vol. 9, No. 32, 28 August 2006

    A Review of Developments in Iran Prepared by the Regional Specialists
    of RFE/RL's Newsline Team

    ******************************************** ****************
    HEADLINES:
    * IRAN AVOIDS DIRECT ANSWER, BUT READY FOR 'SERIOUS TALKS'
    * IRANIAN NUCLEAR DEMANDS YIELD VARIOUS RESPONSES
    * IRAN MARKS RELIGIOUS DAY
    * SUPREME LEADER'S ADVISER DISCOURAGES NUCLEAR CONCESSIONS
    * IRAN TESTS MISSILES DURING WAR GAMES
    * U.S. INTELLIGENCE ON IRAN FOUND LACKING
    * IRAN SEIZES ROMANIAN OIL RIG IN PERSIAN GULF
    * HIZBALLAH ENVOY IN IRAN SAYS GROUP WON'T LEAVE SOUTH OR DISARM
    * PARLIAMENT PASSES ANTICORRUPTION LEGISLATION
    * IRAN SEEKS INVOLVEMENT IN NORWEGIAN ENERGY SECTOR
    * GASOLINE IMPORTS REACH IRAN
    * HUNDREDS OF ISFAHAN TEXTILE WORKERS CLAIM BACK WAGES
    * JAILED WRITER'S CONFESSION HAS A FAMILIAR RING TO IT
    *********************************************** *************

    IRAN AVOIDS DIRECT ANSWER, BUT READY FOR 'SERIOUS TALKS.'
    Iran responded on August 22 to an international proposal on
    Tehran's disputed nuclear program by saying it is ready for
    "serious talks." Iranian Supreme National Security Council Secretary
    Ali Larijani gave representatives from China, Russia, Britain,
    Germany, France, and Switzerland (representing U.S. interests) a
    written response to an international incentives package at a meeting
    in Tehran. The proposal is aimed at persuading the Islamic republic
    to abandon its controversial uranium-enrichment program and other
    sensitive activities.
    Details have not yet emerged of the statement that Larijani,
    Iran's top nuclear negotiator, gave to diplomats. But Mohammad
    Saidi, a top official in the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran,
    provided strong hints at the nature of the response.
    Saidi said today that the international proposal has
    "fundamental and serious ambiguities." He added that although
    suspension of Iran's uranium enrichment is no longer an
    appropriate precondition, Tehran is willing to hold talks, Mehr News
    Agency reported. Saidi also criticized aspects of the proposal that
    emphasize deterrence and ignore nuclear cooperation.
    Iran has also rejected the possibility of suspending uranium
    enrichment, Fars News Agency reported. Iranian officials have been
    saying the same thing for months. Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid
    Reza Assefi gave a strong hint at the Iranian stance in his August 20
    press conference, when he said Iran is not considering suspension of
    its enrichment activities.
    Larijani also reiterated that Tehran sees moves to take its
    case to the UN Security Council as "illegal."

    Consistent Line

    The offer from the five permanent members of the UN Security
    Council (China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United
    States) plus Germany was followed in late July by Security Council
    Resolution 1696, which calls on Iran to halt sensitive nuclear
    activities by the end of August or face the possibility of economic
    and political sanctions.
    Iran thus finds itself in a position that it has avoided for
    years through a combination of diplomacy and deception. This
    situation can be attributed to the hard-line ideology of President
    Mahmud Ahmadinejad's administration and the support it is
    receiving from Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
    The hard-line sentiments were strengthened when Ahmadinejad
    announced on April 11 that Iranians have "enriched uranium to the
    enrichment level required by nuclear power plants," state television
    reported.
    More recently, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on
    August 21 that "arrogant powers, led by America," fear Islamic
    countries' progress and are trying to block Iran's scientific
    and technological development, state television reported. Therefore,
    he continued, Iran will continue its nuclear pursuits.

    What Was Offered

    European Union High Representative for Common Foreign and
    Security Policy Javier Solana gave the proposal to Iranian officials
    in Tehran on June 6. The proposal called on Iran to cooperate fully
    with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), "suspend all
    enrichment-related and reprocessing activities," and "resume
    implementation of the Additional Protocol [of the Nuclear
    Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)]."
    In exchange, the six countries would suspend Security Council
    talks on the Iranian nuclear program. Moreover, they would back
    Iran's right to have a peaceful nuclear program that conforms
    with its NPT obligations. Construction of light-water reactors in
    Iran, furthermore, would be backed. Future cooperation would include
    a nuclear cooperation agreement between Iran and Euratom, cooperation
    on the management of spent nuclear fuel and radioactive waste, and
    assistance in nuclear-related research and development. Other issues
    included assurances on the provision of nuclear fuel, including
    enrichment at a joint facility in Russia.
    The June proposal mentioned political and economic
    incentives, too. There would be a regional security conference. Iran
    would be fully integrated into the international economy -- including
    membership in the World Trade Organization (WTO) -- and there would
    be a trade and cooperation agreement with the EU. Restrictions would
    be lifted on the sale of European and U.S. manufactured parts for
    civilian aircraft. A long-term Iran-EU energy partnership would be
    created, and restrictions on the use of U.S. telecommunications
    equipment in Iran might be eliminated. There would be cooperation in
    the high-technology and agriculture sectors, too.

    Where To Now?

    If Iran continues its uranium-enrichment activities and does
    not comply with Resolution 1696, the Security Council could impose
    commercial or diplomatic sanctions -- per Chapter 7 of the UN
    Charter. The overseas travel of Iranian officials could be restricted
    and their assets frozen; there could be restrictions on Iranian
    sports teams' participation in international competitions; and
    there could be major economic embargoes.
    It is unlikely that there will be much enthusiasm on the
    Security Council for any serious sanctions. Resistance will come
    primarily from Moscow and Beijing -- in part due to their
    geopolitical competition with the United States. China, furthermore,
    gets much of its energy from Iran. European powers get oil from Iran,
    and the country is a significant market for European goods.
    There is concern that Iran would respond to sanctions by
    restricting oil exports. Indeed, Iran accounts for some 10 percent of
    global oil reserves and is OPEC's second-largest producer. Yet
    Iran is heavily reliant on its oil revenues, which account for 40-50
    percent of the state budget and 80-90 percent of total export
    earnings. Petroleum Minister Kazem Vaziri-Hamaneh has dismissed use
    of the so-called oil weapon, although other officials have mentioned
    it.
    Iranian withdrawal from the NPT is another possible response
    by Tehran. President Ahmadinejad hinted at this possibility in
    February, and doing so now would conform to his confrontational
    foreign policy style. Alaedin Borujerdi, chairman of the
    legislature's national security and foreign policy committee,
    said on August 21 that NPT compliance would no longer apply if
    pressure on Iran continued, the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA)
    reported.
    Military action against the Iranian nuclear program is a
    remote possibility. Tehran has responded to this risk with a new
    doctrine of asymmetric warfare. Iran also reportedly has links with
    Iraqi insurgents who could act against coalition forces.
    Additionally, Tehran believes U.S. forces are already overstretched
    with Iraq and Afghanistan and cannot commit to another military
    confrontation.
    Iran also has engaged in saber-rattling, although this may be
    intended to reassure a domestic audience rather than frighten a
    foreign one. Iran displayed the new Fajr-3 missile, torpedoes, and
    other weapons during war games in the Persian Gulf, Straits of
    Hormuz, and Sea of Oman in late March and early April. These
    exercises allowed Iran to show its naval forces' area-denial
    capabilities. Iran is currently holding five-week long military
    exercises in 16 provinces.

    Where Did Things Go Wrong?

    The Iranian nuclear program got under way even before the
    Islamic Revolution of 1978-79, and it has taken a long time for it to
    reach the stage of a UN Security Council resolution.
    It was not until August 2002 that an opposition group
    revealed the existence of a uranium-enrichment facility at Natanz and
    a heavy-water plant at Arak; it was not until June 2003 that the IAEA
    said Iran is not in compliance with the NPT. Yet in the following
    years, Iran continued to negotiate with Europe and avoid referral to
    the Security Council.
    No international consensus on the gravity of the situation
    emerged until September 2005, when the IAEA confirmed that Iran had
    resumed uranium conversion at Isfahan.
    The current situation can be attributed to the newfound
    emphasis on ideology in foreign policy, according to Hojatoleslam
    Hassan Rohani. Rohani is currently the supreme leader's
    representative on the Supreme National Security Council, and for 16
    years he was the council's secretary. In that position, he was
    Iran's lead nuclear negotiator from October 2003 until his
    replacement in August 2005.
    Rohani said in late July that the country is paying a heavy
    price at the moment, and he spoke out against critics of the
    diplomatic process who failed to understand the value of the
    concessions Iran was receiving from Europe, "Etemad" reported on July
    23.
    Rohani met with President-elect Ahmadinejad for the first
    time shortly after the 2005 election. Asked later if there are any
    differences between the incoming administration and that of President
    Mohammad Khatami, Rohani conceded that there might be "some
    differences of opinion" regarding the suspension of uranium
    enrichment, "Sharq" reported on July 14, 2005. Nobody opposes talks
    with Europe, he continued, "but there may be some differences of
    opinion...with some other issues."
    In the 2005 interview with "Sharq," Rohani stressed that Iran
    must avoid worrying other countries and isolating itself. "We have to
    interact with the world for the sake of our country's
    development," he said. "If what we envisaged for the next 20 years is
    to see a developed Iran ranking first in the region from the
    scientific, technological, and economic aspects, can we achieve this
    objective without interaction with the industrial world?"
    Rohani went on to note the significance of Europe, Russia,
    Japan, China, and other industrialized states, and he emphasized the
    importance to Iran of diplomacy and the danger of isolation.
    By now, it is obvious that Rohani's advice was ignored,
    and he is not impressed. Several months ago, Rohani referred to
    "upstarts that have no experience and track record," "Etemad"
    reported on June 15.
    How the Ahmadinejad team reacts next will color Iran's
    relations with the world for years to come. (Bill Samii)

    IRANIAN NUCLEAR DEMANDS YIELD VARIOUS RESPONSES. Supreme National
    Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani said on August 24 that the
    Iranian response two days earlier to an international proposal meant
    to resolve the controversy over its nuclear program should eliminate
    the other side's concerns and also protect Iran's
    self-perceived right to use nuclear energy, IRNA reported. Larijani
    said Iran is amenable to the resumption of negotiations and
    anticipates the views of its interlocutors.
    Official details on the Iranian response have not been made
    available yet, but Larijani said, "Iran's response partly deals
    with the favorite topic of the 5+1 group [China, France, Russia, the
    United Kingdom, the United States, plus Germany], namely the security
    arrangements of the region." He added, "Given the present sensitive
    conditions of the region, Iran is prepared to assist promote
    sustainable peace in the region."
    When Tehran submitted its official reaction on August 22, it
    expressed a readiness for "serious talks," even though it refuses to
    meet one of the prerequisites for talks, namely, stopping enrichment.
    This has yielded various reactions in different capitals.
    French Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy said on August
    23 in Paris that Iran must cease the enrichment of uranium if it
    wants to resume the nuclear negotiation process, LCI Television
    reported. Douste-Blazy said, "I want to reiterate France's
    readiness to negotiate, but I repeat, as we've said before and as
    Mr. Larijani knows full well, that a return to the negotiating table
    is tied to the suspension of uranium-enrichment activities."
    The White House made clear on August 23 that it is
    underwhelmed by the Iranian response to the international nuclear
    proposal, RFE/RL reported. "The response," White House spokeswoman
    Dana Perino said, "falls short of the conditions set by the Security
    Council which require the full and verifiable suspension of all
    enrichment-related and reprocessing activities." Perino said the
    White House will consider the Iranian response, nevertheless, and it
    is "closely consulting with the other members of the Security Council
    on the next steps." Anonymous "U.S. and European officials" said the
    Iranian response does not fulfill UN Security Council Resolution 1696
    -- which calls for a cessation of uranium enrichment and reprocessing
    activities -- either, "The Wall Street Journal" reported on August
    23. Their countries are deciding if they should push for sanctions
    against Iran.
    An anonymous Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman said on
    August 23, "China has always believed that seeking a peaceful
    resolution to the Iranian nuclear issue through diplomatic talks is
    the best choice [to solve the issue] and in the interests of all
    parties concerned," Xinhua reported. In Tehran on August 23, Foreign
    Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza Assefi said his country's response
    to the international proposal contains "very positive and transparent
    signs," IRNA reported.
    Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Mikhail Kamynin said in
    Moscow on August 23 that the Iranian response to the international
    proposal deserves careful attention, according to the ministry's
    website (http://www.mid.ru/brp_4.nsf/english). He referred to
    possible "nuances" and "constructive elements."
    Also on August 23, a delegation of Iranian officials arrived
    in order to inspect Russian nuclear facilities, RFE/RL and "The
    Moscow Times" reported. The delegation includes Atomic Energy
    Organization of Iran official Mahmud Jannatian, and it is expected to
    visit the Kalininskaya nuclear power plant, located in the city of
    Udomlia between Moscow and St. Petersburg. The power plant utilizes
    the VVER-1000 reactor, which is the model installed at Bushehr in
    southwestern Iran. Among the topics of discussion will be personnel
    training and nuclear-fuel deliveries. The Iranians are expected to
    visit Kalininskaya for two days and then go to another reactor
    outside Moscow, RFE/RL reported. (Bill Samii)

    IRAN MARKS RELIGIOUS DAY. Iran's official Islamic Republic News
    Agency (IRNA) congratulated the Iranian people on August 22, the day
    of Mab'ath, which is the anniversary of the day that the Prophet
    Muhammad had the first of his revelations. Some Iranians mark the
    holiday by gathering in mosques and other holy places. August 22 also
    coincides with Mi'raj, the day when the Prophet ascended to
    heaven on a winged horse named Buraq.
    Princeton University scholar Bernard Lewis noted the
    religious significance of August 22 in an editorial in "The Wall
    Street Journal" on August 8 in which he also noted it was the date by
    which President Mahmud Ahmadinejad promised a response to the nuclear
    proposal submitted to Iran by the international community. "This
    might well be deemed an appropriate date for the apocalyptic ending
    of Israel and if necessary of the world," Lewis wrote. He added a
    cautionary note, however, saying, "It is far from certain that Mr.
    Ahmadinejad plans any such cataclysmic events precisely for Aug. 22."
    (Bill Samii)

    SUPREME LEADER'S ADVISER DISCOURAGES NUCLEAR CONCESSIONS. Former
    Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Velayati, who now serves as Supreme Leader
    Ali Khamenei's foreign policy adviser, said on August 22 that
    Iran's nuclear accomplishments are more important than the
    adverse publicity they have garnered, the Iranian Students News
    Agency (ISNA) reported. He therefore dismissed the international
    pressure Iran faces, and he added that this is inevitable, saying,
    "You can be sure that whatever we try to do in the sphere of advance
    technology will be confronted by influential states in the world."
    Iran should disregard international pressure, he said, adding that
    the nuclear issue is not open to "international debate." (Bill Samii)

    IRAN TESTS MISSILES DURING WAR GAMES. The Zarbat-i Zolfaqar war games
    began on August 19 in Iran and are scheduled to take place in 16
    provinces in the south, southwest, and west, RFE/RL and other news
    agencies reported. The exercises could last up to five weeks,
    Military Chief of Staff Brigadier General Musavi told state
    television on August 17.
    General Alireza Afshar, deputy commander for cultural affairs
    and defense propaganda at the general headquarters of the armed
    forces, said on August 17 that "the reason for conducting these war
    games is to deter the enemy from daring to threaten or put pressure
    on the Islamic Republic of Iran," Fars News Agency reported.
    On August 20, spokesman Brigadier General Kiumars Heidari
    told IRNA that the 250-kilometer-range Saqeh surface-to-surface
    missile was tested successfully.
    Brigadier General Mohammad Hussein Dadras, commander of the
    regular ground forces, said in Zahedan on August 21 that the war
    games are going well, IRNA reported. Ground forces are engaging
    airplanes and helicopters, and unmanned aircraft have been used for
    this as well. Speaking in Sistan va Baluchistan Province, Dadras said
    other stages of the exercises will take place sequentially in 15
    other provinces. Dadras went on to say that the Iranian military can
    assess the strengths and weaknesses of its opponents, and it can
    counter attacks with a variety of missiles. Turning to the nuclear
    issue and the possibility of sanctions, Dadras said Iran owes its
    current capabilities to the earlier imposition of sanctions. (Bill
    Samii)

    U.S. INTELLIGENCE ON IRAN FOUND LACKING. There are "significant gaps
    in our knowledge and understanding of the various areas of concern
    about Iran," according to an August 23 report from the U.S. House of
    Representatives' Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence
    (http://intelligence.house.gov/Media/ PDFS/IranReport082206v2.pdf).
    Among the areas of interest, the report mentions Iran's nuclear
    weapons program, the question of chemical and biological weapons, and
    the ballistic-missile threat. The report also considers Iranian
    destabilization of Iraq and support for terrorism outside Iraq. The
    report recommends improving analysis, improving coordination on
    Iran-specific issues, and improving coordination on
    counterproliferation issues. It calls for enhanced human intelligence
    capabilities and augmented linguistic capabilities ("More staff who
    speak Farsi at a native or professionally proficient level"). Other
    recommendations are stronger counterintelligence efforts, the
    definition of goals, and the development of metrics. (Bill Samii)

    IRAN SEIZES ROMANIAN OIL RIG IN PERSIAN GULF. An Iranian naval vessel
    opened fire on an offshore drilling rig belonging to the Romanian Oil
    Services Group (Grup Servicii Petroliere; GSP), on August 22 and
    arrested the crew, Rompres reported. The crew comprised 19 or 20
    Romanian oil workers and seven Indian catering staff.
    GSP press officer Radu Petrescu said the seizure relates to a
    dispute over payment of fees. "For almost two years now we have been
    operating with two oil rigs in the Persian Gulf for the Iranian oil
    company, but in the last six months, our beneficiary defaulted on his
    contractual clauses, specifically he failed to issue a new bank
    letter of credit for the current year," Petrescu said. The attack
    came after the Romanians terminated the contract. Petrescu added that
    a second rig, "Fortuna," was towed to Sharjah safely a few days ago.
    Petrescu said later that Iranian soldiers and police were
    aboard the rig, as were representatives of the firms with which there
    is a dispute -- Oriental Oil and PetroIran.
    Still later the same day, Iran's ambassador to Bucharest,
    Ali Akbar Farazi, was summoned to the Romanian Foreign Ministry and
    told that the use of force to resolve a commercial dispute is
    unacceptable, Rompres reported. Farazi said he has not succeeded in
    obtaining information from Iran because of the national holiday.
    Romanian presidential adviser Sergiu Medar said, "This is a
    trade litigation, to which Iran has responded too toughly,"
    Bucharest's "Gandul" newspaper reported on August 23. GSP
    Chairman Gabriel Comanescu said his firm will sue PetroIran,
    "Evenimentuel Zilei" reported on August 23.
    Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza Assefi said on
    August 23 that the affair has not been reported accurately, IRNA
    reported. He said the Romanian company illegally removed some
    drilling equipment, and the police foiled its plan to conduct "its
    second robbery."
    An editorial in Bucharest's "Ziua" daily on August 23
    referred to "the first large-scale act of terrorism against our
    country."
    President Mahmud Ahmadinejad and his Romanian counterpart,
    Traian Basescu, held a telephone conversation on August 23 in which
    they discussed the incident, state television and IRNA reported on
    August 24. The two officials reportedly agreed that occasonal
    misunderstandings of this sort are inevitable, and they also concured
    that the incident will not harm the two countries' relations.
    Ahmadinejad reportedly assured his coutnerpart that this is merely a
    commercial misunderstanding and is not an act of hostility against
    Romania, Rompres reported.
    According to Iranian television, GSP wanted to lease the oil
    rig at rate that surpassed the existing contract, whereas PetroIran
    claimed the three-year lease obviates a price hike. (Bill Samii)

    HIZBALLAH ENVOY IN IRAN SAYS GROUP WON'T LEAVE SOUTH OR DISARM.
    Speaking in Tehran on August 20, Lebanese Hizballah envoy Seyyed
    Abdallah Safi-al-Din said his organization will disarm only when the
    Lebanese government can guarantee that Israel will never attack
    Lebanon again, Mehr News Agency reported. "But, so far no such
    guarantees have been given," he added. Several UN Security Council
    resolutions call for the disarmament of all Lebanese militias.
    Safi-al-Din said the most recent UN resolution -- 1701 -- is
    "unjust." The resolution also requires that only the Lebanese Army
    and UN peacekeepers should be in southern Lebanon, but the Hizballah
    envoy dismissed this, saying, "The deployment of the Lebanese army in
    the south of the country will not prevent the presence of Hizballah
    in the south."
    Safi-al-Din went on to mention the objective of destroying
    Israel and said, "The Zionist regime is not a legitimate regime; its
    government did not come into being in normal ways." He said the
    justification for Israel's existence is its service as
    America's regional policeman, but its existence is no longer
    justified because Israel was defeated in its conflict with Hizballah.
    Lebanese Tourism Minister Joseph Sarkis, a member of the
    Christian Lebanese Forces, believes Iran is discouraging Hizballah
    from disarming, Argentina's "La Nacion" newspaper reported on
    August 22. Sarkis said Hizballah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah
    should return his arsenal to Iran or make it part of the Lebanese
    army. Sarkis said the Lebanese people oppose war -- "Only Hizballah
    wants it, and that is because Iran wants it." He added, "[Hizballah]
    destroyed the country with its war and now, with money from Iran, is
    replacing the government and the State."
    Sheikh Nabil Qawuq, the Hizballah official in charge of the
    Southern Lebanon region, thanked Iran on August 18 for "supporting
    Lebanon's right to resist," Al-Manar television reported.
    Speaking at a funeral for two Hizballah combatants and 27 civilians
    in the village of Qana, he added, "We are proud that Iran stands by
    the Lebanese people who are defending their land."
    The same day in Tehran, Foreign Ministry spokesman Hamid Reza
    Assefi said, "The Iranian government's cooperation with the
    Lebanese government and that country's resistance movement is
    quite transparent and in accordance with the international norms and
    relations among governments," IRNA reported. Assefi said Iranian
    support for Hizballah is "merely of humanitarian, spiritual, and
    political nature, and that movement is needless of other types of
    assistance." (Bill Samii)

    PARLIAMENT PASSES ANTICORRUPTION LEGISLATION. Legislation passed on
    August 23 requires all state officials -- including legislators,
    managing directors, and judicial officials, as well as members of the
    cabinet, Guardians Council, Expediency Council, and Assembly of
    Experts -- to submit annual financial statements to the State
    Inspectorate, Radio Farda reported. Noted Iranian human rights
    activist and lawyer Mehrangiz Kar told Radio Farda the measure seems
    superficial, because the judiciary already has the authority to
    prosecute corruption cases. She added that it is a sign of how bad
    official corruption has become in the country. (Bill Samii)

    IRAN SEEKS INVOLVEMENT IN NORWEGIAN ENERGY SECTOR. Iranian Deputy
    Petroleum Minister Hadi Nejad-Husseinian met in Stavanger on August
    21 with Norwegian Petroleum and Energy Minister Odd Roger Enoksen to
    discuss the possibility of Iranian involvement in Norway's oil
    and gas sector, IRNA reported. Enoksen reportedly expressed a similar
    interest in the Iranian energy sector. Norwegian firms such as Norsk
    Hydro and Statoil are already developing Iran's oil and gas
    fields, while Norwegian energy-services firms are heavily involved
    there, too. Helge Lund, Statoil's chief executive officer, said
    on August 21 that the South Pars gas field is his firm's main
    interest in Iran, Dow Jones Newswire reported. (Bill Samii)

    GASOLINE IMPORTS REACH IRAN. The National Iranian Oil Company's
    managing director, Gholam Hussein Nozari, said on August 22 that a
    $2.5 billion shipment of gasoline has reached Iran and this should be
    enough for five months, Mehr News Agency reported. The Iranian
    government recently decided against the imposition of gasoline
    rationing despite heavy subsidies to keep gasoline prices low. (Bill
    Samii)

    HUNDREDS OF ISFAHAN TEXTILE WORKERS CLAIM BACK WAGES. Ebrahim
    Fathian, who represents Isfahan Province workers, said on August 23
    that 300 employees of the Rahimzadeh textile factory in Isfahan are
    owed six months wages and benefits and 500 workers at the Simin-i No
    textile factory in Isfahan have not been paid or received benefits
    since March 21, the Iranian labor News Agency (ILNA) reported.
    Fathian said the Rahimzadeh textile factory has not been able to pay
    wages, buy raw materials, and resume production, because it has not
    received the 15 million rial ($1,700) credit it was promised --
    presumably by the central government. Fathian attributed the
    situation to privatization and a downturn in the textile business.
    (Bill Samii)

    JAILED WRITER'S CONFESSION HAS A FAMILIAR RING TO IT. Iranian
    officials say prominent writer and philosopher Ramin Jahanbegloo has
    confessed to pursuing nonviolent revolution in the country.
    Colleagues and human rights activists had expressed concern when
    Jahanbegloo was arrested in late April that he might be coerced into
    a confession. Their fears were realized on August 17, when Iran's
    prosecutor-general was quoted as saying Jahanbegloo admitted to
    plotting a "velvet revolution" and apologized for his "mistakes."
    This method has been used in the past by the Islamic republic in
    order to discredit its critics.
    Harvard- and Sorbonnes-educated Ramin Jahanbegloo is the most
    prominent intellectual to have been arrested in Iran in the past
    year.
    A researcher on Iran for the NGO Human Rights Watch (HRW),
    Hadi Ghaemi, tells RFE/RL that the country's judiciary is trying
    to silence critics by charging Jahanbegloo with plotting against the
    establishment: "The goal is to create fear among activists and
    intellectuals in Iran so that they know that even someone like
    Jahanbegloo -- who was not involved in political issues -- can be
    charged with instigating a velvet revolution. They want others to be
    careful."
    For many, Jahanbegloo's detention and his "confessions"
    in custody are reminders of a familiar pattern in the Islamic
    republic's clampdown on critics. Activists, journalists, and
    intellectuals are jailed and denied access to lawyers or family
    members.
    Within a few weeks or months, they issue purported letters of
    confession or appear on state television to confess and repent. Their
    crimes often include attempting to overthrow the Islamic
    establishment and maintaining ties with unspecified "enemies" of
    Iran.
    But many observers have questioned their authenticity. And
    right advocates have rejected them as a farce.
    Iranian activists have also come forward to expose the nature
    of such "confessions," drawing on their own experiences. They have
    said that they were forced to make false confessions under extreme
    duress.
    Political prisoners have also claimed they were pressed into
    writing letters incriminating themselves or confessing to charges as
    dictated by their interrogators.
    One case included several online journalists who were
    arrested in 2004.
    Weeks later, they appeared on television to say they had been
    encouraged by foreign enemies to tarnish Iran's image.
    Five days later, in a meeting with government officials, they
    retracted their confessions. They said they had been made were under
    physical and psychological pressure.
    Journalist and blogger Omid Memarian was among those who
    withdrew their confessions. He tells RFE/RL that confessions by
    prisoners under duress, and who are denied contact with the outside
    world, are worthless: "Especially for intellectuals like journalists
    and professors, prison is very destructive -- their statements [under
    custody] have no weight. They would say anything in order to free
    themselves from the conditions they are facing. In solitary
    confinement, individuals reach a point where they believe things can
    never be normal again, so they repeat whatever the interrogators say.
    I think that until Jahanbegloo is freed in a normal situation,
    whatever he says has no legal value."
    News of Jahanbegloo's "confessions" was first reported by
    hard-line publications, including the newspaper "Resalat."
    That daily suggested in late July that a tape of the
    confessions was being shown in what it described as "cultural
    circles."
    "Resalat" claimed Jahanbegloo said he was in contact with
    individuals in Canada and that he was on a mission to participate in
    a Czechoslovak-style "velvet revolution" in Iran.
    Weeks later, Prosecutor-General Qorbanali Dori-Najafabadi
    announced in mid-August that Jahanbegloo had acknowledged his
    involvement in a revolutionary plot.
    Some have speculated that Jahanbegloo's confessions might
    be shown on television.
    A spokesman for Iran's hard-line judiciary, Jamal
    Karimirad, recently suggested as much to journalists.
    Prosecutor-General Dori-Najafabadi then claimed that
    Jahanbegloo had agreed to the broadcasting of his confessions. He
    added cryptically that "whether they are [actually] broadcast or not
    is another matter."
    Journalist and former prisoner Memarian insists Iranian
    officials are testing the waters: "As in past years, news of the
    confessions is first spread through certain circles; then they check
    with society to gauge reactions. Then, based on those reactions and a
    calculation of its pros and cons, they broadcast it. It's the
    same now. It seems that officials who are behind [Jahanbegloo's
    confessions] have not learned their lesson. The topic of coerced
    confessions has really lost its effect, and people don't believe
    it. I think it actually harms the judiciary."
    Human Rights Watch's Ghaemi says he thinks broadcasting
    the confessions will further damage Iran and its credibility on human
    rights issues: "I think there are individuals inside the Iranian
    [establishment] who know that these confessions do not solve any
    problem. In fact, it has been proven that they are not credible and
    have no validity. So maybe those who think about it logically know
    that no one will be convinced -- it will only damage the human rights
    situation in Iran and the way [Iran] is viewed abroad."
    Jahanbegloo's arrest has been condemned by human rights
    groups, who have called for his release.
    The European Union and Canada have expressed concern over his
    fate.
    Activists in Iran, the United States, Britain, and several
    other countries held a three-day hunger strike in July to call for
    the immediate release of Jahanbegloo and all of Iran's political
    prisoners.
    Jahanbegloo is a noted scholar who has published books in
    several languages on issues that include modernity in Iran, and
    Indian independence leader Mahatma Gandhi and his teachings on
    nonviolent resistance. He also has interviewed international figures,
    including the Dalai Lama. (Golnaz Esfandiari)

    ************************************* ********************
    Copyright (c) 2006. RFE/RL, Inc. All rights reserved.

    The "RFE/RL Iran Report" is a weekly prepared by A. William Samii on
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