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  • Declassified Karabakh

    DECLASSIFIED KARABAKH
    by Arkady Dubnov
    Translated by Pavel Pushkin

    Source: Vremya Novostei, June 29, 2006, p. 5
    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    July 3, 2006 Monday

    BITTER POLEMIC RESTARTED BETWEEN BAKU AND YEREVAN WITH REGARD TO
    RESOLVING THE NAGORNO-KARABAKH CONFLICT; For three days Baku and
    Yerevan have been officially continuing the restarted bitter polemic
    related to resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. An interview of new
    American co-chair of the Minsk group of the OSCE for Nagorno-Karabakh
    Matthew Brize (two other co-chairs represent Russia and France) served
    as a pretext. Brize released this interview after a report about the
    course of the negotiation process between the presidents of Armenia and
    Azerbaijan released by co-chairs of the Minsk group at a meeting of
    the permanent council of the OSCE in Vienna on June 22. The American
    diplomat disclosed some details of the framework agreement proposed
    by the Minsk group to the parties of the conflict for the first time.

    For three days, Baku and Yerevan have been officially continuing the
    restarted bitter polemic related to resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict. An interview of new American co-chair of the Minsk group
    of the OSCE for Nagorno-Karabakh Matthew Brize (two other co-chairs
    represent Russia and France) served as a pretext. Brize released
    this interview after a report about the course of the negotiation
    process between the presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan released by
    co-chairs of the Minsk group at a meeting of the permanent council
    of the OSCE in Vienna on June 22. The American diplomat disclosed
    some details of the framework agreement proposed by the Minsk group
    to the parties of the conflict for the first time.

    According to Matthew Brize, Baku and Yerevan are currently "discussing
    the clauses of the agreement according to which Armenian armed forces
    should leave the territory of Azerbaijan." This document reflected
    the issues of deployment of the peacekeeping forces in the conflict
    zone and international economic aid to Nagorno-Karabakh. In the final
    stage, it is planned to organize a referendum about the future status
    of Nagorno-Karabakh. Russian co-chair of the Minsk group of the OSCE
    Yury Merzlyakov reported yesterday that the statement of his American
    colleague was coordinated with the other co-chairs and represented
    their common evaluation of the current stage of negotiations.

    Yerevan was the first to react to the interview of Brize. The Armenian
    Foreign Ministry announced that principles of the conflict regulation
    were disclosed in the interview only "partially" and the interview
    did not touch on the problem of a corridor between Armenia and
    Nagorno-Karabakh and the interim status of Nagorno-Karabakh before
    organization of the referendum. Yerevan emphasizes that "for the
    first time co-chairs of the Minsk group state that the problem of
    the status of Nagorno-Karabakh can be solved through a referendum."

    The disputes that exist in the negotiation process do not deal with
    the referendum and the presidents have already approved this issue.

    The Armenian Foreign Ministry added, "The disputes deal with the
    schedule for liquidation of consequences of the armed conflict."

    Yerevan calls the principles of regulation proposed by the Minsk group
    "a serious basis for continuation of negotiations with Azerbaijan"
    and confirms readiness to continue them. Armenia could not do without
    the familiar notes of belligerence. Azerbaijan was reminded that
    "regardless of the size of its military budget it will never manage
    to force the people of Nagorno-Karabakh to give up the right for
    freedom and independence."

    The response from Baku followed immediately. The Azerbaijani Foreign
    Ministry called the statement of Yerevan "a traditional attempt at
    deliberate distortion of the course of the negotiation process"
    and "speculations." The Foreign Ministry of Azerbaijan added,
    "Determination of the status of Nagorno-Karabakh is impossible in
    circumstances of continuing occupation and ethnic purge and implies
    liberation of the occupied territories and demilitarization of the
    entire conflict zone, which in case of international guarantees of
    security will create conditions for return of the forcefully expelled
    Azerbaijani population."

    Azerbaijani Defense Minister Safar Abiyev added fuel to the fire.

    Yesterday, he announced, "Degree of the combat readiness of the armed
    forces of Azerbaijan allows liberation of our land by a military way.

    Only time is needed for this and Armenians are afraid of war." Abiyev
    accused of the interest in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict some "powerful
    world powers that wish to retain Azerbaijan in the sphere of their
    influence." Azerbaijani news agency Day.az quoted Abiyev as saying,
    "When they see our force they will give up their intention and we
    will prove this." Very few observers doubt that this hint is addressed
    to Russia.

    Neither of the parties of the conflict points at the main stepping
    stone of the negotiations. According to informed sources close
    to negotiations, in the first stage Armenia is prepared to let
    Azerbaijani refugees and administration return to the occupied
    Kelbadzhar District. Armenia is prepared to make this concession under
    condition that Baku names an acceptable date for the referendum in
    Nagorno-Karabakh at least in a few years. However, Baku refuses to do
    this. The same sources presume that conversations about a possible
    meeting of Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents in the framework of
    the G8 summit in St. Petersburg at which both Baku and Yerevan hint
    are unfounded. They add, "A new meeting of Aliyev and Kocharjan is
    hardly possible earlier than in autumn."

    With regard to the unexpected declassification of the course of
    negotiations, Allen Deletroz, president of the international crisis
    group, remarked that "intermediaries grew tired of negotiations and
    took a correct step that would contribute to broad and open national
    dialog dedicated to the essence of the problem." According to Deletroz,
    "Henceforth Azerbaijanis and Armenians will be able to form their own
    opinion about what is on the table of negotiations of there presidents
    who have until recently had a private but unsuccessful dialog."
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